yoda

BGM issued TORNADO WARNING for Southern Delaware/Northern Sullivan counties and stated that is has hail to size of tennis balls

Mesoscale Discussion 0427 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 PM CDT Tue May 15 2018 Areas affected...Northeast Pennsylvania...southern New York...southwest New England Concerning...Tornado Watch 94...96... Valid 151838Z - 152045Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 94, 96 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat is increasing across the tornado watch area, with large, damaging hail, severe wind gusts and a threat of a few tornadoes. DISCUSSION...Storms oriented along the old outflow boundary have increased markedly in the last hour, with a few hail cores now exceeding 2.00". Cells were initially splitting per 18Z observed ALB straight line hodograph, but the southern cells are becoming dominant. Southwesterly low-level winds will continue feeding these cells with unstable air, and they may increasingly take on supercell characteristics over the next few hours. Any deviant motion of these cells to the south will likely result in strengthening mesocyclones, and perhaps a few tornadoes. Wind driven, damaging hail is also likely. ..Jewell.. 05/15/2018 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...BGM...

Sounds like some good news for you

Will it be a blue box or a red box? http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0425.html

A STW you have received lol

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 95 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 145 PM EDT Tue May 15 2018 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Connecticut Northern Delaware Northeast Maryland New Jersey Southeast New York Eastern Pennsylvania Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging winds expected with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A line of strong to severe storms will continue east from central Pennsylvania. Embedded bowing structures should result in widespread damaging winds. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Wilmington DE to 45 miles east southeast of Islip NY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

Good call lol -- Cecil and Kent are in the new watch from SPC

I think we should be okay as afternoon goes on: Per 1700 SPC meso -- around 1500-2000 MLCAPE, 3000-3500 SBCAPE, LIs are -6 to -8, 7.0 to 7.5 C/KM Mid Level Lapse Rates, 1000-1100 DCAPE. Sig hail is 1.5" and sup composite is at 4 and at -4 for left moving sup

40% chance of a meh MCD late this afternoon into the evening for us?

Tolland is in Tolland County per the maps I was looking at... okay, I missed by one county...

Tornado watch is one county to your west... chase you must lol

60/30 TOR probs... wow Mod risk across the board for all hazards except high for severe wind

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 94 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 105 PM EDT Tue May 15 2018 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western Connecticut Western Massachusetts Southern and eastern New York Northeast Pennsylvania Southern Vermont * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 105 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds expected with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A line of severe storms will progress rapidly east from central Pennsylvania with additional cells developing ahead of it across the Hudson Valley vicinity. This activity will pose a risk for a few tornadoes along with widespread damaging winds. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles south of Binghamton NY to 20 miles east northeast of Pittsfield MA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

May the odds be ever in your favor as a Tornado Watch has been issued

Thats where he moved to

Tornado Warning on the storms now

Binghamton WFO should have these storms move through S NY in a couple hours

Coming into Williamsport PA Severe Thunderstorm Warning PAC023-035-047-105-151730- /O.NEW.KCTP.SV.W.0034.180515T1643Z-180515T1730Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service State College PA 1243 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018 The National Weather Service in State College PA has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Eastern Elk County in north central Pennsylvania... Southern Potter County in north central Pennsylvania... Cameron County in north central Pennsylvania... Northwestern Clinton County in north central Pennsylvania... * Until 130 PM EDT * At 1242 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Benezette, moving east at 60 mph. This is a very dangerous storm. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely. * Locations impacted include... Westport, Cross Fork, Glen Union, Stevenson Dam, Hyner, South Renovo, Benezette, Elk River, Hicks Run and Cameron. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION with tornado like wind speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. These storms have the potential to cause serious injury and significant property damage.

Back off to the west of Williamsport PA and moving eastward... but damn Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 1240 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018 PAC023-033-047-083-151715- /O.CON.KCTP.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-180515T1715Z/ Elk PA-Clearfield PA-McKean PA-Cameron PA- 1240 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM EDT FOR ELK...NORTHWESTERN CLEARFIELD...SOUTHEASTERN MCKEAN AND NORTHWESTERN CAMERON COUNTIES... At 1238 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near East Branch Dam to near St. Marys to near Brockway, moving east at 60 mph. These are very dangerous storms. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail. The strongest winds will be between St. Marys and Benezette. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely. Locations impacted include... Ridgway, St. Marys, Johnsonburg, Force, Benezette, Brandy Camp, East Branch Dam, Elk River, Brockport and Parker Dam State Park. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THis is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION with tornado like wind speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. These storms have the potential to cause serious injury and significant property damage.

12z HRDPS and 12z NAM NEST and 15z HRRR try to spark storms off to our west and to our north try to bring them through our area... going to be interesting to see what goes up when ConvT is breached later on

RAP/SfcOA FCST tries to get 4500-5000 SBCAPE into the region later this afternoon as well as 1200 DCAPE

I believe LWX mentioned it in their AFD as one of their delineation lines... but I-66 and N has a chance for a watch IMO as well this evening

STW all the way down to the MD/PA border URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 93 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM EDT Tue May 15 2018 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western New York Pennsylvania * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1225 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A line of storms will intensify as it moves east from western Pennsylvania. Damaging winds and large hail are the primary hazards. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles south southwest of Franklin PA to 45 miles east of Williamsport PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

It begins in the west URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 93 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM EDT Tue May 15 2018 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western New York Pennsylvania * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1225 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A line of storms will intensify as it moves east from western Pennsylvania. Damaging winds and large hail are the primary hazards. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles south southwest of Franklin PA to 45 miles east of Williamsport PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).