powderfreak

Yeah my parents texted me that they had graupel pouring down at 215ft about 15 minutes ago. Cold must be undercutting. Even ALB was 2 mile visibility with -PL there for a moment.

Cold rain here in town. Radar bright banding would estimate a snow level near 2,000ft.

22F for the low last night... brrr. Already recovered 20 degrees in two hours though up into the 40s.

Ha, this time of year you need to get over 1,500ft-2,000ft to enter winter. Living above 3,000ft would be a trip.... just snows relentlessly in the winter. A lot of QPF throughout the year. Living down here at 750ft on the valley floor though, we just have our big temperature swings to hold on to. 9F drop in the last hour and 14F drop in the last two hours... warmth just vacates as fast as possible in the valley as soon as the sun goes down.

Late April evening... clear and cold, ha. 59" of snow depth at the picnic tables. Sharp gradient from spring to deep winter.

38/13 here at midday under full sunshine at the ASOS, lol. Some cold air mass aloft....Picnic tables were mid-teens this morning with wind. SLK just rose above freezing, ha. At least its sunny out, didn't realize how much of New England was cloudy right now.

Yeah this is the time of year where NNE can torch with the best of them. No greenery and usually dry air masses that become extremely well mixed... over-performing afternoons and high diurnal ranges at times (I know you know this, ha).

Florida is f*cked in that case.

True, 8 of the last 11 days have had maxes under 48F. Mid-week looks obscene cold. Persistent flurries too. BTV forecasting 30s for highs when normal is 55F. Wednesday Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the mid 30s.

It’s 64F at BDL... that doesn’t sound that bad today. Probably upper 50s in the hills?

It’s cloudy and light rain just started. Still feels very warm.

57/29 right now and I’m walking the dog in shorts. It is insane how warm upper 50s feel right now. This same exact day in late September probably has me in flannel and a jacket ....and folks thinking about firing up the wood stoves. Crazy how the body adapts to the different baselines as the seasons change.

Tough sacrifices, ha.

Patchy sun and 47F up here lol

Great pics crew... thanks for sharing and looks like a fun event. Nice to see a good ol' fashioned SNE snow thread.

31/24 up here. This is a pretty cool air mass... SNE should be able to wet bulb down with steady rates.

Digging into the 18z EURO, the forcing is strengthening and slowing down between Kev and your area. Northern CT into SE Mass probably will have a radar that's blossoming and slowing down a bit. Just simply the 1-hr QPF progs show generally lighter stuff over New York/PA this evening.... Then it blows up into this large area of heavy precipitation... a 3-4 hour from Eastern CT to SE Mass sees 0.10" or more per hour bucket rates and that's what you want to see for snow accumulations in marginal set-ups.

Sister in BGM suburb at around 800ft I think? Edit: Just looked it up and they are actually at exactly 1,000ft on the line.

Yeah I’m guilty of posting the snow maps as visual but those will skew some people’s opinions... it might even be 5-6:1 ratios in spots with white rain at times, not the 10:1. Though maybe 1,000ft gets closer? I still think up there it’ll be 8:1 up at elevation when we look at the morning Cocorahs obs. 2-3” is a good pasty amount for the 3rd week of April. 3” though really is like the point where things look “white” and it has the feel of a real snowfall.

No you think you get shafted at 800ft in every storm because the elevations around you always do better. But I bet you do better than the Hudson Valley and locations at lower elevations.

What elevation?

It hasn’t lol. One of the most steady model performances of the entire winter.

Ahh gotcha. So you manipulate the guidance for your local area and that might have some odd side effects elsewhere...but it doesn’t matter because no one will ever see it? Interesting, I didn’t know it worked like that. I find it fascinating how you guys populate grids and make forecasts.

How the hell would you ever get to 1-2” for NYC on any domain area? Even if you don’t pull from surrounding offices, what data would you load in to get those totals?

It should be interesting to see it shake out. The diurnal timing is perfect for some really late climo-wise snowfall in spots outside the hills.