powderfreak

57/57 +RN What a June.

About 0.30” so far today. Not a drencher but decent daily soaks lately.

Just got absolutely crushed hiking with the dog. Hail, some very close cracks of Thunder, and torrential rain. Even with rain gear I’m soaked straight through to the balls. Might as well have gone swimming with all my clothes on. Was on Spruce Peak, one NE of Mansfield. Hit the jackpot with no shelter. Pea to dime sized hail and raindrops the size and mass of pinecones it felt like.

I can get on-board with that. Sometimes it sounds like you can’t do anything outside in summer unless it’s 6 weeks of 90/70, though that may be more Kev .

Kids don’t like being outside in comfy weather? <duck and run>

Nice rainbow after a couple passing thunderstorms this evening.

lol they are like pancake style hail stones. Large and flat. There are no other ball-shaped objects they could’ve used to get the point across?

Although this looks pretty muggy from yesterday.

Grasping at straws at this point. Anything being called “muggy” this week will probably feel like a cool crisp day after July/August.

Wet-bulb temps have been chilly for quite some time, as we all have experienced… it’s interesting that we may have finally had a persistent ULL type pattern to start the warm season. In recent years it hasn’t been as persistent a feature.

Vegetation will love it though. Even a couple tenths will soak in nicely to keep things going.

It is pitch black over town looking from the mountain. Just a wall of water coming in from the SE to NW. Very odd storm motion.

EURO Day 3-10 also solidly below normal in the means.

Good call… 50s to barely low 60s in parts of SW CT isn’t going to cut it.

Regardless of SVR, this is a pretty cool radar for June.

Up to 68F here but now back to 66F currently. Looks like RT 2 southward got warm.

Much needed soaking with widespread 0.75-1.25” up the east slope of the Greens. Even some spot 1.50”. That SSE low level jet and some higher surface moisture/dews seems to have solidly over-perform models so far. Very efficient sheet rains right now even as it lightens up. Had 0.90” before heading to work.

A/C is on tonight. Strong south winds gusting through the windows earlier, and it’s still 72/59 at 10:30pm. Windows shut and mini splits on… can’t do 70s outside after 10pm without A/C. We are staying well-mixed and breezy ahead of the rain. BTV at 77F still. FVE at 73F is interesting too.

Fort Carson in Colorado Springs, CO today. Hail accumulation and flash flooding.

You should run what it’s got up here. Been very dry since May 1, lawns in spots look much worse than that. I just never feel nor care for non-native cut grasses. It should be brown in summer if cut short. It’s just not a good native indicator of dry. We’ll get rain this week anyway. Ill try to get some pics of “damage” with burnt Rec fields.

Pretty widespread precip totals on all models over the next week and a half. Rain chances every day or every other day... so hopefully those worried about lawns will get a cool wet 10 day stretch to help keep things green.

Looks like that’s the ticket. Good call, I honestly thought soil temperature played a larger role in leaf out but looks like it’s one minor variable that is easily be overcome by the more important temperature and sun. I would’ve guessed sun and soil temperature over air temperature. It seems it involves “a combination of signals including the weather becoming warmer, the days getting longer/increase in the amount of sunlight, the soil becoming warmer, and nutrients & water becoming more available.” But the most important are: “At the simplest level, most experts agree that a combination of temperature and photoperiodic cues is responsible for the timing of budburst in most temperate woody plants.”

Then why does leaf out vary from early to late spring depending on temps/weather? The sun angle would be the same every single year. Soil temp doesn’t matter?

For sure and it almost adds to what I think. Over all the years that build climo, how many are there that involve prolonged dry stretches with one big QPF event? Probably a decent amount. It seems to be how we get our precip in the warm season in the northeast. It's probably be doing this in the means for hundreds of years. Might not be that abnormal to have some big water events, but decent stretches of dryness. The vegetation will be fine and survive. It's hearty to that type of water pattern in New England. The non-naturally occurring (planted or seeded) stuff though suffers much more like lawns and other vegetation. This stuff of "we need to water" is modern issue.

Yeah I don’t know… part of me thinks we over-estimate how wet we think it’s supposed to be in this forum discussion. The average I’ve always looked at was 3/4ths to an inch per week is about average for most spots. You get a 2” event, good for at least a couple weeks of climo. A 3-4” event covers a month. Also this expectation that suburban lawn grass is supposed to stay green without help, likely plays a role. Folks see lawn grass going dry (but not wild tall grasses) and assume it’s been more abnormally dry to climo than reality?