Models are honing in on the leeside downsloping and a leeside maximum, gonna be some big winners and losers and in close proximity.
It was 16 here this morning. 2nd coldest of the season
The forcing shifts east quicker with the low closer to the coast. would be better for us if its further away unless it somehow phases quick enough to throw back moisture this far west
This is a great write up about that event. This setup is not completely dissimilar...
https://projects.ncsu.edu/atmos_collaboration/nwsfo/storage/cases/20030123/