powderfreak

Interesting sky this afternoon ahead of the FROPA.

Just curious, what’s your May total?

Lol. The internet/text shortcuts said WTTE means “words to that effect” but it didn’t make sense with what DIT posted. Thanks.

Today’s my first day on the internet… but what does WTTE mean?

BTV AFD sounds like near record cold on Wed night. It`s entirely possible we could observe some daily record lows with values in the teens to mid 20s in the Dacks and Northeast Kingdom and to the upper 20s to lower 30s in the broad valleys. Several sites will be within 5 degrees of records, with Montpelier and Saranac Lake currently forecast to break the record at time of writing.

True, in winter folks would be trying to focus on mid-levels at this point, while QPF queens get weenied. If anything QPF maps in the warm season will be worse given the convection and forcing mechanisms.

Is something changing in climo or are we just focusing on it so much more in the past 5 years or so on the forum? I swear we never used to talk or worry or complain about this stuff in the past, lol. Is our rain now coming in short high volume ways now when a decade ago it came more frequent lighter amounts? May rainfall in New England 5/1-15 if anything is on the wet side. Or did we as a forum population age so now we worry about shit like watering plants? We seem so hyper focused these summers now.

Just busting your balls a bit, but it’s every year now unless it’s a 40-inch summer. It can rain 6-12” and then go a dry week or two and the discussion focuses back on drought… when after the rain ends everyone is like oh we good for a month or so at least now.

Nah, will be fine through end of month after the first week’s rainfall. Just enjoy the nice dry weather.

Yeah we'll see if there's enough moisture around. The 3km NAM has -1C 925mb temps at 2pm in the afternoon up here. Pretty frigid even if this is overdone. Wednesday up in the NNE Mtns should be quite chilly.

It’s a bit deceiving because the highs for the day happen prior to the 2-8pm time frame. The GFS holds the temps past 2pm so they get into that map’s time. Still get that 55-60F he’s been saying but it happens at like 11am and then falls after. Very tough to see falling temps with max solar this time of year though. It’s more likely to hold steady and/or fight the CAA but it’ll be interesting to see what happens after 2pm on Wednesday.

Wednesday afternoon is looking pretty chilly. NAM has early highs in the mid-50s for most of SNE, but then the max temps from 2pm - 8pm (18z-00z) are cool. Max in the low 40s up here all day on this prog. GFS though is about 10F warmer in SNE... still 40s up here.

30F this AM for a min. Could be looking at a close to 40 degree rise today.

MVL ASOS has been sitting 53-57F past 3 hours with NW gusts over 20mph… But this sun angle really makes it feel ok. Cold air mass to do full sun and struggle mid-50s in the valley… but shorts and fleece pullover feels real comfortable. In October we are lighting wood fires and bundled up at breezy 55/28.

Congrats that’s impressive. BTV AFD has been mentioning commencement weather so they are watching. Thats a super fun vibe of a weekend in BTV… and also spills out here to Stowe. A lot of families stay around here, town will be busy. Heading into next weekend, our H5 pattern transitions into a longwave trough, which favors a return to more unsettled weather. While we are still a week away, commencement activities next weekend might be looking at some wet weather. Stay tuned. &&

Midweek trough: “For perspective, will be quite anomalous for this time of the year. 500mb heights in the 520s Dm range are more typical of early March according to the SPC sounding climatology for Albany, NY. Long story short, if the model trends hold and the front crosses the region after sundown, we could be looking at minor snow accumulations above 1500 ft. Bufkit soundings also hints at lingering anafrontal precipitation, so we could even see some lower elevation locales across North Country have some non-accumulating snow mixed in as the air gets progressively colder overnight Tuesday into early Wednesday.“

Me for the L there. But I’ll agree it’s been a highly enjoyable spring. Another day of high near 70F and low RH.

It’s true. Never thought we’d see someone in New England, especially at elevation, install numerous window AC units prior to taxes being due.

Get a groundhog. Watched one of them absolutely vacuum dandelions off the lawn today.

Would it be possible to have heat on at one point in a week and then A/C another? Not a chance. I had heat one morning and usually some brief A/C in the late afternoon if the south facing windows are getting torched.

Haven’t had black flies up here yet. Still enjoyable to be outside. Great late afternoon for a walk to find snow to roll in. Can see the green spreading up the lower slopes on the left side of photo.

Wait… looks like ORH had a high of 48F last week (Thursday or Friday) surrounded by some low-50s. BOS had a max of 50F and min 44F (would indicate majority of that day was 40s). And ORH is running high. It looks like there was absolutely 40s last week in SNE? All easily verifiable on a phone while at a CVS . Spin-master.

You know that model graphics are often snapshots in time right? You see a graphic showing 40s doesn’t necessarily mean the high is in the 40s.

75F off a low of 37F. Might pull another 40 degree range today. Just rattling them off the past few days.

That’s a good day. These are probably some of my favorite temps during the high sun angle. First week of August sun angle, with 70s coupled with clear crisp mornings.