wncsnow

Anyone else miss the DGEX?

Its such a marginal setup with temps and precip, you are setting yourself up for disappointment if you expect more than a coating- inch. Of course that can still change but it can also change on the dry side too.

We need heavier precip. Light rates= brown ground

Best WNC December snow storms of all time. Courtesy of webber weather

NAM is colder this run but its razor edge

I broke it down a bit further and researched winter storms since 2000 in December and this is what I could find for WNC- In December 2000 there was a 1-3 inch snow for most of the foothills west of 77 and mountains In December 2002 there was a nice CAD storm with 2-6 inches for most of the foothills and mountains In December 2003 there were multiple small events/icing events In December 2005 there were 2 icing events In December 2009 there was the big snowstorm on December 19 In December 2010 there were a couple small events and the big Christmas snow In December 2017 there was a big overrunning snow In December 2018 there was a big snow In December 2019 there was a light icing event So thats 9 out of 25 winters with at least small events. There were 4 big snowstorms in that time frame. December has definitely been feast or famine but over the past 25 years it has produced 3 of the 5 biggest snowstorms for WNC.

Round 2 on the Euro for Sat night but its mostly rain outside the mountains

Even though the amounts could be light, this is our best chance since last January.

Meh.

Euro looks similar, a little light on the precip though

Yup. Where's @BIG FROSTY

Another thing to note is this is less than 70 hours from start time.

I expect the Euro to show another nice scenario for NW NC and SW VA. That looks like the best spot to be for now

UK is close for a nice hit for a lot of 40 north folks

It was 90% cold rain

Yep this could be another cold rain for us and is trending that way for now..

Yeah we are in the least snowy 6 year period in recorded history. Only 1 winter storm warning criteria storm in that time frame. Only other time frame thats close is 97-02.

Yep, area wide 6-8 inch storm would have been amazing. Maybe Friday can still work but it's super marginal.

Yep about the same here. We need the rain though

Thought this was interesting. Some mets think that Arctic air masses will modify even more this winter due to the Hudson Bay being almost ice free and having less ice than almost any other year ever

Stronger southern stream but weaker CAD high and our pesky SE Ridge is still fighting back enough to mess up the cold air transport

Euro is more amped as well but too warm for most of NC but some ice in CAD regions. Some snow in VA.

UK is quite amped with the Friday system and has ice for WNC and some snow in VA.