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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Below is the November Climate Summary for Chester County PA. With our average temperature of 43.8 degrees, we were just a little below Average 44.0. As you would suspect this was the 67th chilliest November out of 133 years. Our coldest November on record was the 37.5-degree average back in 1977. The warmest November on record was way back in 1931 at 50.8 degrees. We averaged across the area 2.06" of rain which is about 1.30" below normal. Our wettest November was in 2018 when we averaged 8.22" of rain. Snowfall was 0.5" with is 0.5" below normal for the month. Our snowiest on average November was back in 1938 when we averaged 10" of snow. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Our well below normal temperature pattern for December looks to continue for much of the next couple of weeks. Tomorrow night and Friday look to be our coldest temperatures so far this young winter season. By Friday morning, the lows will be in the low to mid-teens with highs on Friday remaining below freezing. We will also see multiple chances of some light snow over the next couple of weeks. Our first chance of some measurable snow looks to arrive Friday afternoon into the evening. None of these look significant but if they were to occur they would certainly add to the holiday spirit. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Our well below normal temperature pattern for December looks to continue for much of the next couple of weeks. Tomorrow night and Friday look to be our coldest temperatures so far this young winter season. By Friday morning, the lows will be in the low to mid-teens with highs on Friday remaining below freezing. We will also see multiple chances of some light snow over the next couple of weeks. Our first chance of some measurable snow looks to arrive Friday afternoon into the evening. None of these look significant but if they were to occur they would certainly add to the holiday spirit. -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
0.78" of liquid melted today in EN -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
The temperature here finally went above freezing at 1235pm. Of note we still have ice up in the trees but the current temp is 34.6. Need to melt the ice on top of the coco bucket to get final rain amount. Lots of puddles around could see some slippery spots tonight. -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Still moderate ZR temp 31.9 here in East Nantmeal -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
We are now mainly ZR with a few ice pellets mixed in. Ended with 0.3" of snow/IP accumulation. Temp at 30.8 degrees -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This morning's wintry mix our 2nd winter event of the season should slowly change to plain rain as we rise above freezing in most spots by later this morning. Some higher ridge spots may take into the early PM to get above freezing. Be careful if out driving this morning. Either way the rain will end later today, and we will stay much colder than normal for the rest of the week. Our warmest day looks to be tomorrow with temperatures near 10 degrees below normal for early December. We turn even colder by Friday with highs remaining below freezing for much of the area. There is a slight chance of some light snow on Friday night. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
This morning's wintry mix our 2nd winter event of the season should slowly change to plain rain as we rise above freezing in most spots by later this morning. Some higher ridge spots may take into the early PM to get above freezing. Be careful if out driving this morning. Either way the rain will end later today, and we will stay much colder than normal for the rest of the week. Our warmest day looks to be tomorrow with temperatures near 10 degrees below normal for early December. We turn even colder by Friday with highs remaining below freezing for much of the area. There is a slight chance of some light snow on Friday night. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Sleet mixed with a few mangled snow flakes here in East Nantmeal in NW Chesco temp 30.8 DP 22.9. With our 2nd winter event of the 2025/26 season. Surfaces have a small snow/sleet cover. -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Sleet mixed with a few mangled snow flakes here in East Nantmeal in NW Chesco temp 30.8 DP 22.9. With our 2nd winter event of 2025/26. Surfaces have a small snow/sleet cover. -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
As it shall this time as well!! -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
For those on Team Snow - I present the latest European AI model ensemble means run....the best weenie run I can find - so you mean there is a chance?? -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
28.2 degrees DP 17.0 -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
The HRRR tries to sneak the 2" line into NW Chesco and close to ABE....for snow weenies we present the snowiest latest models... -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
I suspect even that 1" up at ABE may be a bit overdone if the latest models are onto something...850's a bit toasty -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
November finished as our 3rd below average temperature month over the last 4 months. December looks to also be getting off to a well below normal temperature start. Sunny today but with temperatures almost 10 degrees below normal for highs. Clouds roll in tonight with some snow arriving toward dawn. The Winter Weather Advisory starts at 4am for Western Chester County. Any snow to start should quickly change to sleet and then rain with little if any accumulation. That said with the timing near rush area it may be a bit slippery for the morning commute. High temperatures Tuesday through Thursday will be in the mid 30's well below average but fall even further below average by Friday as the coldest air of the season arrives. Temperatures on Friday will stay in the 20's. Another wintry event is possible by Friday night into Saturday. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
November finished as our 3rd below average temperature month over the last 4 months. December looks to also be getting off to a well below normal temperature start. Sunny today but with temperatures almost 10 degrees below normal for highs. Clouds roll in tonight with some snow arriving toward dawn. The Winter Weather Advisory starts at 4am for Western Chester County. Any snow to start should quickly change to sleet and then rain with little if any accumulation. That said with the timing near rush area it may be a bit slippery for the morning commute. High temperatures Tuesday through Thursday will be in the mid 30's well below average but fall even further below average by Friday as the coldest air of the season arrives. Temperatures on Friday will stay in the 20's. Another wintry event is possible by Friday night into Saturday. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Of course official NWS measurements are never made on concrete or driveways. A good mailbox or wood deck can work quite well for snow measuring if you don't have a trusty snowboard like some of us weather weenies employ!! LOL!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Nice map IMHO!! As you mention I suspect an adjustment will be needed tomorrow...a nice 50 mile NW in snow accumulations may well hit the mark! Thanks!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
All that said the ensemble run held serve or even increased amounts a bit.....so you say there is a chance?? -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
All of the models have started to reduce snow totals by at least an inch from the last run.... -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Following our 0.5” of snow this morning - some light rain will continue into early this afternoon. We clear up tonight and remain chilly with well below normal temperatures for the entire upcoming work week. Our next winter event looks to arrive as snow toward Tuesday morning before a slow transition from snow to rain from southeast to northwest across the area. Some models are showing a plowable event for NW Chesco and into Berks and Lehigh counties. But as we all know we do not shovel model snow. The current NWS early forecast has 2 to 4" possible for NW Chesco to about 1 inch down toward Chadds Ford in SE Chesco. Snow should turn to rain by late morning. We could see more snow arriving on Friday night, so an early season arrival of winter type weather is on the way. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Following our 0.5” of snow this morning - some light rain will continue into early this afternoon. We clear up tonight and remain chilly with well below normal temperatures for the entire upcoming work week. Our next winter event looks to arrive as snow toward Tuesday morning before a slow transition from snow to rain from southeast to northwest across the area. Some models are showing a plowable event for NW Chesco and into Berks and Lehigh counties. But as we all know we do not shovel model snow. The current NWS early forecast has 2 to 4" possible for NW Chesco to about 1 inch down toward Chadds Ford in SE Chesco. Snow should turn to rain by late morning. We could see more snow arriving on Friday night, so an early season arrival of winter type weather is on the way. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Sorry to hear of your loss. I too have a funeral on Tuesday.
