powderfreak

Sub-32F this morning, list from BTV: VERMONT Averill Coop 27 Burke Mtn Summit 27 Stowe 27 Gallup Mills NEPP 28 Mount Mansfield Coop 28 Island Pond Coop 29 Albany 30 Charleston 30 Craftsbury 30 Derby 30 East Charleston 30 Greensboro 30 Holland 30 Milton 30 North Danville 30 Orleans 30 Sheffield 30 Sutton 30 Underhill 30 West Burke 30 Westfield 30 Morrisville Airport 31 Sutton Coop 31

Hit 31F at both MVL and nearest PWS. Frozen dew, couldn’t really see any frost though.

0.25-0.50 from Gene to CON tonight it looks like then the rest in the second wave.

A lot of people ask if he had unhealthy habits, what his BMI was, or had underlying conditions... calling someone "unhealthy" is a tough nut to crack when they appear to be of average health. Run 5 miles a day or is a gym rat? No. Walk 18-holes of golf at the country club? Yes. He was an average American who ended up on a ventilator for 2+ months... it may be less healthy than optimal, but he's someone who you don't register as healthy or unhealthy. You don't even register them at all, ha. Just normal. On an aside, COVID led to some weird questioning... like it seems weird to ask about someone's prior health habits if you are just told they are in the hospital. If someone says a family member is not doing well and is hospitalized for any number of conditions, say cancer. No one is ever like "Well was it their fault? Did they bring it on themselves?" Ha, what a way to be sympathetic. It's an interesting insight into social interactions *if* an illness results in changes to public policy.

We just finished covering the garden, if the wind does go calm it feels like it's going to be real cold with a dew point of 30F now and temps in the upper 40s. It really does feel like Sept/Oct out there but it's still light enough to be outside with good visibility at 8:30pm. Best part is the bugs just disappear. They can't fight the wind and chill. Lose the humidity and the bugs, it's a win-win. I bet it's a gorgeous evening on your deck... hoodies and firepit?

My sister’s father-in-law (or FIL to be, they postponed the wedding obviously to all this) finally made it through to rehab. Over two months on a ventilator from COVID. Doesn’t remember weeks of his life. Hasn’t stood up or moved a muscle in two months, going to be a long road to recovery but he’s in his 50s and of pretty decent/average health so should be able to do it.

Damn. Jfc that’s terrible and heartbreaking.

Pretty chilly evening! 40s and breezy. Could’ve used a hat. Stunning clear air mass. 6:45pm and still have hours of daylight.

Yup that’s what I was seeing. Is it what some want? No, but if we want to discuss weather over wants, there’s very high RH at 925-850mb (basically saturated there) and drilling NE/E flow off the Atlantic... everyone knows what those progs lead to for sensible weather. SFC RH 2pm Saturday (shown) still hanging ~90%, higher pockets east slopes S.Greens, Catskills... but I think you could put that higher shading east slopes ORH Hills too. Can see a little/slight downslope drying into CT on that NE flow, so maybe Kev lucks out.

Drizzle, lot of low level moisture left. Could see the elevations/east slopes with mist low clouds tickling the treetops.

Looks reasonable, ha. And it’s still raining.

Full sunshine, cobalt blue sky, and 54F outside the office. Dews around freezing. Colder now in full late-May sunshine than it was at midnight last night. Fantastic October day.

Maybe we can make Saturday at lease useable up north? Maybe we can sneak to mid-60s while down south is mid-40s?

I'm going to have to cover the whole garden tonight and tomorrow night. Break out the old sheets, ha. SLK and Alex... when freezes can happen even on the 4th of July.

Yup, was chatting with DIT about that upper level divergence last night. Great synoptic set-ups usually win out over Stein-bitten calls.

A couple teams up high on the mountain prepping for summer this morning... top of the Gondola is showing upper 30s and wind chills in the 20s while prepping it for summer ops, ha. And it's only going to get colder.

CAA in full swing. It was 63F at 5am at MVL.. now 52F. Hard to get strong temp drops while the sun rises this time of year. Some upslope light rain showers too.

I looked around on Wundermap, couldn’t tell which one was yours. Saw anywhere from 0.50-1.50”. Stem is easy to find.

Euro beefed up big time too. Changes from 12z yesterday to 00z are substantial for Fri/Sat.

Thankfully they got those runs in there before the delay! Great bottom of the 6th.

That NAM run has like the Central Greens up to BML and nearby Phin in the 30s for temps for like 36 hours over Memorial Day weekend, ha!

3km NAM looks like a snow profile up north at least through 925mb at the end of its run (hour 60).

I see the High School Stem picked up 0.90” water... that’s a good drink. Hope you got soaked.

Looked pretty good heading through your area.

Hey I agree your reasoning with Sun/Mon is sound, wouldn’t be the first time a system developed later further east/northeast. Friday Night though synoptically has a lot going for it... strong gradient and baroclinic zone between cold north and humid/warm south. Looks like prolonged period of upper level divergence with good right-rear quad of jet streak positioning. I guess maybe it falls apart but even the ICON has 1” up to VT/NH and 2” South Coast. 18z ECM wetter too... 1-1.50” for you. Hard to give congrats to someone who gives no meteorological reasons other than , lol.