If both NAMs are stubbornly showing that earlier flip than Euro/others tomorrow, I’ll definitely start to take it more seriously. I also want to check tomorrow morning how NAM has done in the south with the storm.
Yeah it was a touch better for us. At this point, I don’t think we’re going to see huge changes but 25-50 miles or 1-2 extra hours before sleet can mean 2-4” more of snow.
Sorry, I forgot to respond last night…I don’t think it’s the greatest upslope setup with the departing storm track but certainly will have snow showers on Monday.
That was a fantastic run for us. We hold until 18z with about 0.9” QPF by then.
Here’s 18z at DCA.
To me, this does look like freezing rain at 00z Monday but someone much smarter could correct me.