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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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Hey @TheClimateChanger saw your post on the other thread....suspect you likely didn't want to "find" the updated 2025 Chester County climate summary. It is on the website but let me share with you both the climate summary and the chart you were seeking. Some interesting chilly climate stats that helped highlight our coldest year in 11 years - enjoy!
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Not a forecast!
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16" to 24" across Chester County with that one - I am taking the under on that one.
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Get better soon! take care!! Paul
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I do suspect the so called atmospheric memory of this winter will be how this ends up. Close but just a little outside! That said the IVT plus a graze could result in measurable snow for many on this forum.
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Like others on here with travel issues - I have my first client trip of 2026 to Phoenix early on Monday afternoon - meaning it will snow!
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
It is funny as I run my own consulting firm and I have a few clients that are actually members of my FB page and they often wonder how the heck I balance my hobby with my professional stuff!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
of course! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
If I did that people would say I do it for clicks! No interest in that and don't need the $ from a hobby! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Our snow cover is finally melting with just a few inches left here in NW Chester County. Today will be our 34th straight day with at least an inch of snow on the ground. This now ties this streak for the 10th longest on record and 13th overall with records back to 1894. Our rain chances to ramp up this evening and especially tomorrow. We could certainly use the rain as many spots are around half of normal precipitation so far this year and have run at a significant deficit for much of the last 7 months. Temperatures may struggle to escape the 30’s today for the higher elevation spots. We turn milder and drier on Saturday with highs a few degrees above normal. We turn colder Sunday with a chance of snow arriving and if we get some it may continue into Monday morning. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Our snow cover is finally melting with just a few inches left here in NW Chester County. Today will be our 34th straight day with at least an inch of snow on the ground. This now ties this streak for the 10th longest on record and 13th overall with records back to 1894. Our rain chances to ramp up this evening and especially tomorrow. We could certainly use the rain as many spots are around half of normal precipitation so far this year and have run at a significant deficit for much of the last 7 months. Temperatures may struggle to escape the 30’s today for the higher elevation spots. We turn milder and drier on Saturday with highs a few degrees above normal. We turn colder Sunday with a chance of snow arriving and if we get some it may continue into Monday morning. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I don't support any page that monetizes FB for clicks!! Just turn the page and go to a site that does not post for clicks!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
LOL!! All the spots I post to including FB, Twitter, multiple forums like this one and several on Discord....lots o copy and pasting every morning!! Some of my clients wonder how I keep up with my full time job! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Fog should slowly diminish later this morning. We should see some light rain across especially for spots north of the PA Turnpike this afternoon. Rain amounts look light with most spots less than 0.15". Today’s temperatures will be in the low 40's just about average for the date. Rain chances to ramp up again tomorrow night and especially Friday with more significant rain expected. Snow chances look to increase by Sunday but way too early to nail down specifics. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Fog should slowly diminish later this morning. We should see some light rain across especially for spots north of the PA Turnpike this afternoon. Rain amounts look light with most spots less than 0.15". Today’s temperatures will be in the low 40's just about average for the date. Rain chances to ramp up again tomorrow night and especially Friday with more significant rain expected. Snow chances look to increase by Sunday but way too early to nail down specifics. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Both the Euro and GFS and Euro AI ensembles all had snow totals tick up a bit from 6z vs 0z. With some adds on the southern flank. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
What always gets me is folks staring at an 18z vs a 12z model with 5 days to go and they get fired up that the 18z GFS has 31 inches of snow at ACY and only 3" at ABE....this is all model noise and meaningless! There will be a storm and there are many runs to go that will have it suppressed and those that have it going inland. Relax folks! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Surprised to hear you being less enthused over a model run.... -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Agreed 16.6" over 4 days! a truly unique storm!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
At least DT is always calm and measured in his thoughts...great spelling to boot!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
From this vantage point IMHO this is where you want the GEFS to be.... -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
LOL! there can be no rug pull 5 days before an event. It will be lost and gained a couple times this week on the GFS - Canadian and the European.....relax MIckey! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
12z AI GFS
