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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. nj2va
    Let’s do this! Tommy will have a goal this period, calling it now
  2. nj2va
    I prefer to stay out of them b/c of the bitching and moaning about back-end, flip to mix, etc. Good call..
  3. nj2va
    Looking at soundings, DC flips around 16 or 17z Sunday on the GFS, which is pretty close to the Euro. GFS QPF is ~0.8” so a really nice thump.
  4. nj2va
    Should I tag you in my obs when I first flip to sleet?
  5. nj2va
    Caps have had a banger of a 2nd period. Just owning the ice right now.
  6. nj2va
    If both NAMs are stubbornly showing that earlier flip than Euro/others tomorrow, I’ll definitely start to take it more seriously. I also want to check tomorrow morning how NAM has done in the south with the storm.
  7. nj2va
    It’s been a long time since the whole area has been under a WSW
  8. nj2va
    Yeah it was a touch better for us. At this point, I don’t think we’re going to see huge changes but 25-50 miles or 1-2 extra hours before sleet can mean 2-4” more of snow.
  9. nj2va
    Let’s go Caps!
  10. nj2va
    I’m kinda excited for a sleet bomb after snow. We’re going to be a glacier. Down to 27 here. 1/-3 at Deep Creek!
  11. nj2va
    Looks like maybe 0.4/0.5” QPF before the flip?
  12. nj2va
    Starting at 6z/12z tomorrow, its hard to completely discount the NAMs, especially the 3K thermals.
  13. nj2va
    15z on the 12k NAM at 700
  14. nj2va
    Alexandria, I think it’ll be fun with the snow/sleet and freezing rain (to end). If McHenry was getting 2-3’, I would have chased.
  15. nj2va
    48H HRRR is better off being in the banter.
  16. nj2va
    I don’t know, I’m totally out on this storm until I know if Jenkins is back in.
  17. nj2va
    Temp dropping like a rock, down to 34/10. 5/0 at Deep Creek.
  18. nj2va
    Sorry, I forgot to respond last night…I don’t think it’s the greatest upslope setup with the departing storm track but certainly will have snow showers on Monday.
  19. nj2va
    Martini for happy hour - we got a snowstorm coming y’all!
  20. nj2va
    That was a fantastic run for us. We hold until 18z with about 0.9” QPF by then. Here’s 18z at DCA. To me, this does look like freezing rain at 00z Monday but someone much smarter could correct me.
  21. nj2va
    For sure, here’s our Deep Creek temp. Down to 8 degrees.
  22. nj2va
    We leave for vacation on the 31st…tragic
  23. nj2va
    NWS Pittsburgh just upgraded their watches to warnings. I’d expect LWX to be next.
  24. nj2va
    00z 18z
  25. nj2va
    The Potomac River is probably salt water at this point
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