powderfreak

I still remember that one too. Think it was the worst severe storm I saw at my childhood house. I remember we went to the basement and came up to trees uprooted. I can still remember this like large group of families just wandering the neighborhood together in awe looking at damage. On Sunday, May 31, 1998, a severe weather outbreak occurred across the northeast United States. The severe thunderstorms produced 20 tornadoes within a two hour drive of Albany, NY, along with hundreds of damaging wind and large hail reports. On May 31, 1998, the Albany NWS forecast area was in a “High Risk” for severe weather as defined by the NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman, OK. SPC has been issuing severe weather outlooks since the mid-1950s. This is the only time the Albany forecast area has been put in a “High Risk”. It hadn’t happened before, it hasn’t happed since.

35F for the low.

That’s the run we need. Highs in 70s and 80s Sat-Mon. Here’s Sun/Mon maxes.

Saw a young black bear today while out with the dog. Watched him for a long time (maybe 20-30 minutes even), just grazing, rolling around in the grass, etc. Eventually the dog spotted him and barked which caused him to take off. Didn't see any other cubs near him or mom, thought it might have been first summer on his own. Love bears, pissed that the dog barked, she was good for so long just sort of watching.

You aren’t pinning a call of Mtn snows and 40s on me for this weekend . Just a chance of wet weather, it’s ok to acknowledge it. Hopefully it stays south as I hate any rain days during the warm season.

EPS look worse than the OP next weekend. Saturday and Sunday.

What year was it? 2013? Big Memorial Weekend snowstorm in the mountains. Mansfield had like 7-foot drifts. Whiteface got like 3 feet.

Start laying that ground work so when it’s 60s and showers you can claim it was a splendid beach weekend. Not 40s and Mtn snows. Hopefully it’s 75F and sunny. Rain would be infuriating.

Yeah OP and GEFS definitely took a step towards wet. The OP definitely engineers the worst outcome with daily rain Sat/Sun/Mon.

Hopefully some can learn from this past event. The rain will come, Stein is a psychological fear that can be overcome.

A healthy moisture train getting pumped north will be moving through. This is very efficient rain, should see some spots exceed 2" as it crawls eastward.

Yeah, it’s not crisp. Low 60s over upper 50s now. It’s windows open type dews. No heat necessary. Summer.

Radar looks good down there for you guys (this is from OKX though).

lol. I played the blend and had 1.0-1.5" when he said 0.25-0.5". Should've trusted my gut and gone higher. Out your way, TAN, SE MA, etc... that's some heavy rain still streaming N/NEward. Given the high PWAT air, dews and strong low level jet moving through... this line should be efficient with some areas seeing up to another inch? Low level jet moves eastward and still should be affecting eastern areas through 11pm-12am.

You sound like DIT... not sure why you guys meh rains so much. All summer, every summer now, lol. After this event and the first few days of May, many places will be at near normal rainfall for the month. Mother Nature likes her averages. Tolland was just over an inch when it was said to be mostly done, just scattered showers. Now it looks like Kev is in an axis from Rockport to Tolland with a bunch of spots going over 2". You may be the same.

While not my cup of tea for music (no, I do not blast TayTay while wandering around Mansfield)... I do respect what she has built for a following and an overall brand. That's bordering on idol status to have that many people, pay so much money, to see you perform. And she seems to put on a show for them. That image shows it, that's a true entertainer.

Best spot around. Great choice. Last time I was there was an anniversary dinner. Its funny town is busy, restaurant parking lots packed, forgot why and then your post and I was like oh right, it’s commencement weekend. Good to dodge the rain so far.

New meaning of “misery mist”.

There’s a couple Cocorahs stations there that do well. Think they had over 200” in 2010-11. I’d put it at 130-140ish average though. They kinda got relatively skunked this past winter I think with lack of westerly flow events. Most of the storms seemed to be on SE low level jets.

Snowpack season is almost over. Just patchy cover around the COOP.

Yeah it was a great day up here. Nice 4-hour hike and now hanging outside. If it didn’t rain for the next three months I’d love it. No Stein concerns here, got a hose to the garden that works well. Looks like you’ve got more coming. Still a bunch streaming northward and those are likely efficient rainers. Bet you can get another half inch. We’ll see what CoCoRAHS shows tomorrow before we grade it in full. Terrible showing by the Euro in this.

Yeah I mean we all knew that would be localized, but widespread 1-2”, locally 3” will happen for sure. There’s still some good moisture feeding into dews in the low 60s. This thing’s rain is pretty far west considering the “concern” of it being a SE of 95 only event. At the very least most can go 7-10 days now before talking and it being dry.

I just learned what it means so… WTTE.

Yeah I get it. You guys look a bit more convective out east. But hard to think the floor is anything less than 0.50-1.00" at the least. That's a solid soaking. Vegetation is fine with that, doesn't need 3" with heavy runoff. Looks like TAN already has 0.20" in the bucket quickly. This stuff will be efficient. No way you get under an inch of rain.

12z GFS is out and yeah, prob worth being concerned.