powderfreak

+4 at SLK is still a very cold winter for 90% of New England lol. Like the minimum temp was 3F instead of -1F.

Bummer on the snow depth down to 0”.

Yeah, that’s fair for sure. It’s not ideal, ha. That CON one is even better than BTV, damn. 31” at almost +9. Looks like a lot of low diurnal swing days around freezing after an early month torch.

Depends on how we get to +4… we’ve had some luck recently with that because it never radiates all month and its like +5 because mins average 18F instead of 11F. We’ve had some whopper departures though recently that come out passable. BTV had measurable snowfall on 17 days in Jan 2023, 19.9” fell (average of 17.4”)… with a +8.3 departure . Every day was like 35/25 which is like +12.

Love it… “Today is one of those chamber of commerce type days…”

Rain? Full sun.

Somehow BTV is only +0.5 but MPV is +2.8. Lack of radiating hurting some sites, but BTV has no radiating anyway so doesn’t seem to matter there. Though the past week has tried to mute the positive departures.

Orographic precipitation in NNE has to be up there on the list, ha.

Inside the danger zone is the Armageddon zone, ha. That’s how the public reads that.

Can you meh yourself back into 1”+?

Isn’t that how summer precip has been for a century? It’ll usually average out to near an inch per week, but you sure as hell aren’t getting it that consistently.

Ha, my first thought when I saw the post about 100F was, Vortex is going to have something to say about that. Good perspective.

We hit 44F this morning… felt autumn-ish.

First day that felt a bit more like fall. 67F off a high of 70F… Partly sunny, dews 48-52F.

The description of “Welcome to Logan: Boston’s Urban Asshole” has a nice billboard ring to it.

Yeah I’m not saying it couldn’t be historically bad… I’m just not going to brace mentally for the all-time bad outcome. I’d think 20-25% below normal could be a reasonable expectation, but I’m not ready to assume 50%+ or something like 2015-16.

That would've been great for interior Vermont... the picture for east of the Spine would be amazing with a radar site at MPV. Given the high terrain in northern New England, there really is no best spot. Ideally you'd have one east of the Spine, plus in the Champlain Valley, and another in the St Lawrence Valley... no matter the site, there are going to be limitations because of the terrain. Even if you put the radar site on Mount Mansfield, the beam is starting 4,000+ feet above the ground... when that beam will sample areas around it, the height will likely be even higher. Either way you are sampling 6,000ft+ in a lot of areas.

You learn to look for the signals in the radar, ha. Years of comparing ground truth to the various layers of echoes. 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 degrees all tell a story, but it’s not as much fun as having a great low level scan. It’s part of the mystic though… not as easy to just glance and assume what’s going on at ground level.

Really? Mansfield has all sorts of radio and TV towers on it. There are wind farms on some ridgelines. I always thought they were just lazy and installed it at the airport and got what they got for radars coverage. The composite and 2.5 degree scans are decent as they clear the ridgelines. But yeah, over me the radar is hitting at 6,000ft up. Not ideal for tornados lol. The 2.5 degree scan though gets over the terrain enough to provide a picture.

Tornado Warning up here, huh. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Burlington VT 741 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2026 The National Weather Service in Burlington has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Lamoille County in northwestern Vermont... West central Orleans County in northeastern Vermont... Central Franklin County in northwestern Vermont... * Until 815 PM EDT. * At 741 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Fairfield, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Sheldon, Enosburg, Fairfield, Bakersfield, Fletcher, Waterville, Belvidere, and Cambridge around 745 PM EDT. Johnson, Montgomery, and Belvidere Center around 750 PM EDT. Lowell and Eden around 755 PM EDT. Hyde Park around 800 PM EDT.

Relaxing at a restaurant or bar along the water on a summer evening… there’s nothing better.

Pool of ass sweat?

I’m not worried about 2015-16 because that was something so absurd and record breaking that I think even that pattern repeated again would be snowier. Maybe that’s a poor assumption on my part but at least on Mount Mansfield where most of my knowledge is rooted in, I take some comfort in that even a standard deviation on the bad side of normal is still a lot snowier than 15-16. I do think there’s definitely concern about a strong El Niño though. But there’s a fine line in there where our normals are cold enough to snow decently even with a +4 or +5 winter month (could also be heavy snows at elevation, lackluster in valleys)… but it’s once it gets to +7 or +8 that we often tip the scale to real bad at all elevations. We’ve also seen the El Ninos that have had below normal snow and snowpack down where people live but 2,000+ feet is buried in multiple marginal events.

You know it’s been humid when a 61F dew point feels refreshing… 8-10 lower than yesterday afternoon.

It’s a steam bath out there. 86/68 at MVL. Pretty HHH past couple days given the past few weeks of relative comfort.