Going with 2-3 inches here. Too much dry air showing up on the Hi Res models. Could even be a March 2009 bust with less than an inch directly in the Lee. Nam and HRRR keep getting worse not better.
It's weird because it looks like decent echoes on simulated radar for hours yet totals are meager. 2-4 generally for us despite decent returns. Dry air.
Yeah I think its all perspective. Generally I only look at the NAM 3K for p types and to get a general idea where heaviest precip will be. HRRR looks ok. Nothing special and not like the Euro though.