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Everything posted by Tatamy
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I would have received 3” at 12z and I would still get that on this run. You can’t make this up…
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CMC at 132 hrs
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On the 12z GEFS, out of 20 members, one hits the whole area, another is an inland runner, another clips the east end of LI, and the remainder bring minimal or nothing.
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Look at 500mb - no bueno - trough is flatter.
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I wouldn’t be getting sucked into this one too quickly… like you said it’s a nice thought.
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If this works out we are looking at 2-4” across the area Tuesday night.
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Anafrontal Passage Rain/Snow Threat 1/19/2022-1/20/2022
Tatamy replied to HVSnowLover's topic in New York City Metro
That is very possible. There is actually a lot of support from the 12z mesos for the amounts you noted. With all the focus on the Friday night system and whether or not it goes OTS or not I will take what we can get from this one. -
This type of snow activity tends to be low topped and the activity up in the Poconos is not always well picked up by radar from Mt. Holly. I can’t tell you what the conditions are like up there now however in the space of 5 minutes we went from 3/8 mile visibility to just a few flurries. I would guess that conditions are improving up there.
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Mt. Holly has a special weather statement for this feature indicating the potential for 1/2” to 1” of accumulation for the area extending from the Lehigh Valley across central NJ down to the area of Toms River, NJ.
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A lake effect streamer has set up shop over eastern PA and far western NJ. Have been seeing some light snow and flurries around for a couple of hours now.
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I had to remind myself of that as well when I was doing my shoveling. I had to put down two bags of ice melt as well as the predicted warmer temperatures for the overnight period never came to be. We had plenty of rain though but the ice held up just fine. And to think that a lot of people lamented getting no snow or very little last night. Oh well. It looks like those who did not see snow of any significance last night will get their chance as we go through the week.
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SE Light at Block Island gusted to 72 mph at 5:49 am. Another nearby station on Block Island gusted to 71 mph at about the same time. The stations that I follow on Fire Island gusted to between 40-45 mph overnight.
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Steady light snow. 33/32 Storm total so far 3.7”. 2.5” still OTG.
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