yoda

00z NAM at range ofc... but shear is through the roof at 12z FRI -- but no SBCAPE as of yet since its morning lol. ML Lapse Rates are near 7.0 C/KM too

Looks like Kansas is being shown the door by USC

I bet a penny

Good call lol

@nj2va can't wait for this (from this afternoon's LWX AFD)

re Friday's chance from this afternoon's LWX AFD

Bye Iowa... being blown out by Oregon here in teh 2nd half

Hopefully the EURO is right over the GFS

So Friday maybe?

3 to 6 inches of snow late Sunday into Monday next week (29th of March)

00z GFS is lulz tonight

Lol that will be gone at 06z

Bye Texas lol

Losing by 40 ftmfl lol

Penguins 5pts back after a win and Caps loss today

Alabama/Maryland on Monday

Looks like Maryland is the last team in the region still in lol ETA: forgot WVU still in

New Day 1... wow. The huge MOD risk from the Day 2 basically disappeared into a small MOD risk in SE NC/NE SC... even the ENH risk area is smaller. The 45 percent contour and hatched wind are gone... down to large 30 percent now. Large 30 percent hail gone... down to large 15 percent. Disco explains why pretty well too

Day 1 OTLK has 5% hail reach DC metro and south and southwest down into i81 corridor

Jeff disagrees strongly https://mobile.twitter.com/VORTEXJeff/status/1372373456629731330

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Birmingham AL 248 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ALC073-172015- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-210317T2015Z/ Jefferson AL- 248 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY... At 247 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Cardiff, or near Sumiton, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Emergency management confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Gardendale, Adamsville, Graysville, Brookside, West Jefferson, Cardiff, Sayre and Partridge Crossroads.

Confirmed TOG SE of Miller, AL in Marengo County and another TOG near Quinton/Dora AL

**** Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Birmingham AL 241 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ALC125-172000- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-210317T2000Z/ Tuscaloosa AL- 241 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TUSCALOOSA COUNTY... At 241 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Shelton State Community College, or 9 miles south of Tuscaloosa, moving northeast at 30 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Public confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Tuscaloosa, Moundville, Coaling, University Mall, McFarland Mall, Shelton State Community College, Tuscaloosa Amphitheater, Bryant Denny Stadium, Englewood, Little Sandy, Maxwell, University Of Alabama Quad, Taylorville, Hull, Mound State Park, Duncanville and Stillman College. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

evere Weather Statement National Weather Service Birmingham AL 235 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ALC091-172015- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-210317T2015Z/ Marengo AL- 235 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN MARENGO COUNTY... At 235 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Wayne, or 12 miles south of Linden, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Linden, Thomaston, Sweet Water, Dayton, Wayne, Freddie Jones Field, Miller, Dixons Mill, Consul, Magnolia, Calvary and Octagon.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Birmingham AL 234 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ALC037-172000- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-210317T2000Z/ Coosa AL- 234 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL COOSA COUNTY... At 234 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Weogufka, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Weogufka.