powderfreak

Such a weird phrase to hear in an AFD... “hot air trapped in Canada”...but it’s an over-the-top type summer it seems. Looks like some summer weather will be returning this weekend? LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 344 PM EDT Monday...Upper low finally opens up and departs eastward. This will allow a ridge to build in its place and hot air that has been trapped in Canada to filter into our region. 925hPa temps climb upward to 23-24 C, which will translate to surface temperatures around 90 in the valleys.

How much so far?

All you have to do to get 100" in 30 days is drag your kid around on a sled in the mud while muttering about how much winter sucks. I remember something around that time with muddy sledding in 1-2" of snow that was hilarious. Me losing it in January 2014 when the inches of rain were adding up more than the snow and Philly was doing weekly winter storm warnings didn't result in us getting anything special for snow. Bitching up here can bring mid-level magic though in some storms.

Nice to see it came through for ya! Probably one of the more interesting synoptic weather set ups we’ll see this summer.

Looks like he should be getting crushed.

You have some real bad luck if that complex misses you. Looks like you should get some heavy rain in hour or two, but you’ve had a forcefield up.

You should get to the Ludlow rest area on the Mass Pike, ha. Looks right in line to take a hit. Fly up 91 and bang a right onto the Pike.

Those are some good looking storms in the I-91 corridor. Also looks like some areas of western CT are lining up for quite the training this afternoon. Should be an axis of good rainfall totals there.

I hope DIT can get some good rain out of this... the most skeptical has been the driest of course. Hopefully one of these pinwheels finds him. Meso-models seem to have that area of convection in S.VT and SW NH. dropping through central/western Mass and into CT.

Ha right after I wrote that it just picked up pretty decently. What a whacked radar for June 29th. Looks like January 29th.

KLEW ASOS flying past 3.0" now. Looks like most of the drought is getting erased in Maine, lol.

It's weird getting light stratiform rains from a radar that looks like a nor'easter but yet it's pretty humid out. We won't do much rain today but it's just like a sheet drizzle to light rain at times.

Someone should change the name of this thread, put all the summer ULL stuff in here. .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... As of 348 PM EDT Sunday...On Tuesday, a broad and weakening area of surface low pressure will be situated across southeastern New England, with upper-level lows vertically stacked on top of it preventing any appreciable forward motion. Meanwhile, a fetch of tropical moisture will be drawn northward into the circulation as indicated by modeled relative humidity at 700 mb. So expect plenty of showers with occasional downpours to spiral into Vermont from the east according to the cloud- level winds, while surface winds blow from the north or northeast. Also, very sweet swath of heavy rain on the BOX radar. If yellow is 1"+ that's a decent soaking for many areas.

It's a very interesting synoptic evolution for this time of year. It does seem like it taps some deep, moisture rich air from the southern Atlantic region. This is a moist flow from down south right up into Maine... then pivots back west and south. This is pretty high RH for the 400-700mb layer for the areas that tap that deeper moisture. Humid air mass with dews in the 60s to even 70s southern tier. It can rain. The models are trying to show us something, ha.

Someone near you and Lava is going to get smoked. Every model is showing inches of rainfall over the next couple days in that area. They all can't be wrong. I could see it being more convective so it's not as widespread but maybe someone sees even higher amounts than modeled in localized spots? You get some of these things training for like 12 hours and you'll rack up a lot of water.

3km NAM has like 2-8" of rainfall in western Maine and nearby NH over the next 36 hours alone. It's going to be weird tomorrow seeing convection going from east to west across NNE... opposite direction of usual summer stuff.

Nice. 0.1" here. Be surprised we see anything more than 0.5" all week. Watch you get like 2" tonight and tomorrow. The models want to take the stuff that developed between ORH and Dendrite and rotate it up your way for a sustained period of time. I'm not exactly sure where you are in SE Maine but 12z tomorrow morning it's just cranking there.

Damn you beat me today. I was feeling pretty good with 0.98" earlier to take the NNE lead for this event on here. Passed on the inside lane late in the day. Stuff keeps forming west of you, wonder if you get another strong run here in a bit.

That is one dark sky. I can hear the course horn or siren through the pic lol.

Stuff blowing up around MHT in NH now too. The upper level trough axis seems to be helping get some more storms going.

Whole bunch of stuff seems to be exploding over the ORH Hills... not severe but maybe north of Pike gets a drink. Although that one by FIT is intensifying fast.

Models say we do this again every afternoon through Thursday. Winners and losers with convection and heavy showers, but you just reset, regroup and go at it again tomorrow to see what happens. Then again Tuesday afternoon, and Wednesday afternoon, maybe Thursday afternoon. “An upper level low moving southward from Quebec this evening will become quasi- stationary across New England. This upper level low will result in daily chances for showers and thunderstorms, with the most widespread rain chances occurring during the afternoon and evening hours Monday through Wednesday.”

What a view... looks like the right spot to chill with a relaxing beverage.

That flash flood statement is pretty intense. THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR NORWOOD AND SURROUNDING TOWNS! This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC EXPECTED RAINFALL...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

You could whitewater kayak that parking lot.