Ha, at least some folks try looking at data throughout the day. It's easier to just not look at the models all together for sure.
Deterministic long range or Ensembles? What's your model of choice at longer lead times?
Also, this isn't an argument trying to be proven... it's a daily commentary on the future weather. If it torches we'll talk about that too.
The torch looks like it would be later in the month, past Day 8-10.