powderfreak

Some lightning, thunder and torrential rain. We were never in line for any severe up here but it feels more like summer with t-storms than the last time it rained hard, and switched to heavy wet snow earlier this week.

Basically it’s not winter in May like the first half of the month, but it also doesn’t scream summer. Something more normal for May looks like a good call.

Just reading it with no real vested interest it seems like it’s somewhere in the middle with a few vague posts. I’m not sure I’ve seen anyone call for a week of 40s, but maybe it’s there. Warming and improving each day sounds like it would make sense but that’s also what Will appeared to post. It doesn’t mean 75F and full bluebird but it doesn’t mean 52F and heavy rain. It could just be 60s with spot showers, which is an improvement from Mon/Tue. I dont know, it seems like semantics and trying to glean too much from a week long forecast represented by only icons. I see 70F and 73F there and assume most of the state is in the 60s outside the CT Valley.

To be fair that graphic has a cloud and rain drops in front of the sun on Friday, too. “Nice sunny warm end of week”, I would’ve expected something a little different there. Maybe we see what we want to see? But either way, 5-8F lower for you, that’s sort of in the middle ground of the two options you seem to be playing up...

Yes, it resides in a cold dark cave high up on a NNE mountain where snow lasts till June and max summer temps hit 65F.

BDL dew point up 40F from yesterday at this time... 18F to 58F. Folks will feel that.

Dewin' the Dew. Lowest dew I could find up here was SLK at 8F but most sites are around 20F until you get to the NW flow downslope drying in S.NH.

Heh, might have to settle here too. 27F to 65F so far, not sure we can squeak that extra couple degrees with some high cirrus coming in. I definitely have a little high diurnal range fetish ha.

That seems crazy for just 24 hours away. Current dew at CON is 16F with 15% RH. BDL at 20F and 19%.

We've got windows and doors open and its in the 50s. The sunshine feels so nice, ha.

Quick recovery from 27F to mid/upper 50s now. Lets get 60F+!

Nice catch. Would be curious to hear the locals thoughts on that. Site changes? "Seemed a lot windier when I was a kid...."

The DIT forecasting system... 80% personally desired weather and 20% model reality. If every model shows snow for days and days, go with it. Rain for days and days, toss.

Looks like a moist week on the Euro.

Today finally felt like we were coming out of it. Saw 54F on my car at 4pm, getting warm in the sunshine. However a dew of 18F means the breeze still has a little chill to it. Now we just need some leaves. I’m so ready for that fresh green of spring and done with stick season.

I think it’ll be nicer up here, it usually is in those cases as NW New England tries to get away from the maritime junk. I honestly haven’t looked at a damn thing except that gif Will posted, I’ll trust your analysis as it seems you looked deeper into it.

I can already see the photos posted of small patches of blue overhead in between rounds of showers while you try to show other SNE posters that it’s not all doom and gloom.

That needs to be inserted into the weenie Dictionary as exhibit A of that term. Great visual, just endless easterly flow above that thing.

Looks like our 850s go above freezing on Thursday for the first time in like 10 days up here? I remember in early May discussing how long a run of <0C at 850 it looked like...and it seems like it came true in full fashion with multiple days of snowfall included.

Hard to believe this is the scene in the Green Mountains on May 12th... The Western Slopes got crushed...certainly more over there than on the East side. Nice day for a weenie drive. A view looking at Trapp Family Lodge of "Sound of Music" fame....

Ha, for the record I am not going up there as Uphill Travel is currently closed (though not enforced) and they know that. There are still some Mtn Ops folks out and about and we also have some spies in the area. I am happy that after over a decade reporting snow on the mountain they regard anything with my stamp of approval as accurate. I've built up that trust. Anyway, it looked pretty damn caked on the hill this afternoon. Beautiful day to go for a weenie drive.

Yeah the ASOS up here has had a high of 45F under full sunshine in May. That’s a cold air mass to be in the 40s below 1,000ft with full sun this time of year. Dew points of 15F, lol. Bucks the trend of all the folks that say well if the sun is out in May it’s in the 60s.

12:45pm and still looks like winter in the higher terrain. 1,400ft and still 4” of snow caked to the trees. Just another May day in NNE.

Hopefully we see 70F later this week. One last winter morning in Vermont.

Bring 'em down? .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... As of 831 PM EDT Monday...Several additional tweaks needed to crnt fcst which include increasing snowfall amounts acrs central VT into the NEK, lowering hrly temps under the heaviest precip rates and making the required ptype adjustments. Spotters, NWS employees and general public report 1 to 3 inches of snow from the western slopes into portions of central/northern VT, mainly above 800 feet. Have seen an uptick in power outages this evening, along with web cams confirming some slick travel acrs the higher trrn mainly above 1500 feet. As heavy wet snow continues for several more hours, anticipate additional outages acrs central/northern VT into portions of the NEK tonight. Will re-issue sps to cover this potential. Water vapor shows classic backside deformation/commahead appearance in moisture structure, while deepening and closing off 5h/7h circulation shifts from central VT into central Maine. RAP13 shows heaviest precip and best 700 to 500mb forcing lifting from near BTV to MVL to Lyndon thru 03z this evening, before exiting our cwa. This will result in additional snowfall of 1 to 3 inches mainly above 1000 feet for central/northern VT mtns, including the NEK with some localized totals in the 3 to 5 inch range possible by morning. Radar shows back edge of precip slowly approaching the western CPV, so anticipate another couple hours of snowfall acrs the western slopes. Expecting storm total qpf in this axis to range from 0.50 to 1.0 with some localized higher amounts possible.