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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. Dude, so consistent there for you & company. Northern ORH County on each and every model run. The ratios also have an actual shot at 10:1 there too. East flow does upslope and leads to forced parcel ascent cooling there. Every few tenths of a degree of cooling will make a big difference in these marginal events. Low level air rising over you vs sinking over you, will define the event IMO.
  2. Like the places in the Midwest that verify blizzard with no snow falling.
  3. Terrible idea. Skip DDH and up into the hills like Woodford or eastern slopes.
  4. And yet still care enough to be watching the thread all afternoon
  5. Everyone was lined up outside the Dealer's house just now, and he only had enough product to get Hubby and ineedsnow their fix before closing the door and shades.
  6. This sounds like a Ponzi scheme. It’ll be better for you if you give me your money. Trust me.
  7. Such a tenuous set-up with the interaction of the northern and southern stream. High risk and reward. Large variability. This can’t be all that bad.
  8. It’s crazy that this system is still far enough away for multiple model runs worth of trends to go.
  9. If you guys get in the meat of the CCB I think that’s a reasonable ceiling for TAN to south coast given the air mass. 8-12” of 6-7:1 paste in heavy precip rates with wind would be a helluva event regardless.
  10. The temps are annoying in general with this system, which ups the ante. Naturally you have to favor the elevations. It’ll snow anywhere the lift is strong enough, but the moisture in this system would hit HECS easily with a colder/fresher air mass. I’ve gotten stuck on imagining looking at these runs with widespread temps in the 20s, not low to mid-30s.
  11. NAM big difference in parts of CT and adjacent NY. Runs like this: To this at 18z:
  12. Yeah the northern part of ORH County is in it on every single run. Same with Berkshires and eastern Catskills for the most part. I'd take either northern ORH Cnty at 1,000ft+ or east slope of the Berks to be honest.
  13. The EPS mean has the system reach it's peak at just the right time for a large swath of the population of this forum. It occludes as it moves further north but it is not a LBSW or LB anyway else. It maxes out at just the right time for most of you all.
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