ChescoWx

Indeed

ICON to my eyes looks well south of NAM/GFS correct? OFF NC

Looks like a beauty SJ Special on the NAM!!

I just love the old style feel of it!! Like the old days of model maps!!

ARW a big hit for what it's worth these days

I kind of disagree Steve....while boundary layer is slightly above freezing I suspect any sort of precip rates will keep most of what falls especially N and W of I95 as snow.

We have already picked up 0.57" of much needed rain here in EN since last evening. We could see another 0.10" to 0.25" more this morning before it tapers off this afternoon. We still have on average 2 inches of snow on the ground and today will be our 35th consecutive day with snow cover. This is now the 10th longest stretch and 13th longest overall. We warm tomorrow into the upper 40's which may get rid of the last of the snow cover. Our well-advertised potential 14th winter event of the season looks to arrive on Sunday morning. How much remains to be seen but chances of a plowable event have increased for much of Chester County.

We have already picked up 0.57" of much needed rain here in EN since last evening. We could see another 0.10" to 0.25" more this morning before it tapers off this afternoon. We still have on average 2 inches of snow on the ground and today will be our 35th consecutive day with snow cover. This is now the 10th longest stretch and 13th longest overall. We warm tomorrow into the upper 40's which may get rid of the last of the snow cover. Our well-advertised potential 14th winter event of the season looks to arrive on Sunday morning. How much remains to be seen but chances of a plowable event have increased for much of Chester County.

Some spots like here in EN are already over a full season average winter at 37.4"

It was but the differences at 500mb between the Euro and GFS are so small....

GFS holds serve Below only through 4am

12z NAM at the end of it's run looks like some measurable snow incoming

Nothing like selective web browsing that rejects cooler years like 2025!! LOL!

Your computer must not like data that shows actual cooling data....is that why your search failed?? attached is the link - let me know if your warming computer still rejects! https://chescowx.com/annual-summaries/2020s/

So across the Canadian / GFS and Euro let's go with a plowable snow event between 7" to 24" for Chester County....

Hey @TheClimateChanger saw your post on the other thread....suspect you likely didn't want to "find" the updated 2025 Chester County climate summary. It is on the website but let me share with you both the climate summary and the chart you were seeking. Some interesting chilly climate stats that helped highlight our coldest year in 11 years - enjoy!

Not a forecast!

16" to 24" across Chester County with that one - I am taking the under on that one.

Get better soon! take care!! Paul

I do suspect the so called atmospheric memory of this winter will be how this ends up. Close but just a little outside! That said the IVT plus a graze could result in measurable snow for many on this forum.

Like others on here with travel issues - I have my first client trip of 2026 to Phoenix early on Monday afternoon - meaning it will snow!