powderfreak

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Yes they include them,  But i didn't include it.

Gotcha ha.  I thought it’d be one image but guess that’s big if they include CAR too.

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Do they not include their NH zones?

12 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

3k is really nice.

00z HRRR went far north with a very blocked flow and snowfall upstream of barriers.  It does make sense if it stays north and a bit more mild.  The cold air advection in the lowest levels quickly deep into the western sides of barriers, aided by topographic slowing/convergence/lifting, can certainly favor those west of both of us.  Depends on when the cold air gets situated.  Pre-event CAA we are good on more eastern orientation… later in the event with shallow surface cold hitting first, anything northwest is best.

2 hours ago, dryslot said:

Euro been quite persistent with the back end snows here on Monday and the GFS as well to some extent, These typically don't work out but this one has more of an over running look to it and not anafrontal.

Yeah this is more of a boundary sags south, then stalls, as another shortwave rides the gradient.  Not a true anafrontal situation for the jackpot zone (wherever it might be)… it looks to turn to snow for some latitude before the second energy moves through. 

During one of the bursts of snow this afternoon... nice to see even if only a coating to an inch.

33 minutes ago, bwt3650 said:

18z 3k has a nice little hit.  That would open up a big chunk of natural terrain that’s right on the cusp right now…not the steep rocky stuff, but would probably be a solid expansion, at least for a bit.

18z HRRR looked better too.  Just another variation.

Heavy graupel and giant flakes.

Got some light snow and dippin dots falling at 1500ft.  Mid-30s.

16 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

You could be hired literally anywhere for service/food type jobs around here right now.

Every single business from here to Burlington is hiring.  Every one. Ha.

16 hours ago, PhineasC said:

Ate at Red Parka Pub tonight. The quality at these places has declined a little. They are still good but it seems they can’t get good help in the kitchen and there are supply issues. 

There was a great article on the overall economy/service industry I had read that was showing another form of inflation is folks are charged the same prices but the service everywhere has declined across the board.  Your money doesn’t buy the experience it used to.  It’s not counted in inflation calculations but it’s there.  Even 4-5 star hotels won’t give you daily housekeeping anymore…just don’t have the staff but they charge the same.

39 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

12z NAM almost shredded the entire thing into oblivion. 

That 12z HRRR moved south and nicks us now.

6z Euro is real cold for Sunday.

GFS and NAM tickled warmer.

4 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Well, it’s a pretty shitty model. I mean, the UKMET routinely takes lows off the FL coast to Portugal just six hours after riding into the GOM. And that’s the second best model according to the mets. LOL

Yeah I have no idea on the ICON scores but the NAM and GFS shifts were noticeable too.  Might be able to score a net gain out of the cutter.

1 hour ago, PhineasC said:

Pretty large jump south on the ICON too. It was one of the more wound up solutions at 12z. 

The GFS, NAM and ICON all made substantial shifts south.  This is a bit more interesting.

The ICON though, I've never seen a model do such a shift in 6 hours.

12z first, 18z second image.

41 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Healthy shift to a more south and progressive solution on the NAM. Not far from a mostly snow event here.

Yeah that’s a good jump south.

21 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Wife's V90

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk
 

Foliage looks delayed.

8 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

LOL at the 00z GFS.

Very little snow into later January.  Folks melting down.  Futility talk. Then the best winter on record occurs after January 25th for many of the forum.  Way too early to worry.  You get a big month and all is well.

31 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Keeping my bar set at a fun period like mid-Jan to mid-Feb was last winter. 3 feet of depth, temps cold enough, and two events of 15"+ plus a bunch of smaller events. Hopefully we at least get this.

The nickel and dime stuff interspersed with warmth does start to wear thin after a while. It seems pretty hard for NNE to get widespread 12" events the last two winters. Still plenty of time this winter.

Areas that don't get upslope have had a real rough go of it.

They’ve had the better side of the last two weeks though.  The CAD crew seems more wintry in terms of frozen or freezing QPF.

10 hours ago, mahk_webstah said:

it is the 6.5"  of really thick meaty snowpack up here that makes this tolerable.  But if we don't get at least 6" of powder on top of this in the next week or 10 days, it will become a PITA.  Up here we are on the edge but still optimistic.  Deep winter look outside this morning on the walk.

It hasn't been great, but it's been white a lot of the time except for a couple days prior to the dense snow, 8:1 ratio type event on the 18th that laid down some decent frozen water/QPF for most in NNE.  It's been nickel and dime since then but big difference in vibe with at least snow on the ground.  Its been a slow start but it should snow at some point.  Still have 3 full months worth of potential and I'm sure the longer it stays meh, the more likely it is that it snows a bunch in April or something.

Forgot how rough last winter was around this time.  Really only one good warning event away from normal snowpack at the summits too.  Average isn't as high as we sometimes think it is for this time of year, ha.

6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Love are some are ever the optimists.

Some are pessimists and some just keep it real and roll with it.

Love the assumption in that statement that the pessimists are the correct ones.

1 hour ago, metagraphica said:

Beautiful afternoon.  Up to 47 now.  Nice sunny and warm walk with the doggo.

Great shot, doggo looks happy.  

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Throw up some snow maps please anyone 

How do you not have a subscription service? 

Left the mountain at 6pm and there was no new snow at 1500ft.  Road becomes snow packed as I head down the hill and at home theres 3/4ths of an inch of fine small flake snow…every twig is white and looks beautiful.

Very odd but seemed like freezing mist or drizzle at the mountain but light snow in town.