powderfreak

Hopefully that line comes through for you. Just got home to 0.49” today, not too different from the mountain. Cleaned the hell out of the stratus the other day, no more moldy green lol. Although looks like there’s another line coming soon.

Ha came in to post the same thing from ALB, you guys got it covered. That's really impressive for that airport!

0.57" today up here at 1,500ft. Definitely been trending wetter lately. We'll see what home has down in the valley shortly.

Gondola has been on wind hold up here for the first time in a very long time. Nothing overly exciting here at 1500ft, some 20-30mph gusts. Above 3000ft though is gusting to 60mph. The clouds are moving fast, ha.

First burst here brought 0.15-0.30” it looks like to local PWS on the Spine and eastward. BTV radar has been down since 12:30pm but doesn’t seem like much is happening out there right now. Feels more normal now with frequent rain every few days, like we are out of that September dry funk.

Quick tenth of an inch last hour and raining steadily. Cold 51F up here at 1,500ft and looks like 53F down in town. Strong westerly flow downsloping into BTV area and then upsloping again into the Greens and east of the Spine. Should see a standing wave pattern develop for a bit here with that up/down/up couplet as moisture hits the Adirondacks, drops/dries into the Champlain Valley and then rises again over the Greens and gets shoved way eastward in the fast flow. The atmospheric speed bumps are working.

Ryan Maue approves of this post.

Some interesting weather tomorrow...Strong winds and some rain? QPF amounts will be highly tied to terrain given the strong westerly flow, with upslope areas of the Greens/Adirondacks seeing the most precip and the Connecticut and Champlain Valleys seeing the least owing to downsloping effects. Total QPF amounts will range from 0.3 to 1.0 inch over higher terrain of the Adirondacks and Green Mountains, to 0.1 to 0.4 inches in the Champlain, Saint Lawrence, and Connecticut Valleys. Just how strong winds will get tomorrow is a tricky forecast...and will likely see much variability in reported winds due to expected precipitation. Strongest winds are expected during the afternoon into the evening in areas that see breaks in precipitation...which should be on the eastern slopes of the northern Adirondacks and the eastern slopes of the southern Green Mountains. Wind gusts in these areas will be between 30 and 45 mph, with a few isolated gusts to 50 mph possible. Elsewhere, gusts will range from 20 to 35 mph. As stated before, the wrench in the forecast could be the precipitation and it`s stabilizing effects on the lower- levels...so expect weaker winds in any areas that see prolonged precipitation.

Time for the mountains to get some whitening... looks like 2500ft+ best shot but some mangled flakes could reach 1500ft at the tail end on that run. Getting to be that time of year. A Thursday gondola ride may be in order to start the day lol.

Fairly standard October morning...42F up top.... another Tuesday at work, cell phone shot out the window.

I think it's a lot of increased "noise." It would be interesting to study one specific meteorologist or one specific outlet's long range forecasts for the last 20 years to see if there's anything there... but as a group making long range forecasts it has exploded since the 2000s with social media. Maybe if we just looked at only HM or Stormchaserchuck for the last 20 years we'd see it's probably fairly equal, but given that explosion in sources for long range seasonal information, I bet that plays a part in it. Same with the media... even just back in the first half of the 2000s you'd just watch your evening NBC/CBS/ABC outlet at 6pm to see the "news." Now it comes at you from all sides and methods, some true some nefarious. I think the same has happened to "meteorology" to an extent. More data does not make it better as a whole... like the King Euro when run twice a day had this mythic thing about it. Now run it 4 times a day and it seems no different than the GFS and NAM, lol. Run it all the time like the HRRR and it's like what are we doing here, it changes every hour? It would be interesting to have a model run once daily and see what the "perception" is on it's accuracy, not its actual accuracy but I bet people will have a perception that it's "more stable" than the others. Because you only see it once and not 4 times a day, ha!

We are usually ok until temps get like +4 to +5 or greater departures... then it’s just too warm even up north or a pattern of cutters. But I do find our snowfall takes the largest hit anecdotally once departures sort of crest over that +4-5 mark. It goes downhill fast after that. But yeah dry periods are boring anyway you put it. Even a rainy cutter that ends as a few inches of NW flow snow is at least interesting... but going 3 weeks in January dry is about as boring as it gets.

Isn’t that the storm you guys are talking about? Or is there another?

That would drive me insane. That can’t be good for appliances/electronics and everything else to shut down/off quickly and then come right back on... several times.

I don’t know if it’s the “drought” (we really only had a very dry 3 week period) but I bet it was several days of record cold temps that got them going. To me it all happened at once, the valleys went at the same time as the higher elevations when normally it’s a gradual process from high to low. The maples went to straight fire red almost immediately (best reds I can remember) and the birches turned bright yellow. There is still a species of tree out there with light green leaves still, but it’s a minority species. We do often have two peaks almost, but the best variety of color was definitely when the maples and the birches flipped to bright red and yellow almost within 72 hours of that brutal cold shot for the time of year.

That storm was truly ridiculous. Time of year and coverage of heavy, heavy snow amounts. That will be a hard one to top for just spanking climatology.

The morning after the Valentines Day blizzard of 2007. Lived in downtown BTV at the time, finishing up at UVM at the time. Six of us lived in a 3-story townhouse, this was the view out the backdoor on the morning of the 15th, looking at our neighbor's entrance.

I've only done it once, but it was awesome even in the summer. Such a cool road. I also am trying to find the photo, but I saw a drone image of the Kang today that looked like several miles of just bumper to bumper in both directions. A sea of red brake lights.

lol, same thing over this way. This looks like a real relaxing way to enjoy the mountains. Everyone leaves the city and then comes to wait in traffic on the Auto Roads, the Kang, RT 100 here, etc. The city traffic comes to the mountains. And they missed the foliage by like a week.

Dendrite FTW. Wow. Yeah MPM, I remember a photo early on of your deck or truck and you said you got like 8” in 3 hours... that was when it was like holy shit, this is actually happening. Pete has some great shots that evening of his cars just absolutely gone under the snow.

October 2011 pics anyone?

Look at all those wet years since 2000... guess it's time to come due with some below normal water years.

I'll take some more space too if we are giving it out, lol.

Past peak but still color. It's just more uniform orange with less intensity, and leaf drop mixed in... still some random light green too. The vibrant reds are long gone.

Forgot to share yesterday's rainbow after the final round of showers. Perfect set up, rain moving away, sun low in the sky and coming from directly behind.