powderfreak

I’m not worried about 2015-16 because that was something so absurd and record breaking that I think even that pattern repeated again would be snowier. Maybe that’s a poor assumption on my part but at least on Mount Mansfield where most of my knowledge is rooted in, I take some comfort in that even a standard deviation on the bad side of normal is still a lot snowier than 15-16. I do think there’s definitely concern about a strong El Niño though. But there’s a fine line in there where our normals are cold enough to snow decently even with a +4 or +5 winter month (could also be heavy snows at elevation, lackluster in valleys)… but it’s once it gets to +7 or +8 that we often tip the scale to real bad at all elevations. We’ve also seen the El Ninos that have had below normal snow and snowpack down where people live but 2,000+ feet is buried in multiple marginal events.

You know it’s been humid when a 61F dew point feels refreshing… 8-10 lower than yesterday afternoon.

It’s a steam bath out there. 86/68 at MVL. Pretty HHH past couple days given the past few weeks of relative comfort.

No thanks.

Yeah hard pass on grizzlies . No thanks. I cannot imagine how much different life would be here if black bears were aggressive and predators. Everyone would have to be armed, ha.

Yeah that’s the only problems bear really get into… they’ll take out a whole coop or flock. I’m not sure I’ve heard of bear attacking chickens just free roaming… but that thing will get inside a coop and go nuts. First time ever my folks had a big bear in the woods behind the camp in Woodstock, CT.

Ha, they are everywhere and again, super shy but curious. Like large raccoons. No one ever gets mauled by a black bear. I’m sure you’ve seen the videos of like a bear coming up to a napping human, taps it or something and then freaks out and runs away once they wake up. Theres that famous video from somewhere in Mass that was made into a Ring doorcam ad.

Huh? Bears are the most shy animals out there. I hiked into one two days ago. Thing just stared at me and then seemed embarrassed I was looking at him and turned away… walked down the path a bit and looked back again, then fled. I would 100% run into a black bear out of most other things. Moose are the mean motherf*ckers who will stand off with you. Bear just want to eat their berries and grasses alone.

Rub some peanut butter on that, see if you can get a good reading of the environmental conditions inside its mouth. Bet that’d be pretty dewy.

He has that lawn looking like Augusta National… I’d assume there’s no shortage of moisture either from a hose or the sky lol.

79/52 It is amazing outside.

I dunno, tree didn’t look that healthy. Some bare branches mixed in where those colored leaves are.

Yeah nothing abnormal. We’ve seen a few up here.

Our standards seem to be getting high if 1.5” of rain is the barometer of worthy rain. A half inch will soak in nicely.

The only trees that fall are ones near power lines in CT.

Cold season with warm season daylight would be ideal, ha.

At this point I almost have to check myself that you aren’t running some AI prompt “Remove radar echoes on this image when they get near the chicken.”

I’m with ya today. Would’ve swallowed an uzi in January lol.

Does not look to be stopping anytime soon. 12z HRRR has it ripping through 00z/8pm tonight at least with another 2-3".

Some 7-8” amounts on CoCoRAHS just south of Albany in the Hudson Valley. That’s decent water for 24-hr period.

ALB with 4.95” so far.

Peels all the soil off Mt Tolland…

Another convective round to go in eastern areas. Healthy run.

What happens after that? No way there’s zero rain further east. Edit: Whoops, should’ve read the next few posts, ha. Folks have it covered.

The good news with that set up is you pump humid air out ahead of it with good pwats and it won’t take much to tally up some quick appreciable rainfall in New England as the front lifts NEward. Though I haven’t looked close enough to see if it’s occluded by that point.