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Dunkman

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Everything posted by Dunkman

  1. Dunkman
    At least we’re going to have a mix of temperatures for our rain coming up instead of just 30s. Should be some 40 degree rain, some 50 degree rain and maybe even some 60 degree rain!
  2. Dunkman
    Hey it’s up to 41 now! Heat wave!
  3. Dunkman
    Oh yeah Raleigh gets 60 degrees and a severe thunderstorm with the QLCS but just more 30s and rain for me
  4. Dunkman
    Yeah that’s good let’s get that base up out west for my spring break ski trip.
  5. Dunkman
    It’s not out on Pivotal yet. Maybe it is on a paid site? It’s been awhile since the weather tempted me to subscribe somewhere.
  6. Dunkman
    You can’t really expect a storm with that much cold in our climate this late in the season. It really can only happen in places like the frozen tundra of San Antonio.
  7. Dunkman
    Same here. It was 12” but still...
  8. Dunkman
    That sounds good to me 3” would like quadruple my winter total
  9. Dunkman
    RAH downgraded everyone except the VA border counties to an advisory.
  10. Dunkman
    I don’t know how things are everywhere but here in west central Guilford it’s melting at the point that there will be very little left by sunset. That would almost certainly make the overnight icing inconsequential.
  11. Dunkman
    I mean the GEFS does have a CAD signal...
  12. Dunkman
    The melting has already started here. I’ll be surprised if there’s anything left by late this afternoon.
  13. Dunkman
    Unfortunately this heavier band is all ZR so far in N High Point. I was really hoping for some sleet.
  14. Dunkman
    It's important to note that this isn't an in situ event. It doesn't really matter whether clouds roll in at the right (or wrong) time to lock in warmth or let it escape. This will ultimately be controlled by air that the high pressure funnels into the region. Considering my winds are out of the SE right now I'm not really sure what impacts the current dewpoints are going to ultimately have.
  15. Dunkman
    All of the above. But I wouldn’t rule out warning criteria ice either. It looks like I may be living in front of the fireplace for a few days.
  16. Dunkman
    It tries to. I still have real questions about accrual if it’s gonna be 50 degrees at 850mb. We’ve had numerous potential ZR events bust over the years due to heavy rates and stout warm noses.
  17. Dunkman
    RAH is somewhat more aggressive with the totals into NC.
  18. Dunkman
    Yeah the ICON shows ZR and sleet as rain. I’d imagine those bright returns near the snow line in VA are sleet and all the rest is ZR.
  19. Dunkman
    Only about 10% of High Point electric customers are still without power now after hitting 50% late this morning. I feel very fortunate to have only lost it for a couple hours.
  20. Dunkman
    Eek, still holding on here near Barrow road. Looks like about half of the 40k High Point energy customers are out as of now.
  21. Dunkman
    That’s definitely just raw model output.
  22. Dunkman
    I don’t know what to think about that. The NAM has been far too dry at times with multiple systems in the last month.
  23. Dunkman
    If I didn’t have falling trees to worry about them probably. I rooted for hurricanes growing up on the coast as well. That would be one heck of a sleet storm if the soundings are right. I remember getting about 1.5” of qpf as sleet a few years ago and it was wild. We ended up with like a 20” iceberg on the back deck from where the sleet would funnel down the roof.
  24. Dunkman
    I would hope a lot of us could sleet in northern NC if there’s ZR in Macon Georgia but who knows.
  25. Dunkman
    Yeah no way that happens with that look. I can’t speak for anyone else but I’m gonna fire up the generator this week and make sure it’s working.
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