powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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Good vision. Makes sense. Residence time and max forcing in tandem.
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Early 00z ICON snow. This thing has been all over the place. Never really gets going.
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Do you think it looks more like a stationary pounding, or more like an equal opportunity partner down that way? I sort of envision just this steady slow moving band traversing WNW to ESE on the tail... like a 2-6 hour period of blitz and flash freeze where it’s 0.10-0.15”/hr in the bucket through SNE. As opposed to one location just getting wrecked for like 8 hours while others see -SN.
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At this point? Yes. I’ll throw some preliminary thoughts out to the ski community probably tomorrow... but take a mean of the EPS and GEFS, and that’s what you get. CNE max stripe. Killington area to Lakes Region to Lewiston is the early thought tonight. SNE more populated areas flash over to a widespread 2-5” (more north of ORH), coming in 1”/hr several hour blitz. Good starting point IMO.
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Dead serious though. 2-3” is the win in October. Just cover the grass in the backyard. Anyone being disappointed about that in October is off their meds.
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Yeah that has to make it much easier as long as it’s not a ton of snow... just being able to see tracks if you are even in the right neighborhood has to increase the chances of getting something.
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Just want some snow, I like Mitchy-Dendrite-You down to Hubby to be honest... but I’d sign on the dotted line for 2-3” right now and walk away lol.
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We wouldn’t hate this look. But that’s a strong low at the NYC longitude. That’s sort of what we need to see up north, stronger low by the time it’s exiting NJ.
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Yeah wasn’t that like -6C at 850mb over HFD at the start? That started as snow right on the south coast, that thread is awesome as people realize it’s snowing right down to the water.
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Yeah definitely slinked a bit south on 18z EPS, and not quite as gang-busters with the max, down from a larger 8-12” mean max. Makes sense if it was a bit weaker.
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This is the DIT that was gone all summer. You tried to pawn off all interesting weather to other areas for 6 months straight... now that it involves snow it’s like whoa whoa whoa let’s slow down and talk about this, lol...good to see Stein didn’t ruin your love for snow.
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Definitely worth considering. It’s made some huge jumps the past couple days.
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Yeah crude way to look but there’s a lot of spread in the EPS.
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There are some monster solutions in the individuals... Even some that are a bit too far north for here, they must’ve really wound up in a few of the individuals. A few have like two feet in far N.NY. That EPS run was pretty solid.
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EPS 12z snow.
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That’s a big change though from 00z EURO. That’s a real juicy storm.
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Nice trend there for sure. Stein?
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Can’t undo it. The EPS ensembles has those type of solutions scattered about. Lower probability but guess not completely off the table.
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Ah I didn’t need to see that lol.
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For sure. Get used to that, lol. Why we always say we'll take precip over cold up this way. You are now in the land where QPF is what generally matters, even in October.
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And Will/ORH is holding the pre-season training camp over in Ballroom C from 1-4pm for all that are interested. Starting with stretching and some light agility training.
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Gotta get that dopamine rush
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Talk about being all over the place, ha.
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6z EPS
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I didn’t see anything sticking down in town but up here the view at the office is of snowy trees.
