wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Euro is not trending south anymore. Slightly north of 18Z and similar to 12Z. Not much frozen precip in NC.
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https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/61436-mid-to-long-range-discussion-2025/
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Let's do this
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We haven't had a severe ice storm since the 2000's. Usually we luckout and it's more sleet or it's 33 and rain
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Mostly sleet and ZR this run. Basically no snow south or VA
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GFS is north and amped. Folding to the Euro per normal.
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Happy New Year Foothills crew. It's been a hell of a year for most of us. I still have silt and mud from the Catawba River in my backyard. Finally got rid of most of the debris. Every day driving to work I see destruction still. Bridges out, mangled trailers and houses. I think we've all gone a bit numb to it. I hope 2025 is prosperous for all of us in the snow department and we avoid all major natural disasters!
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Ass thunderstorms are never good. Taco Bell usually ups the odds of those in my house.
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Another snowless winter.. every snow drought record is shattered.
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Right now they are changing... in the wrong direction. Much of NC went from a snow mean over 4 inches a few days ago to less than 2 inches. If we make it to January 16 it will be 3 years since the last measurable snow for a lot of us. I put the odds at 75% that we make it there with no snow here.
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Long range Euro ENS is ugly for snowlovers. Like others have said, the trough looks like early December too far NE.
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I hate to say it but it's looking like first storm then no storms for at least a week. If we don't score from the first storm we may find ourselves waiting until mid month. Every model is suppressed until then.
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Euro is close with that overrunning moisture. If it comes over WNC it could lay down a couple inches or snow
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The UK is even further north for the first wave.
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Looks like suppression city for the next wave. Gulf Coast getting some light wintry precip.
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Looks like the Canadian will be ice for CAD areas.
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We are only talking 6 days out and there's huge model disagreement.
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Only hundreds of miles south of the Euro. No biggie.
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GFS is consistent that the storm is well south leading to snow/sleet/ZR threat
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DC looks like the sweet spot for storm 1. I am not expecting more than a cold rain for most of NC for that one.
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Almost had freezing fog this morning. Was 34 and socked in. 53 in Asheville and sunny.
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Models are trending on delayed cold east of the Apps.
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Euro is a no go on first wave.. DC gets a foot
