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powderfreak

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  1. I like you to Alex when digging into the soundings. There’s an upslope component to the larger scale synoptic moisture… you can see how the meso-models fluidly wrap QPF from northeast to northwest/west aspects of the larger White Mtn zones. Final 5,000ft to the surface and below, they see winds move back on the dial to go from NE to NW throughout the event. It should add low level lift/condensing of moisture compared to the southern side.
  2. You may be able to, ha. That's what I was looking at... move that north by 50 miles and CT is smoked. As it is that run is 12-20" from like Dryslot to ORH to BDL down to SW CT. I'm assuming 1" of QPF would register 14" of snow or so.
  3. Skimpflation. Experiences diminish and you pay the same money for them. Read through this and it’s 100% true. https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2021/10/26/1048892388/meet-skimpflation-a-reason-inflation-is-worse-than-the-government-says-it-is
  4. Just over an inch of snow at all elevations at the mountain. Surprised to find the same amount at 1500ft as 3000ft+. Light flurries and radar shows a bit more moisture working in.
  5. I was just thinking of that storm! "Nemo" I think it was called by TWC. That thing had that band of like 30-40+dbz in CT that included graupel and rimed convective stuff in 0.25"/hr bucket rates. Just monster lift.
  6. The low is too far east when it hits the right latitude and not enough moisture in the low levels with the arctic air mass advecting in behind it. Some windy light snows maybe but right now not going to be anything worth noting. She just escaped too far east. Should be a great storm to watch unfold though for the eastern areas near the coast.
  7. 8-days and every single day is a high of 64-71F and a low of 46-50F. Seems like a challenge. "Hey Bob, want to do two clouds or one today on the icons?"
  8. See I often thought the low level flow under those bands was NNW despite the band itself going ENE to WSW. I always like a mid-level band radar signature just to my immediate NW. Put me on the southeast boundary of the echoes from that wind in the lowest 5,000ft. We are really nitpicking now though .
  9. Great insight! I know there has to be more happening… that ageostrophic turning likely makes a more pronounced sinking motion just beyond it too, no? I can imagine that happening in low level lift while a deeper level wave forms over top maybe. I always try to envision the air flow fluidly to explain maxes and mins and why they end up where they do. A side effect of living in orographic land.
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