powderfreak

It’ll come at some point. They are averages for a reason. Sooner or later it’ll swing back in the other direction. Maybe next April or May you guys get a 15” month or something lol. Flood watches for weeks, and everyone laughing about when it was dry.

Ha, yeah it was breezy this afternoon out of the SW but when it started raining it went dead calm . I bet your area does real well on the south and SW wind like we had today, seems you’ve been noticing real gusty stuff on that direction. I don’t know what’s behind your place (like literally behind it, forest?) but given that view and your field, you seem especially exposed to those SW/S wind flow more so than other directions. Probably get some great mixing in the lee of the Presidentials on that flow too. Be interesting to see what you get when we have one of those 90kt low level H85 southerly jets during a strong winter low going west of us.

Crawford Notch looks like it’s about to get smoked.

Almost two hours of thunder and lightning and almost an inch of rainfall... but no wind with the storms and nothing remotely close to severe here. Just a heavy rainer. However now that it’s ended, the NW winds are honking here... much higher winds than anything during the t-storms. CAA beginning.

Looks like 0.95” in the Stratus unless we get another round. Crazy to go September 1st through 27th with only 0.35” and then do ~5.5” in the next two weeks. I guess Mother Nature loves her averages.

Nice! There’s been some broad rotation with these today, that looks like the tightest though hard to tell with the beam height.

Thunder and lightning for almost two hours. Another strong shot of rain though.

This has been some serious rain. PWS around me are ranging from 0.80” to 1.26”. I’ll head out to check the Stratus once it stops. Definite pattern change here after the dry September run. I’ll have to add it up later but it’s been very wet since September 27th.

Looks like 40-50mph at 1,400ft.

Beastly looking cell crossing I87 in NY into the Champlain Valley.

Best thunder and lightning of the summer lol. Just cracking booms all around. Severe warning out for here, pouring but no wind for now.

Yeah JSpin that’s how I felt about it, below normal but nothing “bad”... though I do think that the overall tenor on this forum last winter made me almost feel lucky. In a psychological assessment we have known on this forum that how one does relative to the region-wide tenor of winter does impact the lasting impression. It could be getting a “not as bad” winter as others or on the flip side we’ve seen people grade otherwise great winters as semi-let downs because nearby someone got smoked (2015 comes to mind for folks just outside the crush zone). As much as we wish it didn’t matter, that “lasting impression” of winter does have some relativity to it. So like last year a total dumpster fire elsewhere feels ok to get 80-100% in NNE.

Oh lock it in then. Thanks man!

Wet run of the Euro too... plenty of QPF. GGEM agrees on wet.

Severe Watch. Tons of people on the mountain. This should be fun. SPC though going with a watch is probably the death blow for any severe... they miss a huge derecho a few days ago so probably not in the mood to chance missing even one rogue severe storm.

DIT’s fall torch finally came, only 5 weeks later. 73F at MVL.

57F up here in Mansfield... wind is honking. Easy 50mph gusts out of the southwest on the exposed ridge.

C’mon now, you’d much rather have spent your money on politicians instead of buying a sweet spot (is that an estate?) in the mountains, let’s be real. Someone could’ve put your Randolph money to good use with a run of TV commercials for your local state senate seat.

Yeah HRRR and 3KM NAM say get off the mountain by 3-3:30pm. There are a TON of people out in the hills, hope they know it could turn very quickly around 3-4pm. Shit gets real fast when you have your family up high hiking on a warm Saturday when 40dbz rolls into the mountain.

Already 68F here! Damn, what a Saturday for Columbus Day weekend.

That Maine race must be spending money for the advertisements. Even here, I don't see or hear any campaigns from the VT or NH races... but every political ad is regarding a race in Maine. Mostly Collins v Gideon.

I mean, Phin isn't going to know what's happening even if it's a shitty winter... just bewildered regardless. Like he said a couple days ago, the windy rainy cool event felt like February in Maryland already. Just imagine what November will feel like.

Yeah but it was still only the northern crew getting interesting events. I guess I misread it, it doesn't have to be a banner winter for only the northern tier to be posting frequently. I'd almost say if it's a poor region wide winter, the northern folks will be the ones still posting regularly where averages dictate at least some decent/fun events outside of some abortion like 15-16. I still remember some fun events last winter and it DEFINITELY felt like we were the only ones snowing when it was happening.

Last winter? ha.

Grainy/noisy photo... pushing the boundaries of my camera lens, as google maps says it was 74 miles away from where I was standing, lol. But it's white.