ncskywarn

This would be ugly.

Started snowing in Western Cary, Carpenter area about 10-15 minutes ago. Small flakes but it is snowing.

To make it even more laughable Wake County gets more snow on that map then anywhere else in the United States or Canada.

Someone on Southern Weather said that the HRRR uses the same algorithm that the RAP uses. So that really is not unexpected or surprising.

Even is the models trend back with more QPF do you really think that Western Wake County will only be in the 1-2 inch range?

WAR flexed just enough to slow down the NS and allow the SS to catch up just a little.

Not necessarily because that would cause WAA mixing issues and a lot of ice. That many of us don't want to see.

RDU SERF

Just changed over to all snow now.

Still rain/snow mix Cary Park area of West Cary.

https://www.severestudios.com/livechase/

Greg Fishel announcement http://wr.al/1EK7j

06Z GFS significantly further South compaired to 00Z at hour 96. Edit: Ends up about the same place though at hour 120. By hour 150 the low ends up further North over the NC sounds just West of Hatteras. compaired to off the coast East of the NC/SC border a lot more rain then snow for a lot of people.