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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    That was a bit of a bummer. The hi res nam is actually the worst its been yet.
  2. wncsnow
    Not the run I was hoping for after seeing the SREF. Similar to last run for WNC.
  3. wncsnow
    Not sure it will be much better than 18Z for western areas unless the 2nd round perks it up
  4. wncsnow
    Coming in hot
  5. wncsnow
    I remember the HRRR consistently giving me 4 or 5 inches and the Nam was 1 or 2. Unfortunately the Nam won.
  6. wncsnow
    Some slight improvements in western areas but not where we want it yet
  7. wncsnow
    Some positive changes through 32. Our gulf low is a little stronger than last run and the precip field is a little more organized
  8. wncsnow
    Big change. Maybe our upper air network gave some updated data for 00Z?
  9. wncsnow
    Through 29 hours HRRR appears to be a tad slower than last run
  10. wncsnow
    @WXNewton props for keeping up with the trends and models. You have done well my apprentice
  11. wncsnow
    That's the upper disturbance we have seen modeled I imagine
  12. wncsnow
    Some of my family who only watch basic TV channels were pretty disappointed with his lack of urgent warning on his newscasts with Helene. He's too robotic
  13. wncsnow
    Boyer is very bearish. Can't blame him but he's hardly ever excited.
  14. wncsnow
    GFS is slightly improved for western areas
  15. wncsnow
    RGEM had some small improvements with the precip shield. The ICON was a little worse.
  16. wncsnow
    A little less than 12Z honestly but still not the worst
  17. wncsnow
    @BornAgain13You get slammed this run
  18. wncsnow
    Our snow hole is almost gone on the regular NAM
  19. wncsnow
    Hi Res NAM is coming in with the dry slot
  20. wncsnow
    Never discount the NAM thermals, especially within 48 hours..
  21. wncsnow
    NAM is warmer than basically any other piece of guidance we have
  22. wncsnow
    The euro has it almost 40 in Asheville.
  23. wncsnow
    Yes but compare that to other short range guidance and its still way drier
  24. wncsnow
    There's dry, then there's HRRR dry
  25. wncsnow
    HRRR doesnt look too hot
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