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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    25 tonight, colder than expected
  2. wncsnow
    anyone chasing this one? Some models have over 2 feet in PA.
  3. wncsnow
    It's the long range HRRR but I have seen a few models showing a changeover to snow before ending for the mountains and adjacent foothills. Could be totally bogus but worth a mention.
  4. wncsnow
    I hope they are right, great post Grit..
  5. wncsnow
    Was NOT expecting these type of wind gusts this morning. Power has went off once already and it has to be gusting 45+
  6. wncsnow
    The RDPS looks similar to past runs. Maybe a bit more moisture
  7. wncsnow
    I'm thinking it's more of a nuisance event for most with little impact on power issues. Possibly some travel issues.
  8. wncsnow
    DC and most of the mid Atlantic isn't going to like the NAM model. Things are trending towards an inland low track and snow only in the mountains. It still produces a decent amount of ice for the foothills
  9. wncsnow
    One thing I have noticed on basically all the models is this isn't a QPF bomb. Less than .5 for western NC and many places less than .3 Miller B suckiness
  10. wncsnow
    Euro looks meh. Warm and light precip. Has a stronger low in the TN Valley and less CAD. That run was not good for wintry precip even DC is rain
  11. wncsnow
    The precip doesn't look all that heavy especially for western areas.
  12. wncsnow
    I'm hoping for more sleet than ZR here near Marion and thats usually the case here in these setups but thats quite the warm nose
  13. wncsnow
    Yea the NAM has temps here in the upper 20s so it would get dicey with ice.
  14. wncsnow
    Take it for what its worth but at the end of the 18z nam it does not look impressive with the CAD.
  15. wncsnow
    Where's lookout he is very knowledgeable with CAD events
  16. wncsnow
    Well the Euro is still the warmest model probably and shows it going over to rain for most
  17. wncsnow
    It could start as sleet there for a while too
  18. wncsnow
    The UK is starting to look nice too. Some of this would be sleet and ZR
  19. wncsnow
    I think the foothills will start out as snow and sleet then switch over. GFS hints at this. Maybe an inch or 2 before switching to ZR
  20. wncsnow
    The Blue Ridge escarpment begs to differ. Elevation can make things worse trust me.
  21. wncsnow
    Some of this is from the first storm but West Virginia to Central PA turns into snow central. 2 feet lollipops
  22. wncsnow
    Euro doesn't quite get it done. Starts off as mix in western NC North of 40 then goes over to rain. Not heavy qpf west of 77 but about .5 for most. The low is too far north even DC goes over to rain
  23. wncsnow
    The first wave is trending stronger and stronger for Sunday night/Monday. West Virginia could get over 6 inches in spots and most of Western NC gets 1.5 to 2 inches of rain.
  24. wncsnow
    Interesting map, I would have expected the darker blue and white to follow down the eastern slopes of the blue ridge more. I have seen nasty ice storms right along the escarpment and rain in the piedmont plenty of times.
  25. wncsnow
    CAD almost always overperforms here, and with the NAO going negative I don't think the high is going to retreat that quickly. Miller B type systems like this are perfect for CAD setups. The coastal low can help funnel the NE winds down and keep the CAD in place
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