powderfreak

It is pretty impressive how tenacious that NE trough is… looping the 850mb temps out to day 16 is just a continual baking of the center of the nation and every time it attempts to slide a bit NE it gets beaten down hard. GFS went full body trough over us out in mid-July on that 6z run. EPS continues to show big heat squeezed into PA and then just get crushed.

Into that time of year when sustained heat arrives. Wish the one day heat of 80s would persist through the weekend to be honest. Highs in the low to mid 70s on the zone forecast Sunday through Thursday. In this age of AGW, you expect a torch 24/7 but it just hasn't been there and really no hemispheric signs that it materializes through the 7-10 day. Friday... Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Warmer with highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent. Saturday... Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent. Sunday... Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Sunday Night Through Monday Night... Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Tuesday... Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Wednesday... Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Wednesday Night And Thursday... Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.

59F at 9:20pm at the ASOS... the day before a short-lived torch. I'm looking forward to tomorrow. Planning to take an after-work hike in the high heat of mid/upper 80s, then a dip in the river. Sweat it out, cool it off. Enjoy the heater days this summer because you know they are short lived and it's back to comfortable warm summer temperatures in the 70s for a week straight after that.

Got some water coming for someone Friday night through Saturday. Models are scatter plot with QPF but the take home message is there should be some water around.

Hopefully a less confusing month coming up in July too. A strong correlation has appeared with regards to temperature/weather patterns and confusion emojis on AMWX.

What’s current water temps down there? Have to imagine algae bloom chances are down across NNE waterways so far this summer without the bath water trajectory.

Some 75/45 obs from LCI this afternoon… that’s some high quality stuff right there. Perfect for vaca in NNE… and then get to enjoy a heater tomorrow. A little mix and match.

73/48 today… just a classic end to a month of these types of days on average.

Edibles. Lots of them.

Yeah BTV is -0.7 for June which for them is almost unbelievable. The new 30-year climo numbers must be helping… as that airport always had a baseline like +2. I think BTV is like -2 on maxes and normal on mins or just above. But shows the daytimes have been cooler than normal when people are out and about. Its been a while since BTV has had a summer month come in below normal. Just above normal precip too... "cooler and wetter" relative to average. Fits with NW flow climatology.

Boundary comes through early up here, it’s a tomorrow afternoon/evening heat and muggy night before early AM FROPA. This summer so far is characterized by brief single afternoons of heat, then days of 70s over 50s. As of 348 AM EDT Thursday...From Monday night through mid-week there remains a large spread in guidance in the evolution and strength of an upper ridge over the central CONUS and any shortwave energy that roles over into the Northeast. There`s little to hang your hat on leaning towards any one solution so have continued to highlight low chances for showers at this time. In general, the Northeast does look to remain under cyclonic flow though, favoring slightly below normal temperatures.

Probably be the same 62/57 at 8pm on Xmas Eve awaiting the FROPA in a cutter’s warm sector, ha.

You are trying too hard when BDL is +0.1 and BOS is -0.2 this month . If that’s a furnace, last year was Dante’s Inferno. Salesman to the end.

62/57 Had a tenth of an inch in a quick thunderstorm, nice to hear a few booms. Reminds you it’s actually summer. Of course spend thousands of dollars on A/C and not need it yet. The high heat will come eventually.

Forgot hot hot last June was… wow. BDL put up 9 days of 90+ and 4 above 95.0F. Last year on this date BDL’s max was 99F. Then followed it with 98F on tomorrows date. Good grief.

Don't know what we did to deserve this June but it was nice. 76/52 and another awesome Chamber day.

T-Swift and Fish Fillets.

I’m further north

I won't lie, I'm not sure what being a straight guy has to do with preferences regarding having a family. Do non-straight guys not want a family? This read weird. What does being able to, or not being able to, have to do with wanting a family?

Perfect Chamber afternoon. High of 72F, lots of sunshine, dews in the 40s, puffy Cu floating around.

Gotta love New England vacations with the weather dice roll. I remember our family went to the Cape on year when I was like 10 and it rained the whole time. I’m sure it was humid as that’s how it rains there, but the memory was playing board games for like 5 days of probably onshore flow. With Stein now though not even sure that’s possible anymore.

Nah rain showers gone, instant sun, shorts and t-shirts.

It’s maybe four (4) whole degrees warmer for you. 68F vs 72F. You make it sound so different . Dew of 48F at the High School STEM…

The Rec Path outside looks like I-89 but with bikes. They don’t seem to mind. No one comes to VT to swim. Breweries on every corner to keep Dad buzzed while little Johnny rides his bike around the pump track.

Long term ensemble mean 5-day averages seem to want to go ridge out west, trough east type pattern. Both GEFS and EPS look similar going forward.