powderfreak

The moisture is going to be there. Deep layer SE feed even up past 300mb. Should end any Stein talk.

Agreed on the 10:1. I don’t think they’ll be that bad for the high terrain. If you flip in the valley it’s like 3:1 white rain. Gotta adjust ratios on those before taking them. Probably should’ve mentioned that. I adjust those maps in my head for elevation ratio changes.

3km NAM is funny. Anything above 1500-2000ft in VT is going to get crushed. I think it’s snow levels are too low but it’s usually decent at showing it. Love the SE flow upslope cooling and sharp downslope rain just west of the Spine.

Yeah but it’s splitting hairs. Anywhere near 2kft is getting 12+ down there.

Juicy 18z HRRR and still going lol.

8-16” IMO above 2,000ft (the KBL is like 2,300ft). I have a hard time seeing how they’d get less than 8” at that elevation and QPF numbers, plus good spot NW of 700mb low track.

Grab another margarita and enjoy Florida . Your property will do fine. No way your neighbor reports less than 10”.

Trust the east flow. 850mb streamlines look great for that area to maximize whatever comes. Even the RGEM that ticked a little SE, this prolonged wind flow can’t be denied in that area of NNH.

Yeah for sure but this is absolutely incredible melt this spring. That’s still a worse season but this is nuts. 2018-19 had 100+ more inches on the ground right now. That’s also a wild variation. This April is sort of like December 2015 in terms of “well, never thought I’d see that” type aspects.

lol this dude is traumatized.

Sugarloaf has bar none the best snow preservation in New England... just so far up there. Best April mountain there is. We are really struggling at Stowe too. I've never seen this before for sure. 13" at the Stake (record low since 1954) and RT 108 through the Notch is open... never had the road open while the Quad is still spinning in the spring. The men and women on the grooming team are putting a band aid on each night and they are the true heroes... it's crazy what those tractors can do farming snow each night.

Go Red Sox. They are clicking right now with 7th straight win. Devers and JD... home runs every game it seems. “Red Sox had 16 hard hit balls on Saturday, 17 on Sunday, day off yesterday, and 18 today. Mashing baseballs.” -Sox Stats

You didn’t expect any snow it seemed from your posts? East trends in New England are common, but this one has the appeal of a north and east outcome up the coast. As a zone that over-performs.

Yeah it did seem to take a few extra days but it usually does with their warm season clean up of debris, branches, trees. Though the snow can be hard to melt up in those drifts or shaded pockets. The deepest snow is usually up in the switchbacks towards the top and then once over the crest (traveling from the Stowe side) and starting down in Jeffersonville, the road bends right and across a steep north facing slope. Wind drifting up in the switchbacks and that north facing section can be really hard to melt. Hard to melt though is a relative term this season though. This was 13 days ago a bit further up from the Stowe/Cambridge town line sign. The snowiest stretch is uphill of here in the real rockfall zone and then when the road goes to the right around the terrain (barely see the hillside in this photo on the right side) it's shadowed almost all day.

@PhineasC dude you should book a flight into MHT and drive north from there. I think your pad gets 12+.

I honestly haven't heard of that phrase, so I googled it but was it didn't seem to fit your general line of thinking. That's why I asked.

Dynamic cooling. Fun to watch the 925mb temps drop in temp and the 0C> expand as the storm deepens. as the storm deepens.

RT 108 through Smugglers Notch just opened per VTRANS. I think that's easily the earliest I've ever seen the Notch open.

All I can think of is the end of every drug commercial that lists all the possible side effects... including just about everything short of an alien life form coming out of your rectum. "Ask your doctor, this drug is a miracle but in rare cases...."

Yeah I really like that zone. You know it was coming when Phin went to Florida. But that area is a climo favored late-season storm spot, not that climo seems to mean anything anymore...

Yeah it'll be elevation dependent for sure.

GFS gonna bury some bodies.

Without a doubt. But sitting in February I'm still riding climo that it won't be a shut out. I'd do it again next year too, ha. Law of averages. Now watch the elevated terrain will get back-to-back snowfalls, ha. There looks to be a few chances. We will pay the piper for the nice early summer weather we've been having.

That's sweet. I do think his spot is going to do really well in this event if it can lift far enough north. That whole area of the southeast/east/northeast side of the Presidentials if they can get into the deeper moisture. The east flow is there. Models seemed to tick northward a bit overnight.

Peaky Blinders and Ozark were favorites of ours. Peaky is so good. Schitts and Office for light hearted comedy series.