ChescoWx

NAM through 3pm has the ULL snow mainly N and W of 95....coastal taking over wonder if this run will tighten the gradient from NW to SE?

Still feel like I am on the edge of the truly heavy snows....

Exactly!! LOL!!!!

I know there are dissenting views on the below NBM model....

I think they should be conservative...unless you are along the coast and NE bound there is certainly a way you stay well below double digit snow totals IMHO!

Bobby M and his team are one of the best independent professional firms out there!

European further east as surface with significant snows....I really still like a classic SJ Special and up through eastern LI and New England.

12z Euro AI with a push west vs 6z

It is why I leave all forecast calls on my page to the professionals! My bad calls would haunt me!!

Hey Kevin don't get fooled with that 50 degree stuff....I have seen fast accumulating snow after a high of 62 degrees...that said I am not buying in till I see a little Euro agreement....

The GFS basically stalled and dropped 5mb between 4 and 7pm

Indeed

ICON to my eyes looks well south of NAM/GFS correct? OFF NC

Looks like a beauty SJ Special on the NAM!!

I just love the old style feel of it!! Like the old days of model maps!!

ARW a big hit for what it's worth these days

I kind of disagree Steve....while boundary layer is slightly above freezing I suspect any sort of precip rates will keep most of what falls especially N and W of I95 as snow.

We have already picked up 0.57" of much needed rain here in EN since last evening. We could see another 0.10" to 0.25" more this morning before it tapers off this afternoon. We still have on average 2 inches of snow on the ground and today will be our 35th consecutive day with snow cover. This is now the 10th longest stretch and 13th longest overall. We warm tomorrow into the upper 40's which may get rid of the last of the snow cover. Our well-advertised potential 14th winter event of the season looks to arrive on Sunday morning. How much remains to be seen but chances of a plowable event have increased for much of Chester County.

We have already picked up 0.57" of much needed rain here in EN since last evening. We could see another 0.10" to 0.25" more this morning before it tapers off this afternoon. We still have on average 2 inches of snow on the ground and today will be our 35th consecutive day with snow cover. This is now the 10th longest stretch and 13th longest overall. We warm tomorrow into the upper 40's which may get rid of the last of the snow cover. Our well-advertised potential 14th winter event of the season looks to arrive on Sunday morning. How much remains to be seen but chances of a plowable event have increased for much of Chester County.

Some spots like here in EN are already over a full season average winter at 37.4"

It was but the differences at 500mb between the Euro and GFS are so small....