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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. powderfreak
    That seems aggressive to have the entire CWA at 10”+.
  2. powderfreak
    Yeah the northern part of ORH County is in it on every single run. Same with Berkshires and eastern Catskills for the most part. I'd take either northern ORH Cnty at 1,000ft+ or east slope of the Berks to be honest.
  3. powderfreak
    Northern ORH county gets obliterated.
  4. powderfreak
    Starting to?
  5. powderfreak
    German beer up here.
  6. powderfreak
    A legendary post.
  7. powderfreak
    The EPS mean has the system reach it's peak at just the right time for a large swath of the population of this forum. It occludes as it moves further north but it is not a LBSW or LB anyway else. It maxes out at just the right time for most of you all.
  8. powderfreak
    That's the Control member IneedSnow posted. Not the mean.
  9. powderfreak
    EPS Mean snowfall. But that overall looked like the best run for many of you in SNE yet. This panel is as good as it gets to be honest.
  10. powderfreak
    What a day on the hill, but especially this morning. The best packed powder you'll ever find. For whatever reason, the wind was calm and the groomers did their thing... but it was pure velvet and dry snow this morning. So smooth. These are the mornings we live for.
  11. powderfreak
    Who is this poster? Not calling for rains to Maine or a miss? Thought you’d had all the optimism beaten out of you this winter. Good to see old Kev back in.
  12. powderfreak
    The German guy entered the chat.
  13. powderfreak
    Congrats Mass Pike at Charlton and Sturbridge?
  14. powderfreak
    You keep trying to steal my CMC snow.
  15. powderfreak
    Can start here and go up from there if we need to.
  16. powderfreak
    Was looking at forecasts near ALB and surprised how warm they are. The zones read like mainly rain in the valleys. Sunday Night... A chance of snow after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Monday... Rain, possibly mixed with snow. High near 38. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Monday Night... Rain, possibly mixed with snow. Low around 33. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
  17. powderfreak
    That's amazing. Joe B. never stops going for shock value. A snow map in CMs .
  18. powderfreak
    Looking at the individual EPS members, man a lot of those just absolutely smoke the Catskills. Pretty crazy probs for >24" of snow.
  19. powderfreak
    Yeah, you want the explosive phase. Beyond that is banded and outward, but weakening lift.
  20. powderfreak
    Isn’t there a difference though in the maturity of the system and location relative to it? If you are NE of the rapid deepening, it might be more banded as the wave of lift propagates outward. But the places northwest of the immediate deepening should see strong and widespread lift. A shield.
  21. powderfreak
    Yeah looked better than I thought to be honest, hadn’t really been following this one.
  22. powderfreak
    That's a tough forecast in your area given the ECMWF and GFS... vs the mesos. I'd be cautiously optimistic... could see 1-2" for you or 4.
  23. powderfreak
    It's hard to believe we still need to say that. I figured we all understand exactly what the snow maps are, essentially frozen QPF maps with the decimal point moved over. You have to assume 1) the QPF is correct 2) the p-type is correct and 3) the temps/ratios are correct.
  24. powderfreak
    No way the GEFS are going to produce the QPF of the OP run. If you find an ensemble mean of widespread 2"+ of QPF then you've really hit the jackpot on historical event. There'd be some like 5" QPF members mixed in to get a mean over 2".
  25. powderfreak
    Haven’t seen the run but the fact many like it generally doesn’t bode well up here, lol.
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