Jump to content

CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    26,301

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    We take everything about this map
  2. CT Rain
    BDL had 7.1" as of 18z.
  3. CT Rain
    I thought this was an interesting way to visualize this forecasting cluster.
  4. CT Rain
    Just about 1" of liquid here so 15.7" in West Hartford comes to about 16:1. Love a good deform band!
  5. CT Rain
    15.2" in West Hartford here at the station. Nuts.
  6. CT Rain
    GFS is south a bit but still good for the south coast. Seems like a bit of an outlier at the moment.
  7. CT Rain
    The problem is half the ensemble members are time lagged so you're getting 50% of that mean coming from 12z runs and 50% from 00z runs. When there's a dramatic shift the utility of the HREF is definitely more limited.
  8. CT Rain
    Yup... HRRR looks worse. Blahh.
  9. CT Rain
    Not much of a change from 12z to 18z on the EPS
  10. CT Rain
    They should do well. 8 or 10 for most?
  11. CT Rain
    FWIW - the 18z GFS, 18z NAM (12km and 3km) still show excellent snow growth for BDL/HFD. Even on the QPF gradient the efficient dendritic growth could help.
  12. CT Rain
    A bit of a bump. At least the trend has stopped.
  13. CT Rain
    Even looking at the 19z/20z HRRR there's a great banding/snow growth signal through most of CT up through boston.
  14. CT Rain
    GFS isn't a total disaster
  15. CT Rain
    I think it still looks pretty good for you guys and most of S CT
  16. CT Rain
    Good lord. What a disaster.
  17. CT Rain
    Toaster Bath
  18. CT Rain
    Here's our first call. Only thing I don't like about the 18z GFS is that it brought the 700mb low a bit farther north. Have to watch that south of the Pike I think.
  19. CT Rain
    2m temps are a bit warm on the Euro for valley/shore at the onset. Kevin would be fine of course.
  20. CT Rain
    Yeah a partial phase would send this pretty far north. Definitely don't want any more of that south of the Pike.
  21. CT Rain
    What a strange way to live your life. Just posting on a weather board trying to troll people about snow. Imagine having the time to be so lame? Anyways the GFS looks great. That confluence to the north is going a long way here in making this event an actual event.
  22. CT Rain
    Did you even look at anything or are you just trolling?
  23. CT Rain
    I like how the h5 low closes off a bit as it moves offshore. A couple days ago it seemed like the thing was sort of shearing out and dampening some.
  24. CT Rain
    OK
  25. CT Rain
    That improved confluence to the north increases the risk of suppression but it definitely helps with better cold air source and even better frontogenesis with a stronger baroclinic zone. Sort of playing with fire but I like the look now a lot better than 2 days ago.
×
×
  • Create New...