nj2va
-
Posts
13,585 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by nj2va
-
I don’t eat fast food much but if I do, its gotta be chik til a.
-
UKMET
-
I have SV and weathermodels. The only thing I’ve noticed is that the snow algorithms for ensembles are sometimes off.
-
No, its a SLP that tracks across the country...a weaker LP would actually be good for us in this setup I think. It would help keep it from cutting or heading to our north.
-
ICON's SLP is south of 12z so its a better run for north of DC especially along the M/D line.
-
Yep, I would bet on the weeklies maintaining the epic looks in February and showing them settle in at the end of Week 2.
-
That EPS panel is sick. The trough north of Hawaii would continue supporting split flow too...woof.
-
That panel actually lines up really well with the weeklies panel PSU just posted. Gives even more confidence that the WAR continues to progress into the NAO domain.
-
Is this 3 weeks?
-
I can't remember if it was you or PSU but whoever it was nailed the call that once we get the PAC to turn, we'd at least be in the game (aka shutout pattern is over). Once the blocking settles in, the KU potential increases tenfold.
-
The MoCo-HoCo deathband was nice while it lasted. Well, it'll return this weekend with thunder and lightning, perhaps.
-
Actually Bob got over 11".
-
This. Not even worth trying to reason with people.
-
Two different features I know, but the same can be said about the Pacific. 10 days ago, people here were ready to write off winter because it had shown its hand (PAC puke) and we shouldn't expect it to change on a dime. Welp, the pattern changed quite quickly in the Pacific and here we are. Weeklies have been honking a -NAO for the last several weeks to take hold in late January and now the ensembles are showing in the LR.
-
This is based on nothing more than gut/weenie feeling but this year's pattern change seems different than how things normally go (LR rushes things, we step down for weeks) and I think the D15 looks continue to move forward in time. Weeklies have been so consistent with that look taking hold late Jan so there's that too.
-
Seems that the weeklies/seasonal forecasts for end of January into February will be right based on what we're seeing show up now on the LR ensembles. WOOF.
-
ICON says PSU will make up somewhat for getting fringed yesterday on Thursday night.
-
I started a thread for Thursday night's potential event. I figured it'd be easier to discuss in a separate thread so the weekend threat could be here.
-
Breaking out the Thursday night/Friday morning potential event from the LR thread as the weekend event will be the focus of the LR thread.
-
Yep and I think a stronger Friday storm would translate into a better 50/50 low too.
-
11/15: 1.9" 1/12-13: 9.8" Total: 11.7"
-
Going with 9.8" total which fits with reports around me. I'm still in shock DCA recorded double digits. What an amazing storm!
-
Don’t even look.
-
Wow, pretty sweet run verbatim. And it’s less than 150 hours out.
-
GFS looks even better than 0z
