wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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And Covid numbers are skyrocketing here including my own family unfortunately
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GFS has storm 2
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Even the new version shows splotches of heavy accumulation and is a step down from previous runs
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Surface temps are causing issues too
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Its kind of like the 06Z run with not a whole lot of moisture
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Definitely farther south this run and more snow into the upstate even less in Northern NC
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The ICON looks pretty crappy on snow totals outside a few pockets and the mountains. Thankfully it's the icon
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It looks to have a nice result with the position of the upper low and surface reflection. Moisture looks a bit meager at 84 but should be fine.
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Total snow map from the 2 systems. This is 10-1 so likely overdone but lots of potential
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VA and DC get hammered and its a nice system for central NC but temps are really marginal
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Next Monday is also interesting on the Euro and another nice snow for western areas
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Tar heel classic
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I 40 corridor even into Eastern NC getting it this run
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Ooh la la.. still snowing some areas
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Euro looks very similar to 12Z run
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It's more suppressed than other runs as seen by the QPF output.
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Best run of the system so far on the GFS and most of the moisture falls at night in Western NC which will help some with borderline surface temps.
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Western NC mountains and foothills heavy snow at 102. Quicker than other models
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The low pressure is farther south so far on the GFS as compared to the 18Z run
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I will take a hard pass on that analog. See that downsloping area with no snow cover? That's MBY. Agonizing storm after multiple awful winters here.
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True that! It will be interesting to see how it plays out on the NAM the next few days when it gets closer to range.
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It's the NAM at 84 hours...
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Well this is doomed from the start
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Just need more moisture in the mountains and foothills
