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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. You’re good on Tuesday, this event up here is now like later Wednesday and Thursday. But you have to drive through it I guess before it gets north ha.
  2. There’s a decent NNE contingency, I feel like it’s stronger than it has been in past years with a couple of the new posters too. But post count has dropped quite a lot since those Dec 1992 runs.
  3. There is something to keeping some southern runs going or this thread does very fast. Already happening.
  4. The NAM was thoroughly discounted the past couple events when it was on its own. Remember all that snowfall it was showing just a couple days ago for that long-duration rainer? Amped up into the cold sector?
  5. GFS is interesting. Still going through Saturday, ha. Interesting how there’s no 10:1 snow in ORH Hills but snow depth increases…
  6. Longer that primary holds on the more it seems able to flood BL warmth in too.
  7. 6z ICON FWIW got drastically better on the coastal plain.
  8. Long duration E-NE flow into that topography… it really is the first big wall encountered by the moist Atlantic maritime air. If mountains are rocks in a stream, when the water flows from the east into New England, the largest build-up of water is on the east side of the Apps. West of there is turbulent (windy/angry) flow.
  9. I’m going eastern facing side of the Whites for the jackpot right now.
  10. To be honest it doesn’t matter lol. Just think it’s a marginal air mass, the 10:1 maps are over-selling it. In some cases pretty solidly over-selling it.
  11. To me it depends on rates. 12-15” of 10:1 snow maps over 36-48 hours of “periods of snow” probably verifies as 4-6 inches on the ground when it ends. If it’s 12-15” in 12-18 hours, it’s probably closer to that 10-12” on ground.
  12. Agreed. 1,000ft is good but the lower elevations have had numerous storms where depth change nailed it pretty good. Especially up here with valley vs mountain ratios.
  13. It’s been very good this season to be honest. Numerous events the depth change has been much closer to reality with so many marginal temp events. The 10:1 maps stacking up white rain that the depth maps got right at 4:1.
  14. Brattleboro is essentially Greenfield, MA like Hippy said. Literally the same exact climate in the CT Valley there at the MA/VT/NH borders. Maybe even worse than Greenfield because it has slightly higher terrain east and west. Monadnocks on one side and the S. Greens on the other.
  15. Pretty tight to the coast but would rip for a bit.
  16. Basically comparing the CT Valley with the coastal plain… the northern MA coastal plain historically does better on deep layer east flow than the CT Valley in MA/CT. Climo wise it favors Essex and Middlesex counties over CEF/BDL/HFD.
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