powderfreak

Almost straight whiteout now at the ski area in these heavy echos. By far heaviest snowfall of the entire event, as usual once the winds flip westerly.

Some solid squalls moving through up here. Heaviest snow of the event, ha. ...A SNOW SQUALL WILL AFFECT THE I-89 CORRIDOR FROM BURLINGTON TO WATERBURY THROUGH 9 AM.. At 744 AM EST...A snow squall was over South Burlington and Essex Junction...moving southeast at 20 mph. Locations impacted include... Essex Junction, South Burlington, Burlington International Airport, Burlington, Winooski, Stowe, Waterbury Village, Westford, Waitsfield, Fayston, Colchester, Essex Junction Village, Williston, Bolton, Richmond, Underhill, Jericho, Hinesburg, Waterbury, St. George and Huntington.

Tighten up that range .

Only 2" for this event at the ski resort.... a very light crust too from some freezing mist of about a couple tenths of an inch on the top of the snow surface.

Nice system for you southerners (southern NNEers, ha). Only 2” of sand up here. Small flakes all day, decently dense stuff. Seemed like that arctic sand snow but at much warmer temps. Wintry appeal though with around 15” on the ground.

That track looks familiar this season.... for all the crap we give Blizzy for his persistence forecast, even the clown range models can't buck the seasonal trend for even a run or two . That EURO snow map Ginxy posted too looks like a lot of snow maps we've seen this season. It's bizarre how stable that has been for months now.

This was the EURO's snowfall map from this morning.... to be honest I'm not exactly sure where N. Conway is relative to the county lines, just that it's SE of the Whites/Presidentials. Good spot for this system. At least your female companionship can actually experience a real 6 up there.

What are you up to? Seems models were a good 6-8” there?

Winner winner chicken dinner? Well, maybe not chicken...

Doesn’t get much better. Only a wind blown 1-2” here with this system. Hard to tell exactly as it’s been very breezy...blowing the cars clean.

Burlington was the best college town I could have picked for myself... great atmosphere and you can walk everywhere.

See that provides more context than your first post. The first one you posted I read more like DIT’s “it hasn’t snowed so therefore it won’t in the future” but you actually back it up here with solid reasoning. My apologies for assuming you were just knee-jerking it.

It may never snow again. You are using the irrational line of thinking I used to use when all snowstorms hit eastern SNE for a few years. Assuming because BTV went two years without a 6+ event that it would continue to snow more in the Boston suburbs than in NNE. We get it, snow is emotional, but Nature loves averages. Then again, maybe that’s why this is happening...to make up for those big years. But Will called out my stupid assumptions then and it’s good he’s calling out yours too, lol. Just because it didn’t snow for a while doesn’t mean it will continue to not snow.

You got hit with 1-2 canes every decade?! Or you mean 1-2 tropical cyclones were in the vicinity each decade?

I totally get the seasonal vibe everyone is quoting as a reason to give it up, but it surprises me every year how many of you have no faith in March as a winter month. March at BDL averages pretty much the same snowfall that December does...6-7”. It isn’t outlandish to think it *might* snow.

How many canes do you think you average every 100 years?

It certainly doesn’t look cold, but it can still be serviceable as we enter bowling season in March. I totally get your pessimism from months of the same thing, but I still think from a law of averages standpoint, the longer it doesn’t snow the more likely something breaks favorably.

C’mon Wolfie, are talking about weather here, not the President.

Early HRRR looks... Showing some severe SE flow downsloping west of the Green Mtn Spine and NW of the Whites.

No love for your hippies in Vermont?!

The EFS model knows for sure.... the Emotional Forecast System.

It could certainly be warm, but I'll take the under on 70s/50s for max/mins in the NNE mtns for 4 days. I will say, that was a fun week of summer skiing.

Warm down there? Had a couple rounds of light snow this morning, now going bluebird and temps/dews dropping a bit. 24/10 now in the valley with NW breeze. Perfect mid-winter day. 1" new snow at the mountain now blue skies. It has been one of the best President's Weekends weather wise that we've seen in a long time. Great snow going into it and just bluebird most of the time without high winds or truly brutal cold.

What did you have in 15-16? That was by far our worst winter in past 20+ years. I feel like even then, SNE was still in that stretch where you’d pull a 12+ event even in a terrible pattern.

We got screwed by mid-level dryness and despite the entire column below freezing had a pretty decent glaze event up here from supercooled water droplets. BTV/MVL/MPV/CDA ASOS’s all reported freezing rain and freezing drizzle along with unknown precipitation in that bust. That was one of the more interesting busts that we’d get. A below freezing column in a west to east moving synoptic system and the ASOSs are showing ZR, while the better lift in SNE is producing snow.