powderfreak

Yes, ha, that 3km NAM stuff is useless over the peaks and terrain. I read something once that it's confusing rime icing parameters for actual precipitation but I can't quite wrap my head around it. Because it doesn't *always* do it... there's definitely some variable, like the terrain hits the cloud deck and all the sudden it goes bananas for precip. The only way to really read what its saying is to look at adjacent areas to the mountains. When it gets that super sharp gradient of like 0.2" in Underhill or Stowe and like 1.5"+ over the peak in like 6-12 hours, lol, it's like ok NAM, stop it with the ridgelines. The HRRR seems much better with the terrain around these parts... just the right amount of enhancement... wish we could get whatever precipitation calculation that uses into the 3KM NAM.

-12 in the valley here, at MVL.. radiators mount up locally. -18F at HIE. The vibe was brutal cold this evening. Wind blowing over the ridge, accelerating down the slope and through the east side, in this deep cold.

Back when BTV radiated... they used to put up some impressive lows. -18F at BOS is the most impressive though of those.

Looks like 3-6” potential up this way.

It’s currently around 280” for moving 20-year average…forget the exact number. For example, this season we are at 231” to date up there.

That winter almost ended me. Think we were 55” or so for snowfall and the picnic tables only had 153”. Lowest on record.

-6F… staying well-mixed. Based on ski area temps: 3,600ft… -20F 2,600ft… -14F 1,500ft… -10F 750ft… -6F

100%. Lack of pics for “oh my god” rates… take some photos to remember that shit during the next thaw, lol. That radar through Scooter-ville was nuts.

Love to see it.

Down to 3F in the valley, -10F at picnic tables. Dropping fast now.

Lately we’ve been seeing the light, consistent refreshes. Not gaining depth but maintaining it through low-QPF NW flow. Hopefully we can see a more synoptic density event soon. The fluff doesn’t do much.

Agreed. The model signal is there for a localized area to get lit up. A widespread 1-3” but some town gets 6-8”, or more. 00z NAM likes Essex County.

12z GGEM took the cake for wildest solution with 1”+ in Essex County.

Two inches down at the snow plot overnight can be 2-3x that up at the Cliff House lately. The plot is a good mid/upper elv. total but some of these recent ridgeline snows have really been blowing in deep up above that 3,000ft elevation. Its obvious some of these days the upper lift terminals accumulate decently deeper fluff at times than the plot and I love it.

Yeah suns out now but grabbed 4” of total fluff at the Mtn as that cold front came through.

Today was really nice. Got up into the 20s at most elevations. I could go for more of that. Felt comfortable out there for once lol. Been over a week since the last snowfall but I’ve still got my spots for fresh tracks.

lol, gonna be a tough weekend in the high elevations. It’s all good, Ginxy, just sitting back laughing at you and Wolfie tag teaming it the past few days. I have no horse in the race but it’s hilarious. Keep fighting the good fight.

Silly Ken, thinking he could sneak that past .

Life is all good, nothing is melting, no settling, looks like it fell yesterday. Winters great and we all love it.

-13F

-4/-10 at PWS and ASOS is right there too… another frigid evening. During the warmest part of the week. METAR KMVL 030320Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR M20/M23 A3006

That’s pretty cool on that prog… seeing NE flow WAA snows trying to back into EMA.

Up to 23F and it feels like t-shirt weather with no wind and sunshine.

You’re thinking about it too binary though. It affects everywhere. But you keep saying “if location X gets a snowstorm, then it must not be happening there.” And if someone says it’s happening here, they mean zero snow. Maybe for one region it decreases the chances by 10%… for another area they have already low chances of snow so it decreases chances by a percentage point or two. But there’s always a percentage chance the storms happen. It’s like a sliding scale and changing the probabilities. It’s not a binary yes or no.