yoda

We tried to tell them

We would have failed in some different way

-FZDZ already here

73 at ORF at 15z... mid 60s in Ocean City and the Delmarva... much wow

06z GFS says maybe thunderstorms on Friday morning? 60 degrees at DCA at 09z FRI Squall line moves through 12z to 15z FRI across region

Increase from .1" on earlier advisory to .1-.2" in new one URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 429 AM EST Sat Feb 13 2021 DCZ001-MDZ003>006-008-011-013-014-502>508-VAZ028-031-052>054-501- 505-506-WVZ051>053-131730- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0011.210213T1200Z-210214T1200Z/ District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll- Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Central and Eastern Allegany-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Frederick VA-Clarke-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier- Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- 429 AM EST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Predominantly sleet and freezing rain, possibly mixed with snow in northern Maryland. Snow and sleet accumulation of less than one inch and ice accumulations of one tenth to two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, much of central and western Maryland, portions of northern and northwest Virginia and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

Calvert county added to ISW

Wouldn't be surprised if we see ISW appear in i95 corridor if 00z models look like 00z NAM

18z GFS looks pretty icy at 84-90 across much of the region

Eexcept for the ISW in S MD and EZF area

well NAM twins brought it back for the most part... not severe... but still couple tenths

i dunno... that para GFS/GFS/ICON combo is pretty mean

06z GFS also has an ice to dryslot event all day Thursday which later turns into "rains to Maine" Friday with 51 at DCA and heavy rain

06z Para GFS agrees with 06z GFS and kicks out the wave in full swoop... late Monday night into Tuesday morning major ice storm... slams i81 to i95 corridor with 0.4-0.8" ice as well

0.4"-0.8" ice... nice lol... mainly centered along i95 corridor as well

lulz 06z GFS says oh you thought you were done? Nice try... come back into my parlor with my major ice storm Monday night into Tuesday morning for all of you Kicks out everything in one full wave instead of two this run so there is no Tue/Wed storm anymore... only the Mon/Tues storm

06z 3km NAM now has 0.23" ice at DCA through 60 hours while 00z had 0.05"... expansive area of 0.20" to 0.40" on this 06z run across a majority of the LWX CWA 06z 12km NAM now has 0.1-0.2" ice along i95 corridor from BWI to EZF... S MD 0.3-0.4" ice 06z RGEM is 0.1-0.2" ice along i95 corridor BWI to EZF... just south of EZF and S MD 0.25-0.35" ice

LWX morning disco still discussing warnings despite overnight runs apparently

Must be a bit NE of this LSR? PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 327 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2021 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0300 AM SNOW ESE LUSBY 38.41N 76.45W 02/12/2021 M2.5 INCH CALVERT MD TRAINED SPOTTER 0319 AM SNOW 2 W CALLAWAY 38.24N 76.56W 02/12/2021 M4.3 INCH ST. MARYS MD TRAINED SPOTTER

I'll call it... a mini dusting here lol

A little envious up here... but glad you all are getting some good snows... congrats

I guess this can go here? https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf2/scn21-20gfs_v16.0.pdf Major changes coming for the GFS model... para will be instituted on March 17th.... pretty lengthy document of what they are doing/upgrading

Congrats and enjoy

An hour left until the 00z Euro locks in 50s for Tuesday as well