powderfreak

You gotta enjoy the dry weather though… plans never impacted by rain. Pristine evening wandering around the hills right now.

Yeah 12z GEFS were warmer again. Everything shifted a bit eastward it looked like.

Touché, ha.

Looks like the 6z Ensembles disagreeing with the OP probably foreshadowed that a bit. EPS was a warm look so see if that continues at 12z.

Of course the 12z GFS goes to deep trough and Canadian High building in post 300hr when it was printing 100s at 6z. The ensembles hadn’t bought into the heat so we’ll see. It has to get hot at some point. Persistence?

The deform band of drought. Hoping for an H6 surprise up this way.

The bear population has to be exploding. I think they say it isn’t, but less hunting, more posted land (less huntable land), milder less severe winters, etc. There are some factors out there that argue for a robust bear population. Honestly seems like there are more bears than deer.

Just looking through things and definitely differences between that GFS OP and GEFS out there long range. OP is a furnace. GEFS mean keeps weak troughing NW flow in the means.

108/82 max/min is awesome

It’s true. We all know it. No one robs Peter to pay Paul. It just is a shorter season.

It has to be painful to box yourself into a spot where you can’t post that you enjoyed a day or had fun, etc unless dew points are high. Not even temperatures, he’s created his summer brand that he literally can’t post anything positive unless dews are over 65F. Its gotta be hard for such an upbeat dude. He’s going to explode with posts like heavy rhea when he finally can, ha. No reason to create a competition out of it, if you enjoyed a days weather… just let it rip. 48F last night for the min here.

Yeah looks like there’s a heater that moves through, before the SE Canada trough squashes it down again for 3-4 days. It’s a solid hot interlude, with another refreshing Canadian shot behind it. I think the July 20th+ stuff has legs for finally being a sustained HHH period. A large part of the country has been baking. We’ve been able to keep it to a minimum but sooner or later, AGW is going to roast us for a sustained period.

He loves it. It’s been so nice out, he’s not posting about drought. The citizenry loves dry warmth/heat. Drier, sunny days with maxes in the 70s and 80s make people feel that dopamine rush. We’ll also get summer at some point and the novelty will be fun.

It’s coming at some point. We won’t fight off the central US ridge all summer. Once that SE Canada trough relaxes, or even blinks, it’ll get hot. Sort of like even largely crap winters often have a 4 week period of decent chances. It may be short or hangs on the second half of summer, hard to say. The winter equivalent is sort of like seeing some signs of sustained change around MLK weekend or late January. We’d hope February into March is winter…. That’s what HHH fans are hoping, that August into September is a sustained stretch. Not the worst thing to have some of that show up for a bit for the variety.

GFS still going deep cool pool out through Day 8-12. But for the first time in like a month there are changes at the end of the run 300+ hours out. Tossing @Damage In Tollanda bone because some of us are unbiased observers… first look this entire summer that the model allows a piece of the Midwest heat to break off and travel into New England by around July 20th. Just in time for some summer HHH.

Hours later I still can’t stop watching this . Good thing they have video to present the car insurance adjuster with or the negligence case.

That’s sweet. Right where you want it, at the beach. Looks like the Cape was a big humid too. Good for the vacationers there. Today sounds like it hit all the right places.

High of 73F in the valley, most of the afternoon was 68-72F. Elevations in the mid/upper 60s. Good deal of sun and low dews. Wild to be sitting upper 60s and low 70s with some occasional sunshine in July below 1,000ft. Those Canadian air masses tickling in.

TAN looks down to 63F dew and NW flow picking up a bit. Swamps should get some relief soon.

WFO BTV knows C.O.C. when it sees it. Previous discussion below: Thursday wl feature some fair wx cumulus clouds developing over the trrn associated with sfc heating/bl moisture and weak instability, but otherwise another beautiful North Country Chamber of Commerce type day with comfortable temps/humidity values. .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 352 AM EDT Wednesday...It`s looking like we`ll have beautiful weather for next weekend into early next week as a large Canadian high will settle over the region. Highs on Saturday and Sunday will be a good 5-10 degrees below normal, but with ample sunshine and light winds, it`ll still be very pleasant.

It’s like when SkiMRG (still think he should come back) used to post “Big, big winter incoming” in October… and keep saying it only to have the first warning level snow come in February. Its funny but loses punch over time.

62/57 0.40" rain. Up at the office it's showing 58F right now outside. The Swamps of Taunton are a long way from here.

The first video in this Instagram post has to be the most visual depiction of our country that I have seen in a very long time. https://www.instagram.com/p/CfooKSHtprl/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y= That video, of Americans running away from a celebratory fireworks display because of an active shooter is absolutely on-brand for the USA. If that doesn't drive home the point, its hard to imagine what would. Americans, going to celebrate our Independence, are in full sprint away from the celebration because someone is gunning them down. The imagery is incredibly damming to the American brand. We as a citizenry were regarded world wide as the model of civilization and the great American experience was a full win. Not anymore, their are cracks. Cracks in the foundation have occurred. Widening cracks as the ground shifts over time. Maybe it's as simple a comparison as a single house/homeowner, who after a long period of time experiences cracks in the foundation. There are some growing structural issues, even with a grand home standing above it. The owners revamp it, repair the foundation but the house above it remains the great place it always was... and it's an expensive fix. It was stressful. But in the end, the homeowner is left with another period (decades) of stability in that house. Eventually the foundation will crack again, but you repair it and enjoy another run of prosperity. On the flip side, we cannot forget the millions of Americans who work together. The unspoken majority. A friend wrote this, it's not a viral post or quote. But he explained it quite well. There are a lot of us out there who are a melting pot that just want to improve ourselves and country daily. It's not a team sport, you can be both dismayed at the current state of things and yet proud to be an American. It's not a team sport. Say that to yourself as many times as you can.

Yeah it’s looked better all day from the MRG/Sugarbush area into CVT/MPV area… a half inch or more soaking gets the job done.

The irony when someone thinks they hear hyperbole and responds sarcastically. Full circle, ha. 0.28” here now and tapering off. No big rains but enough to soak things.