Yeah it could be quite a while before any real gains again. I probably read too much into the post based on the tenor of the forum today, ha.
Its just March and April are still 8 weeks of possible healthy snows and gains at that elevation.
The mean max temperature at the Stake is 33.8F on April 10th… so two months from now the average high is barely above freezing. It looks like, say, Hartford CT only has one calendar day in the entire year (January 16 at 33.5F)) where the mean max temp is lower than Mansfield on April 10th.
So the hill has until early/mid April before it hits mid-January in CT climate. Just for perspective on climo timelines.
With that said, this winter has shown that taking the under on winter potential is the way to go… the persistence pattern. Sometimes that’s hard to shake and can stick with a whole season.
Weighing the probabilities continues to offer some optimism but not expecting it… reasonable viewpoint at this time.