powderfreak

We 18z NAM. Pretty good consensus up this way.

Yeah Bob is crushing it at that amount... 0.41" here for the month.

I thought they dried up months ago and CT was a smoldering waste land by now?

In reality, that translates to a widespread 5-8", and then Friday and Monday are 2-4" river eastward during winter.

Ha maybe? It’s just the model literally gives you a deterministic outcome. It’s not like making guesses based on H5 or something.

How does a literal deterministic model run “translate” to something different than shown? It literally shows you the exact output... but you then “translate” into a different outcome? I’m confused. Is that like when a snow map shows 8” and you “translate” to widespread 12+?

That is one helluva gradient as Tamarack said... just over a foot in SE CT to 125”+ in S/C NH. Wow, that’s just a constant similar storm track over and over again.

Ha right on the first few snows. Now Phin should get snow in those similar upslope events... but I think this first winter more folks will be curious of his area as it’s new to the forum. There will be a novelty factor. But once they figure out that zone just has flakes in the air all the time too, they’ll tune it out fast .

Oh they are only one storm away... though you’ll probably get more lee way this winter as it’s the first winter and folks will be curious... but after that it won’t be a term of endearment lol. ”No one cares about the 6 humans living in Randolph...”

Ha that’s better. The R was a tougher one to work with... ripper is better than raking.

Ah you’re gonna need another phrase, Mansfield Magic is already trademarked over here . Maybe a Randolph Raking is in order?

Pretty much every model is 2-4” here by Wednesday night.

There is a part of him that definitely wants Stein to continue so he can say AWT... he’s scared about life after Stein.

DIT would lose his mind on the 6z GFS.

Congrats man. You earned it.

I want that. We decided to get my wife tested tomorrow. She can’t work until the results come back and they said likely by Tuesday sometime. 4 days to find out up here. She truly just feels like a head cold, nothing in the chest (ha, in another context that sounds bad to say about the wife). But everyone looks at you side eyed if you have the sniffles and voice sounds stuffy, so we are just going to do it despite the PCP saying it’s not a requirement and up to her. Going to be a long winter for head colds if that’s what it is.

Yeah like this is the wording they are using which is the same as the CDC (a fever AND symptoms). It’s a very uncomfortable position to be in, just wait till everyone is getting colds. If you think you have been exposed to COVID‑19 and develop a fever and symptoms...

Yeah I think we are leaning towards a test anyway once she can get home. But primary care and her General Manager guidance was to watch for fever. It’s really the first instance of trying to delineate between normal cold and COVID. I know at the ski area the fear here is getting into a practice where everyone with a runny nose needs to go home and get tested. It’s really tough to think about managing a couple dozen people and knowing when the right time to pull the trigger is. I think that’s why they look for fever? When my sister and her fiancé had it, they were firmly in the fever camp...101-102 for a week. Rapid testing is key.

My wife just came down with a really bad cold in the last 24 hours... runny nose, sneezing, sounds terrible, no energy, etc. Her work is allowing it fine as she has no fever and after contacting local PCP, they said it's fine as long as there's no fever. She's taking her temp every 3 hours or so. Will likely go home early today anyway but her spa has no employees and no one applying...so she needs to be there for now until someone comes in at noon. But it seems like a good starting point that everyone with a head cold doesn't just get sent home for two weeks or presumed to have COVID. The fever seems to be the really big part per the hotel group's SOP and the physicians advice. I always get at least one crushing head cold per winter...usually lasting 1-2 weeks. Maybe this enhanced hygiene though will cut down on those things like you said.

Ha misinterpreted it. I thought you were saying peer pressure is a negative. My bad on that (hat tip) . But certainly agree people have tuned the news out. I haven't looked at any COVID news in a long time except when prompted in this thread to be honest. Just go about your day with the new normal and you're good. No huge gatherings, wash your hands, wear your mask, and have a good day. This is certainly sustainable until

Really? Around here it seems that masks have become like washing your hands. Just something you do, like a good habit. Like it's second nature, you can see how it happened in the Asian countries. You do it for a while and it's just part of you when you go out... like putting pants on. Not out of fear anymore than using hand sanitizer every time you get in your car, just a good safe practice when in public.

I feel like the media has been doing that since the dawn of time... from everything like “drinking white win over red wine may cause you to die earlier” to various just odd ball stories sensationalizing every little study done on the planet. The media has always put out shit it shouldn’t and claimed it as gospel but no one cared when it was random studies about owning a dog makes you live 5.6 years longer on average than non-dog owners. Peer reviewed? Ha. The problem is this is the first time doing that seems to have really impacted public policy.

Sweet yeah truly a special neighborhood. So much stuff at the top of that Hill Road on the map.

Dude you have so much recreation nearby, I’d be hiking around that neighborhood to the peaks behind ya daily. I wouldn’t get anything done for a good two months after moving there lol. That ice gulch and the overlook look awesome.