powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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He will be worried any potential rain will be too far north/south/east/west until it’s actually happening and even then might not believe it. Stein has a choke hold. Cant say I blame him, persistence forecasting .
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Just busting your balls. But no doubt we may see some folks who were begging for even a tenth or quarter inch of rain a week ago, feel like they’ve been “Steined” with *only* an inch of rain if other areas get three. Everything in weather on here seems relative to other areas… beg for even 0.1” one day, be disappointed with 1.0” the next, all because we know someone else got more. As a forum it seems like we may have even more of a jackpot fetish in summer than in winter .
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Now we will see the posts where anyone who doesn’t jackpot was Steined. 2” vs 4”? Stein. lol
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You wonder if this is going to be more common… it feels like we never talked about drought on the forums until like the last 5-10 years. Now it’s like a summer staple.
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I could see it. The 06z GFS was sort of like that. It’ll depend on the mid/upper level low. We do see it go both ways sometimes. Could pour in SNE into Dendrite and up the foothills of Maine. Could also blast a warm front through us all and boundary stalls with flooding from like PA through Binghamton and into NNY if it’s super occluded. In the winter those are the systems where Utica gets like 30” while warm sector is into Maine. At the very least, it’s some synoptic weather to follow.
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To be honest when they go west we don’t even really get it up here. It’s more like PA/NY. SE flow really isn’t our thing, it’s either Adirondacks down through Catskills…or Whites down through Dendrite and SNE.
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Yeah absolutely still above normal in totality. Our min last night stayed +5 despite feeling refreshing… which says something about the prior air mass. Were it not for the thick summit level stratus deck it feels like it would get warm with sunshine. Summit level registering 53F currently at MMNV1 so maybe it wouldn’t warm that much. That fits with near 70F down here.
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GFS going drought buster days 5-7. Just firehose of moisture on SE flow.
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Up to 69F now at noon. What a difference the past two days from the previous 3-4 days.
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Another example of how hot it was and what even “normal” feels like… Normal low temp here is 54F in the most recent 30-year climo update. The forecast low is 57F, which is a great relief. But it’s still above normal and we will bill it as substantial relief. Yesterday was 91F (+13) max and 70F (+16) min… a +15 day in high summer is very impressive. Big anomalies are harder to come by this time of year… standard deviation less than it is in cold season.
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In dog we trust.
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62/58 here. You know it’s been humid when dews of upper 50s feels like a breath of fresh air. A 58F dew felt humid after June and first half of July. Windows and doors open, wife complaining about being cold. Don’t give a shit if your cold right now honey, grab a blanket, embrace it and enjoy it. Sliders are staying open.
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Ha you and TBlizz have had more in like 90 minutes than I have in two weeks I think. We do have it more frequently though, a bunch of 0.25-0.50” vs the one time 1.50”+. Only 1.33” here in past two weeks I think but like 5 days with rain out of 14.
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The Taunton crew racking up the water this week. Good to see. Full the swamps back up.
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64/59 My mini-split seems to be pumping out heat now.
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Yes good call. For mid-summer. Usually do not see this type of gradient in the second half of summer too. Once we get into autumn you start seeing it more. But to have 59F afternoon at MSS in the St Lawerance Valley, while most of SNE is about to burst into flames from high HI... it's impressive. More so because it's not just like its upper 80s down there... but high end record heat.
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Meanwhile BTV is 63F. That's a wild gradient across New England right now.
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66/61 here now at 12:10pm. Breezy northwest wind too. Lol. How it can go from afternoons of absolute torching to sitting mid-60s is wild. 50s are back in N.NY like MSS.
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Front is through BTV… 64/61. Just a wild boundary between cool and absolute torch.
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Roughly a half inch here, rounding up by a few hundredths.
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You “win.” That’s insane. The 1.45” L.E. in 2+ months. Averaging under 0.75” per month.
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A massive reservoir about 20 miles outside Las Vegas… gambling, prostitution, drugs… the vice capital of the world. Organized crime thrives there. You wonder how many people really “disappeared” in that area over the years. Southern VT plateau though…
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The western US knows how to do drought. They just keep finding bodies as the water level drops in Lake Mead. The 4th one this summer. Wonder what the drought here in the northeast will uncover… Mob hits left and right. “Boaters found a body inside of a barrel after extremely low water levels exposed the bottom of the lake.” https://www.npr.org/2022/08/08/1116307660/lake-mead-human-remains-fourth-body-swim-beach
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Nice, I think I described it the same earlier. Swirling gusty winds, wasn’t like true straight line winds.
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No argument on any of that. This weekend into early next week the trough axis is right over us… but then retrogrades westward as we go through next week which would support larger scale SE flow. Eventually by like Aug 18-20 it’s in the Ohio Valley. Good ‘cane look too, sucking up the coast.
