powderfreak

40 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Up in Stowe this week.  Looking for freak on the streets but no sighting so far…

On our drive up yesterday I was astounded at how far along the foliage was in southern NH/VT, less further north.  Lots of color where we’re staying in Stowe.  Staying at an Airbnb-beautiful setting.  Daughter flew on from Chicago yesterday and we picked her up at BTV.  Sunset behind the Adirondacks was spectacular.  Cooler today though but still nice.

5 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said:

Was in Ludlow today, looks like NOV in spots on the drive over. Okemo 50% Leaf drop the rest brownish some yellow.

Still some rogue patches of color, but I would avoid that area if your looking at leaf peeping this weekend and certainly Columbus day.

It’s so early, it has to be drought related.  I’ve said it a few times but was shocked in Mt Snow area like 10 days ago.

Later up here but town is looking meh with a lot of leaf drop in spots.  Kind of going yellow/gold/rust and falling.  The Worcester Range on the east side of town and the Spine was looking decent, in the right lighting.

I think it has to be drought related.  I noticed it even on 89 from like Mreaves area down through Brookfield and the high terrain there is past peak too.  

81/45

Perfection. 

Quite the gradient depending on local topography across the same latitude from west to east.

SLK 39F

PBG 59F

BTV 55F

MVL 47F

BML 46F

The last 9 days of minimum temperatures:

39, 32, 30, 38, 60, 56, 60, 62, 58.

Quite the whip-lash from crisp and frosty nights, to windows open all night.

Don't need heat or AC though.

21 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I love fall and being in the Goldilocks zone for wx this time of year, so I’m with you on decent warmth—I just don’t like the upper level look. I want to see step downs. We keep saying these warm falls are fine and then I’m looking at +2 DJF and 30% of snow climo on March 15.

I guess you could say I’m spooked  

Yeah, it's been a nice step down so far, but I agree that the upper level pattern looks to buck that trend in the long term.  It wants to ridge out instead of the up and down of this month so far.

3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I really don’t like this but if there’s a saving grace hopefully we snap back to troughing as we get closer to November. 

My feeling is that it isn't going to snow anyway, and it's getting darker earlier, so I enjoy the nice weather being outside as much as possible.

My energy bill appreciates it with no AC or Heat.

By early to mid November, I'm game for sustained normal to below weather for snowmaking.  Have a full month+ though before it starts to matter.  48F and rain doesn't do much for me.

11 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

wow, that's the best warm signal I've seen all year now that I dig in a bit.  man. 

That sounds about right as we head into the lower sun angle time of year.

Mother Nature loves prolonging the sweet spot of temperatures in the 60-80F range as long as possible.

It is absolutely gorgeous outside at 79/54.

Probably the best temperature you can get for outside anything ha.

Getting there.

We’ve started some color here but it was definitely behind what I saw in SVT elevations last week.

This is right now up here.

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I have some maples near peak already. The Kanc/Lincoln will be funny Columbus day weekend with stick season well underway   

I feel like it’s always stick season in the mtns for that weekend.  Peeps are always like a good week late.

1.03” and tapering off.

25 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said:

Over 3", kicking Stein to curb finally. Foliage borderline peak this weekend in a bunch areas around here.

Yeah it was going real early down there.  I was down in Mt Snow area last week… was shocked.  Looked like foliage was going to be past peak by 10/1.

If my math is right, ALB ASOS is at like 4” since noon yesterday?

There are radar estimates up to 6” in their FA.

Just now, dendrite said:

First time I’ve seen that. lol

Ha I saw that on your loop and went to go figure out what it was.

Thats interesting.

Half inch up here so far.  Just a nice soaking rain.

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So Fish says 

This link will take you to where you scroll through dew points on various models.  You can even adjust to the model that fits your thoughts, unless there isn’t one

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=neus&pkg=Td2m&runtime=2025092418&fh=6

3 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Why don't you post a few of these everythings?

18z Saturday dew points.  It's *almost* 60 I guess.

GFS and EURO

Looks like some good totals in parts of CT from 0.50-1.50”.

Did DIT “congrats NNE” himself to another inch of rain?

Up to 0.59” on the day.

It’s been a minute since we’ve had wet rainy day vibes.

16 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Up to .45 at home.  I wasn't sure we'd get even that much.  Still raining here at the office in Waterbury and it looks like we have a little more to go.

 

Yeah looks about the same up at Stowe.  I had to go to BTV and back this morning, steady rain the whole way there and back.

Seems like most spots are in that third to half inch range.  A few up to three quarters in the Underhill area.

40 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Thanks. Still getting used to not watching radar at 100ft ASL. 

Won’t be here full time but I have to admit—I love it up here. It’s just out in the middle of nowhere.  

The Adirondacks and high peaks area is awesome.  Pure wilderness.

What elevation are you at?  Gotta be decent when like the lowest elevations are like 1,300ft.

23 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I'm dreading it.

Sky water.  Not hose water.

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Been pouring here in SLK all morning. Radar is weird with all the elevation changes. 

Yeah you have to use composite or the third or fourth tilt.

Sure is dreary after a month of sun.

Cloudy and light rain.