ChescoWx

Breezy and cold today with temperatures remaining below freezing this morning and then slowly falling through the 20's this afternoon. We will stay below freezing for much of the next week with the one exception being Saturday where we should moderate into the mid to upper 30's. There will also be a couple chances of some light snow both Saturday and Sunday. Our coldest weather of the season will arrive next week with high temperatures by Tuesday, remaining in the teens with nighttime lows in the single digits above zero.

There has been a lot of complaints on my FB page that we have had a "snow drought" this season. So I posted the below. "Through today some of you may be surprised to learn that here in the philly burbs of Chester County PA we are actually above normal in seasonal snowfall through today. With one significant snow and a bunch of little events we are at 12.8" of snow this season. Average through today is only 9.4". This means over 75% of our annual snowfall on average remains to fall. Here in Western Chester County, we average 36.1" of snow while Eastern Chester County is ~32" of snow. Maybe surprising to some of you but over at the PHL Airport they only average 21.7" of snow. Of note we on average are not too far off of the average snowfall for Chicago IL (38.4"). Any surprises with these stats? Below is our average snowfall by month. October (0.4") / November (1.2") / December (5.5") / January (9.7") / February (12.8") / March (6.0") / April (0.4")"

There has been a lot of complaints on my FB page that we have had a "snow drought" this season. So I posted the below. "Through today some of you may be surprised to learn that here in the philly burbs of Chester County PA we are actually above normal in seasonal snowfall through today. With one significant snow and a bunch of little events we are at 12.8" of snow this season. Average through today is only 9.4". This means over 75% of our annual snowfall on average remains to fall. Here in Western Chester County, we average 36.1" of snow while Eastern Chester County is ~32" of snow. Maybe surprising to some of you but over at the PHL Airport they only average 21.7" of snow. Of note we on average are not too far off of the average snowfall for Chicago IL (38.4"). Any surprises with these stats? Below is our average snowfall by month. October (0.4") / November (1.2") / December (5.5") / January (9.7") / February (12.8") / March (6.0") / April (0.4")"

Of note today back in 1912 Chester County recorded its lowest temperature on record of 19 degrees below zero at Coatesville 1SW. This was equaled at Phoenixville 1E (1/22/61) and Octoraro Lake (1/22/84.) Nothing close to that today here in Chesco...however our coldest weather of the season will arrive next week. This is also on average our coldest week of the year. We could see some light rain both today and especially later tonight this may change to a bit of light snow toward tomorrow morning which could make for some slippery spots for rush hour. Temperatures tomorrow will fall through the 20's during the day. We stay below freezing on Friday but moderate a bit with a bit of snow possible on Saturday with the arrival of the arctic front. Next week will feature well below normal temperatures.

Of note today back in 1912 Chester County recorded its lowest temperature on record of 19 degrees below zero at Coatesville 1SW. This was equaled at Phoenixville 1E (1/22/61) and Octoraro Lake (1/22/84.) Nothing close to that today here in Chesco...however our coldest weather of the season will arrive next week. This is also on average our coldest week of the year. We could see some light rain both today and especially later tonight this may change to a bit of light snow toward tomorrow morning which could make for some slippery spots for rush hour. Temperatures tomorrow will fall through the 20's during the day. We stay below freezing on Friday but moderate a bit with a bit of snow possible on Saturday with the arrival of the arctic front. Next week will feature well below normal temperatures.

Temperatures today and tomorrow will be a couple degrees above normal for mid-January with highs in the mid to upper 40's. Clouds increase later today and tomorrow with a chance of rain tomorrow evening changing to snow around midnight before ending toward Thursday morning. Any accumulations look light, but we will need to keep an eye out for some potential Thursday morning rush hour impacts. Highs on both Thursday and Friday will remain in the 20's. Below normal temperatures appear likely for much of the next week with lows next week in the single digits possible for some areas.

Temperatures today and tomorrow will be a couple degrees above normal for mid-January with highs in the mid to upper 40's. Clouds increase later today and tomorrow with a chance of rain tomorrow evening changing to snow around midnight before ending toward Thursday morning. Any accumulations look light, but we will need to keep an eye out for some potential Thursday morning rush hour impacts. Highs on both Thursday and Friday will remain in the 20's. Below normal temperatures appear likely for much of the next week with lows next week in the single digits possible for some areas.

But funny they are of course still ranked as an elite team in MLB. Number 4 in MLB and 5 for ESPN. In baseball the best team rarely wins (see Phillies in 1977 / 2010-2011) you simply need to be on the playing field (in the playoffs) and get a bit lucky see 1980/2008 and 2022. The Phillies are a top tier team and have a strong chance to make the playoffs for a team record tying 5th straight season. Do I think they will win the World Series?? I never do but do I think they have a chance to be on the playing field? Yes and as a fan who has for the vast majority of my phandom found the team not even in the playoffs with zero chance....I love these years!! Go Phillies and oh yeah adding Bo Bichette would make them even better!! Land the plane Dave!!

