powderfreak

17 minutes ago, rgwp96 said:

I would think if they had equal  L.E. they will both have same otg within 24hrs  after compaction. Fluff looks great but  goes down fast

Snow likes to find 10:1 ratios eventually in my experience, or near there.  But those under the band almost certainly had more QPF as well.

54 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

ya I dont know about that this girl I know was vaxxed and boosted was on a vent for 22 days she just got off it 3 days ago and her Facebook says she has a long recovery.. 

For sure, plenty of risks going around.  Was merely speaking of the COVID going around here.  It’s everywhere from the holidays around these parts but knock on wood, luckily everyone I know with it recently has extremely mild symptoms.  Don’t mean to take away from the harsh reality of how it can affect someone.  Sorry for the projecting.

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

There is a bad flu around.

Yeah and I also wonder about a large number of people who have not being sick in the least since like 2020 might play into it.  Longest period of my life with zero illness at all during the hyper mask, sanitation, low human density times.  Interesting retrospective on that health aspect… maybe just a solid head cold could do a number if the body hasn’t fought one in a couple years?

Who knows but that rocked me for several days. I still feel it, lingering cough and sinus effects.

Hope Dendy sees some improvement in the next couple days.

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Some coughing and chest pain now…fever back up to 101. I assume this is COVID. Sucks.

Sounds too severe to be COVID if you are vaxxed.  I had a 102-103F fever for 2-3 days about 10 days ago, coughing, head cold, etc.  Multiple tests negative for COVID.  Several others at the ski area had same thing, fever, chills, long lasting cough (I still have it 10 days later) and negative COVID.

Doctor even said it was definitely more severe symptoms than vaxxed and boosted patients he had.  He explained vaxxed and boosted patients around here were seeing slight sore throats or even stuff that you would’ve never paid attention to in the past.

Speculated that the high fever was the actual flu as many of us forgot to get that vaccine this year, ha.

16 minutes ago, alex said:

That's how I felt driving from Bretton Woods to Bartlett when I lived there. That's why now I live amongst the moose and the bears...

Speaking of, I was surprised on radar how far those streamers are going downwind.  They’ve been training over Jackson and Bartlett area.

2” last hour.  Just crushing snow at 1500ft.

1 hour ago, EMontpelierWhiteout said:

We have a friend coming from out of state to ski at Stowe with us tomorrow.  Is any appreciable upslope snow possible this afternoon/ evening with expected position of the low pressure in the GOM?

Hard to say, we were at 5” since yesterday morning as of 12pm.  Probably another inch since.

Ski area has another 2” since the snow board flip at 6am.  Almost 5” including yesterday daytime snow.

4 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

13 inches at The Frog Bridge, Willimantic. Still snowing.

That’s awesome.  Lol who would’ve thought.  Even DIT was low.

13 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

Serious depth. I was absolutely very *ucking wrong when I said 6-7 Inches.

it’s ELEVEN INCHES at Willimantic at the river.

And still dumping hard 

That’s an awesome scene.  Love to see it.

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Snow started at what like 4a or so. Maybe a little earlier. That’s good stuff.

The last few pages have been awesome.  Congrats to all.  Need some photos when daylight breaks.

10 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

2-4 seems like a good bet. Models are wet enough here for that.

Agreed for your area and the Whites.  Easterly flow ahead of the low and surface blocked NW flow as it pulls away.  Should be a good snow wrapping around the mountains from SE to NW.

9 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

Learn to love it, because it’s going FV3 core and running to 60 hours and you’re going to lose the NAM and HRRR.

I don't hate it.  The 3km NAM is just as useless or useful... It bounces around but I've come to like the HRRR four main runs a day over the 3km NAM.  3km NAM has some high terrain errors in QPF/moisture progs that the HRRR seems to resolve better too.  That affects my opinion a bit.  Synoptic coastal storms might be different.

10 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

I get a decent amount of sun here. My spot north of the Whites often clears out when Littleton, Bethlehem, Carroll, etc. are socked in. Happens all the time. Franconia Notch and that general area is always cloudy.

The southerly aspect plays a big role too.  You face a great direction.  I know we all like the idea of a dark, shaded north facing spot but in reality, no thanks.  Hard pass.  Humans need sunshine and in a cold climate, it's nice.

1 minute ago, radarman said:

Even in GC schools are closed already.  I mean maybe they get some east slope magic, but they could also have a run of the mill 1-2", of which they get 20x a year.   I guess when you have nobody to drive buses and plow and teach and go to class, you might as well bag it.

Shut 'em down... a winter weather advisory is good enough cover reason regardless of outcome.  

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

HRRR is terrible in snow . Great in convection. Euro , Reggie , Gfs 18z all increased 

I will say the HRRR extended runs at 00/06/12/18z have been pretty good this season IMO.  I've watched it more than normal for whatever reason.  The hourly differences can be crap, but the earlier runs showing a good hit from you to BOS were in that extended range that has seemed ok this winter at least up here.  Who knows.  It's not terrible when taken in the aggregate, just the hour to hour runs diminish it's value.  It'd be like running the 3km NAM hourly, of course there's going to be a lot of variety. 

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

wut

Ha, "sir you did not pass the field sobriety test."

24 minutes ago, J.Spin said:

Event totals: 1.6” Snow/0.02” L.E.

 

Details from the 6:00 P.M. Waterbury observations:

New Snow: 1.3 inches

New Liquid: 0.02 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 65.0

Snow Density: 1.5% H2O

Temperature: 28.6 F

Sky: Light Snow (4-15 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 4.5 inches

lol that's awesome.  But it does fit.  It's all air.  Just feathers.

Got a good 2” of fluff today at 1500ft.  Zero moisture, high ratio.

38 minutes ago, EMontpelierWhiteout said:

What’s the best place to access this radar imagery.  I have a Weather Underground link with multiple options but nothing as clear as this zoomed in.  Thanks.

See if this works:

https://www.wunderground.com/radar/us/vt/burlington/cxx

I think it just defaults to BTV radar but you need to play with the zoom and scans to get it how you want.

Yeah it's been snowing pretty good at the ski area.  Only an inch though it looks like, feels like more than that though given the dearth of snowfall lately.

Good lake connection from Lake Ontario and upslope assist.

2 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

What are the thoughts for Friday? GFS still prints out some decent upslope, RGEM is also pretty good as a signal.

It looks like ratios would be high, the snow growth zone is down into the summits.  That’s generally a good sign to maximize moisture.

2 hours ago, PhineasC said:

Well I meant that storm down in the MA. Some early runs had that getting up the coast. Just can’t get anything to climb up here lately. 

Ah gotcha.  Yeah over the last many years you just get used to nor'easters being more coastal plain storms, ha.  You look for the other storms that don't snow in those areas.  It's a tough habit to break though, always wanting to be included in those big ticket items.  We'll get the consistent snow cover and some good storms, and they'll get the occasional big moisture laden ocean storm.

5 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Hoping for 2 inches Friday to refresh the pack at least. This reminds me of last Feb when everything missed to the south. 

This is the first one though right?  The last one missed north.

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

That's a very interesting pattern.  Off and on.  Interesting if there are different initializations or parameters in place between certain runs.