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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    Honestly they both suck outside 24 hours. I would say inside 24 hours the HRRR is much better
  2. wncsnow
    Its quite interesting noticing the same precip maximums as the meso low snow that forms in 2003. Obviously that was more of a strong clipper but this could have the same footprint but with more widespread totals. I could see someone getting 12-15" out of this in a small area.
  3. wncsnow
    Milky sun in Asheville
  4. wncsnow
  5. wncsnow
    You're right its bigger
  6. wncsnow
    HRRR precip showing a huge dry slot
  7. wncsnow
    Best HRRR run so far
  8. wncsnow
    Slower and west is the theme still good for western carolinas
  9. wncsnow
    I think we are good as long as the ULL tracks where its progged to and the meso low delivers. Father NE towards the Triad has the best shot of dry air IMO.
  10. wncsnow
    It's a bit concerning they give the NAM that much weight
  11. wncsnow
    GSP lowered totals a bit, I do think they are playing catch up a little with the lower overnight trends vs the higher trends today. I expect them to bump it back up later.
  12. wncsnow
    SREF juiced up for us too. Could be a big NAM run coming.
  13. wncsnow
    Best rates look like tomorrow morning through lunchtime. Love a good daytime snow!
  14. wncsnow
    lovely Euro run. Someone near @strongwxncis getting 10+ out of this
  15. wncsnow
    Another short range gets juicier!
  16. wncsnow
    GFS also has a system
  17. wncsnow
    That period is looking more and more interesting..
  18. wncsnow
    GFS had a stronger ULL which led to more expansive precip in the Western Carolinas.
  19. wncsnow
    Best GFS run of the entire storm for us leeside folks
  20. wncsnow
    Trended stronger with the ULL. We need it as strong as we can to maximize forcing and spin up that meso low
  21. wncsnow
    I think the short range is encouraging for us leeside/downsloping folks. The moisture trajectory is looking a little more SE/Easterly. We have to avoid the north or NW wind.
  22. wncsnow
    FV3 still looks solid. RRFS has the most precip minima now but has trended a little better
  23. wncsnow
    Pretty solid NAM runs. Upstate gets hammered. We need just a little push north.
  24. wncsnow
    Going with 2-3 inches here. Too much dry air showing up on the Hi Res models. Could even be a March 2009 bust with less than an inch directly in the Lee. Nam and HRRR keep getting worse not better.
  25. wncsnow
    Improved too
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