powderfreak

That looks pretty good TBH. Really hard to say with the drifting. The Jay base area is a notoriously terrible spot to try to get a real number at, lol. Always 0-12" (except when it's 0-24"). I bet it's pretty uniform 3-6" up and down the Spine. I do think Waterbury looked to get the best of it on radar and friends have estimated similar to J.Spin of a 5-7" snowfall even at very low elevation.

LOL you're about to have your mind blown this winter if 1.5-2" exceeds expectations. It has to be so weird to go from MD climate to this.

Round 1 definitely wrapping up. Visibility greatly improved here at the mountain and I see the ASOS down valley is up to 4 mile vis too. Best I can do is 5.5" here at 1,500ft. Really becoming impossible to tell for sure with the wind. Looking at the ski trails they look quite wind scoured.

Damn, 7" on the ground. Nice work. The wind is capping us around the 5" mark up here at the mountain as far as I can see. It keeps snowing but it's not getting any deeper, just going sideways. Even still that 0.37" water amount is more than models had for this first round this morning.

Ha yeah the wind at 1,500ft in these events is crazy. I have no doubt its better blizzard conditions than anything you'll see in MD. Just goes straight whiteout at times in 40mph gusts.

12z GFS puts 1.0" QPF over J.Spin's head. It has quite a burst tonight.

My wife isn’t going to win any photo awards but she said 3-4” at home. I made her go measure what’s on her car and that’s as precise as she wanted to be lol. I think first round is mostly done... it’s starting to dry up on radar right on cue. Looked like a 6a-12pm deal... next round starts this evening. Hopefully we can double this up tonight.

I was thinking about your posts when I said that. Much better vibe when they are off. But can’t have Pickle’s cougar slip in her fur boots leaving the hotel in January.

Yeah these events are pretty stable once the models figure it out. Not much changes as opposed to like a coastal storm or synoptic events. We’ll see what tonight brings, I think we can do double digits at 1500ft.

Getting consistent 5” measurements around the base area at 1500ft. It’s so windy though it’s like 0-10” outside this plaza. The heated sidewalks aren’t turned on yet!! Ha. Not bad for round 1... tonight’s round looks like it has twice the water.

Ha, that’s awesome. About what I’d expect without any wind. You’ll get a foot from this event.

Looks like MVL ASOS is at 1/2sm Moderate Snow, that's a good sign being they are decently east of the crest. KMVL 021354Z AUTO 29010G18KT 1/2SM SN FZFG VV010 M02/M04 A2952 RMK AO2 SLP006 P0000 T10171039

The Spine just ripping flakes out of the clouds. Easily 1"/hr at the ski resort... best guess would be around 4" at the base right now. It's got some density to it up here too, plows actually have something to push around. J.Spin has to be getting pummeled. Probably the same rates as up here but without the wind.

CPicks favorite hotel.

Wow. Full Blizzard conditions at 1500ft. PD was getting ready to shut down RT 108 at Harlow Hill. Wide loads stuck at the base and numerous cars off further up the road. Roads are a sheet of ice at 28F with snow on top. Plow can’t scrape that ice layer from the initial melting. 1/4sm or less visibility up here at the base.

Yeah it’s backed up close to BTV true. Left for work and had just under 2” on the car at 750ft. We’ll see what 1500ft has shortly.

It’s hard to tell, it’s definitely ripping snow here. The scans make it tough, the higher the angle of the radar scan the more blocked it looks. I try for a lower scan that does hit Mansfield but shows much better snow over here from Stowe to Waterbury. It’s almost like the higher echos on the lower scans are on the east slope. But there’s a lot of downwind movement too from when the radar hits the fluffy flakes and where they actually reach the ground. Like this scan is still 6,000ft up over me showing 30dbz snows...that’s probably actually hitting the ground miles eastward lol. Blocked flow would have those echos stopping more at the Spine.

Grass almost gone at home, blowing and drifting too. This is some surprisingly dry snow it seems. Be curious to get JSpin’s water analysis later today when the first round shuts off.

It is snowing nicely. MVL ASOS dropped under 1 mile vis for the first time of the season in snow. Radar looks great. The office at the ski area is going to get destroyed, lol.

The scene at 3pm up high. Blitz by huge flakes. We'll see what the next day or two brings.

That’s awesome. The wildlife must love that.

Yeah it is. Heavier precip is over the crest and it’s 37F at 1400ft. 38-41F down in the lower elevations.

Tomorrow morning does have a nice little period. The 18z ECMWF from 6-10am shows temps of 32-29F in the valley with a steady light snow. Total water after the clipper-like system tomorrow night is decent for a global model. I do think it’s good when the global models show these type of progs... they know there’s terrain there and can often underestimate it. Usually this is a very good look for a global model. Jackpot right over Mansfield, Bolton and J.Spins house, lol.

I‘m busting his ballz a bit but he has been doing this for a long time... good luck to him. Lot of recent analog years that sort of run the gamut.