A sunny couple of days with seasonably chilly temperatures to start the week with an increasing chance of some combination of rain and then snow by the middle to late week. Temperatures trending to below normal by next weekend.

A sunny couple of days with seasonably chilly temperatures to start the week with an increasing chance of some combination of rain and then snow by the middle to late week. Temperatures trending to below normal by next weekend.

How many days till pitchers and catchers? Go Phillies!

The GFS with it's 1 - 2 punch for our next model snow event. Model snow we will never have to shovel

We have only recorded 11 snowstorms over 6" here in the last 10 years in Chester County. On average based on history we should have seen 15 such storms in a 10 year period. Below are the 11 snowstorms recorded here in Chester County over the last 10 years with greater than 6" of accumulation at a Chester County Station. 1/23/16 - 27.4" / 2/3/21 - 16.6" / 3/22/18 - 13.5" / 3/7/18 - 11.5" / 2/13/24 - 10.5" / 12/17/20 - 9.3" / 12/14/25 - 8.8" / 3/14/17 - 8.0" / 2/18/21 - 7.5" / 11/16/18 - 7.3"

We have only recorded 11 snowstorms over 6" here in the last 10 years in Chester County. On average based on history we should have seen 15 such storms in a 10 year period. Below are the 11 snowstorms recorded here in Chester County over the last 10 years with greater than 6" of accumulation at a Chester County Station. 1/23/16 - 27.4" / 2/3/21 - 16.6" / 3/22/18 - 13.5" / 3/7/18 - 11.5" / 2/13/24 - 10.5" / 12/17/20 - 9.3" / 12/14/25 - 8.8" / 3/14/17 - 8.0" / 2/18/21 - 7.5" / 11/16/18 - 7.3"

Here in EN we have received 0.77" of rain since Friday. We turn back to near normal temperatures for January with highs both today and tomorrow near 40 degrees. We turn a bit milder for both Tuesday and Wednesday before we turn colder on Thursday with increasing chances of our 9th winter event towards the end of this work week. I would also keep an eye on some possible snow showers or a heavier snow squall this afternoon not too long before Eagles kick off - go birds!

Here in EN we have received 0.77" of rain since Friday. We turn back to near normal temperatures for January with highs both today and tomorrow near 40 degrees. We turn a bit milder for both Tuesday and Wednesday before we turn colder on Thursday with increasing chances of our 9th winter event towards the end of this work week. I would also keep an eye on some possible snow showers or a heavier snow squall this afternoon not too long before Eagles kick off - go birds!

Not a huge believer in even the ensembles at 5 days....I will be more interested in this thread the needle potential if they start to show something at 12z tomorrow.

18z GFS with a Chesco Special..... book it dano!

A needed wet day ahead with rainfall amounts approaching an inch in some lucky areas. It will be chilly with temperatures in the upper 30's to lower 40's. The sun returns tomorrow but don't be surprised if you see a couple snow showers around before the Eagles game at 430pm. Temperatures will be seasonably chilly this week with the exception of Wednesday which looks to be well into the 40's to near 50 for highs before we turn much colder to end the week. There will be increasing chances of some wintry events at some point late this week and early next week.

A needed wet day ahead with rainfall amounts approaching an inch in some lucky areas. It will be chilly with temperatures in the upper 30's to lower 40's. The sun returns tomorrow but don't be surprised if you see a couple snow showers around before the Eagles game at 430pm. Temperatures will be seasonably chilly this week with the exception of Wednesday which looks to be well into the 40's to near 50 for highs before we turn much colder to end the week. There will be increasing chances of some wintry events at some point late this week and early next week.

The 6z GFS before it dissapears at 12z

Plenty of storms and rumours of storms coming up....give me the cold and one of these waves will sharpen just enough for a winter "event" or 2....

Mild temperatures continue today with rain chances increasing this afternoon. A brief break in the rain tonight before we turn chillier with more rain tomorrow into Saturday night. Temperatures turn colder after Sunday with temperatures not too far from normal for mid-January before trending much colder by the end of next week into the weekend. We could see between 0.75” to 1” of rain tomorrow night. Winter weather opportunities start to ramp up by later next week.

Mild temperatures continue today with rain chances increasing this afternoon. A brief break in the rain tonight before we turn chillier with more rain tomorrow into Saturday night. Temperatures turn colder after Sunday with temperatures not too far from normal for mid-January before trending much colder by the end of next week into the weekend. We could see between 0.75” to 1” of rain tomorrow night. Winter weather opportunities start to ramp up by later next week.

valley spots around me were in the 20's but mid 30's here