powderfreak

You may not like it here much then either…. Morch, Torchtober, Mowvember, etc.

Low 80s and dews as low as 45F today felt real nice.

I’m jealous of the dog every day. Free loader gets to either hike, wander the mountains, swim in the river, or just sleep all day on a comfy couch. Never has to worry about paying bills or where the next meal is coming from… I want to come back as a dog in my next life.

I have no idea but it’s definitely the last here. I’ve been asking around, and am fairly certain it’s the last patch in Vermont. Killington’s Superstar has been gone for a couple weeks and Jay Peak had covered snow in hay to get it to the solstice for a rail jam, but they pushed it out and melted immediately.

Last patch of snow on the mountain survived until July 1st… but is just hours away from finally ending the winter season. Survived June despite a heatwave and 10” of rain this month. Dog got her July roll in the snow.

It’s 81/59 and partly to mostly sunny at BDL at like noon. If that’s “a mess”…. lol.

I do think that if I’m in a Midwest NOAA office, and I know that every time a strong storm happens in the northeast that it is amplified in the media. A couple EF-0s in the population corridor garner as much (if not more) attention nationally as an EF-4 in the cornfields. I could see where this media focus (due to population) may lead to “enhanced” scrutiny in the northeast. Over-warning is definitely a thing for our region.

I guess my question is when do they look at it like “damn, we said slight risk and that forecast was wrong because it should’ve been enhanced”? Isn't the forecast criteria just probabilities anyway? While verification is always going to be very black and white. Severe either happened or it didn’t. I feel like the forecast vs verification is almost like looking at it two different ways. Forecasting is probabilities (30% chance of severe wind within X miles) while verification is binary (either happened or didn’t). I’m curious how they grade the different risks (probabilities).

Take all enhanced risk with caution for sure in the NE. Big events don’t grow on trees and we’ve seen two enhanced in like a week. Classic cover your ass over warn?

It’s like as soon as the Winter Storm Warning goes up, the next model suite is a scraper or the NAM drives sleet to CAR. One or the other.

Oh he felt a tic or brain zap from that post. He just wasn't sure what it was.

Climate shifting, installs where they weren’t before. I feel like 15 years ago no one had AC up here. Now everyone has it.

The overnight change was stark here. Yesterday cold rain, today dews of 70F.

You’ve still had frequent soakings, which is a positive this time of year (golf courses love a regular watering from Mother Nature)… but interesting it’s been such a sharp gradient on some heavy rain events. We’ve been unlucky being in the convective firehose for a couple weeks now. I haven’t been able to hike and wander the mountains with the dog in the evenings due to weather (during the longest days of the year) like I usually can. Another heavy rainer from Waterbury to Stowe in the valley. Totally random axis/luck.

I don’t know names of spiders but that looks like a normal spider you might come across in a New England home. Kill it or relocate it outside. It’s not going to kill you, ha.

It just keeps fukking pouring rain. Just passed 1.30” on the day, Lower Village is over 1.50”. Over 9” for the month at numerous Stowe sites, here’s the one on the Country Club across the river from me. With tomorrow left to go, maybe we can break 10” of rainfall in June for an average of 1” every 3 days? What a month. Temps ranging from 36F to 93F and keep adding to that rain total. So saturated, there’s water everywhere, pooling in yards, pouring out of creeks, river is muddy and swuft.

0.74” so far today.

Absolute dumpster fire day. Temps holding around 60F, some local sites dipping into the 50s with steady synoptic rainfall. Cold season type system with steady warm frontal precip. Would be a nice SWFE lol.

That 12z HRRR lights up the heart of SNE tomorrow with a couple heavy rounds. At least some heavy gully washers starting at like 18z.

This has to be like the 3rd or 4th weekend in a row of rain both days.

10F cooler 25 minutes away on the interstate between BTV (exit 14) and exit 10 nearing midnight.

Feels like fall at 3,000+ feet after 6pm now. Airmass of yore?

Unrelenting humidity started last week though for the summer.

41F. Crisp. SLK at 32/30 .

I bet it’s gotten hotter than we think. I honestly don’t know their max temps but the northern shelf can bake at low dews sometimes. Even at 1500ft+. Usually earlier in the warm season.