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Everything posted by powderfreak
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
lol the highest reports are 4-4.5” in BTV and PBG. NW of there it’s 2.5-3.5” reports coming in. I bet BTV and Plattsburgh will be near tops of the list. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Not doing that over here… closing in on an inch on colder elevated surfaces. Still a nice snowy evening in the village. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
With that said, HRRR dreams aside this radar is mid-level banding Champlain Valley delight. I’m hearing I-89 from BTV north and I-87 in NY are horrendous almost whiteout 1-2”/hr within the band. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Just flipped here and hammering suddenly. BTV has a couple inches down. HRRR says we rip 6-10pm. If we can do a few hours averaging 0.1” SWE in snow, I won’t complain. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I think it's blocked and the trajectory of the precip moving almost due north. Probably helps to have a strong thermal gradient in there too as the cold can come into the Champlain Valley and west slopes unmitigated (it's already cooling down near freezing in the Champlain Valley). It takes a bit more for that low level cold to cross the barrier, so likely more mixed or non-snow precip to start. ECMWF and ICON are definitely a bit further east with the precipitation, but I think synoptically it would make sense for the western slopes or even Champlain Valley to wring out the moisture better. A lot of low level fog and mist around right now, feels like the low levels are juiced. Seeder feeder with mid-level lift and then low level orographic juice too. I will say it is inverted at the ski area right now. 36F at 3,600ft 38F at 2,600ft 32F at 1,500ft -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Yeah, I'm skeptical of those QPF amounts but we'll see. If it verifies, thunder would fit. It's hard to rip out that much QPF in like 4 hours of fast moving lift in a colder air mass. It's like 4-8pm or 5-9pm and done. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Ahh was that was it was, I thought it was the Tuesday set-up. Tuesday has looked upslope driven. But this evening never truly got me jazzed until the 12z+ models have all changed fairly significantly. I had seen a bunch of runs with more of a diffuse 1-4" event further north. Like 12z HRRR. HRRR has made a big change in the past like 4 hours. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
This is coming out of no where all the sudden. Most models have a decent snow event in the CPV… this is positive snow depth: -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Ray’s nightmare. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Ha, high of 36F here with a slushy coating still on the ground on colder surfaces. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I was thinking that… that’s a huge area of 12”+ for a mesoscale style event. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
That’s pretty impressive. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
The only storm you’re gonna find 18”+ around BOS and BTV both. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I guess, but it’s like 5 seconds… -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Twitter is not that hard… I post them all the time just fine on here. Just change the X.com to Twitter.com and paste it and it’ll embed. We see every single Twitter post from Margarbage on here just fine lol. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
December 2003 -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Any terrain has gotten plastered over the past week. Anything above 1500ft is very white. The river valleys are not white. It’s that time of year. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
46/43. Solidly in the warm-sector after one of the coldest mornings. Life comes at you fast, all the sudden dew points in the 40s are noteworthy. It’s been awhile. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
You gotta buy a snowmobile for SLK.
