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CT Rain

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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    lol that's not a difficult one.
  2. CT Rain
    Yeah - definitely a warmer solution overnight in the low levels too. A much slower cold push outside of the GFS. Really would like so see some of the hires modeling get a bit colder sooner today.
  3. CT Rain
    Yeah that's glaze but it does transition to pingers a few hours later.
  4. CT Rain
    That seems way overdone to me based on the soundings.
  5. CT Rain
    GFS is a ton of sleet down this way.
  6. CT Rain
    Yup
  7. CT Rain
    It's the Euro
  8. CT Rain
    3km NAM did seem a bit colder/farther south than its 12km counterpart.
  9. CT Rain
    Yeah - pretty good surge of warmth to the Pike.
  10. CT Rain
    That's a torch.
  11. CT Rain
    Great to see the Euro jump south. For a higher end event like the GFS I noticed that the GFS winds up with a stronger band of convergence/warm advection at 850mb that lingers for quite some time. Just north of that you get quite a snow dump. The Euro is far more transient with that best zone of lift so you wind up with less forcing and more subdued precip totals. I imagine a combo of a stronger southern stream and a bit more confluence to the north could get it done.
  12. CT Rain
    I would like to see at least some support on the Euro here.
  13. CT Rain
    Even for N CT the GFS is a lot of snow. Just kiss 0c around 800mb for most of the storm.
  14. CT Rain
    Enjoy the pingers on the Pike. Kevin gets his damaging ice storm here.
  15. CT Rain
    Yeah who knows. It's had a decent winter so have to keep an eye on it I guess.
  16. CT Rain
    Whoa GFS. What a mess that would be.
  17. CT Rain
    To illustrate the uncertainty for the Friday deal... the NBM 25th and 75th percentile high temperature forecast for BDL is 30F and 48F lol
  18. CT Rain
    The Euro/GFS have totally different evolutions in the northern stream and where to set up the confluence. To Will's point the high on the GFS is able to develop over QC with enhanced confluence at H5... while the Euro is far more amplified with the jet and the entire thing goes north and the high never presses into New England. Tough forecast.
  19. CT Rain
    Was thinking the same thing. That high to the north is a beaut.
  20. CT Rain
    Coop observer in Staffordville
  21. CT Rain
    Yeah Steve is getting croaked.
  22. CT Rain
    Posted for no particular reason and without comment.
  23. CT Rain
    Every storm.
  24. CT Rain
    We are actually!
  25. CT Rain
    There are a lot of people in CT expecting 2 feet. I think they'll be a bit disappointed lol
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