wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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No time better than the present.. for an old fashioned sleet storm!
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Thanks Ward, I sure hope so. Short range models seem to be generally trending a bit colder so it will be interesting. I definitely hope we don't get power issues with lots of ice.
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What you thinking for places like Marion, seems like we could be in a decent spot
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New NAMs are bad news for ice issues in Northern foothills and mountains. Even 85 corridor gets some
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The key here is if we can get enough heavy precip in with the WAA before it switches over to ZR or rain.
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Euro still looks the same
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It does only take one storm but it certainly appears the cold is going to dump into the west and northern Rockies and the SE will be dealing with pesky ridging which is common in Ninas.
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Nail in the coffin?
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Any early ideas of what next winter looks like? Nino? Neutral?
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The UK did trend a bit colder
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It's not even that cold here today, up to 43 already.
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That's one thing I have noticed, the timing is getting slower and slower which is allowing more time to warm up
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Still borderline here and won't be much accrual at 32. Needs to trend colder. The chances of getting snow are slim to none here I'm afraid.
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Not falling for the HRRR again, I think its nothing more than a nuisance event to rain here. You could see more serious ice
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I really thought this could be the one that broke the streak here but it's trending like every other winter event here the past 25 months. In the gutter
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Euro isn't very good and not trending south that's for sure. This is for I 40 areas of NC and foothills/mtns. It's still pretty good for Roanoke to Lynchburg
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UK is a nice hit
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GFS still pretty much sucks unless you are VA north
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I don't think that will be a problem for you this time. No downsloping with the SW flow
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I will take what I can get here after the past 25 months. If it's an inch or 2 of snow and sleet and crusty glaze on top I would be happy
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RDPS looks similar just a tad warmer
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The hi res NAM just doesn't have much heavy precip. Very splotchy with the WAA.
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Keep in mind places with accrual are barely cold enough so it wouldn't be this much. Poor run.
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More of a nuisance event on the NAM for most of NC except for far NW corner and higher elevations on the Blue Ridge
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Not as much moisture or cold as the 18Z.
