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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. We are only talking 6 days out and there's huge model disagreement.
  2. Only hundreds of miles south of the Euro. No biggie.
  3. GFS is consistent that the storm is well south leading to snow/sleet/ZR threat
  4. DC looks like the sweet spot for storm 1. I am not expecting more than a cold rain for most of NC for that one.
  5. Almost had freezing fog this morning. Was 34 and socked in. 53 in Asheville and sunny.
  6. Models are trending on delayed cold east of the Apps.
  7. UK is way north with the first wave. GFS seems to be on an island. GFS has snow or ice where the UK has a potential severe outbreak in TN
  8. Looks squished to me but trying to turn the corner
  9. Canadian says no dice for storm 1. Too far north
  10. It did but it has the feeling of a heavy overrunning band of snow that will jackpot someone. I think sleet and ZR will be a big factor with storm 1 for cad areas.
  11. Ends up being a decent event for SW NC and a couple inches out across I 4O corridor.
  12. Odd looking setup but that's a heavy band of snow
  13. This might be a good run for the first wave unless it shears out
  14. Looks like the GFS will come in further south this run
  15. Watch the clipper system system on Friday. It's looking juicier on models
  16. 1969 had one of the biggest snowstorms on record here in the foothills
  17. And that 2009/10 winter set the standard for modern east coast winters with that-NAO.
  18. This is more concerning to me. The PNA is only between 0 and +1. I would much rather see it +2.
  19. We really need the -NAO to drop to -2 or lower for it to dominate the storm track. Right now it's progged to drop to -1.75 or so before slowly rising in the middle of January.
  20. I don't think its time to give up hope but its undeniable that the trends have been very poor the past 24-36 hours. The means on all the globals have decreased dramatically. The QPF on the means have decreased dramatically.
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