ChescoWx

Chillier than normal for late March both today and tomorrow with highs today in the upper 40's. A below freezing night on tap tonight for most of the area. We start a nice warming trend on Friday through Monday before we turn colder than normal again by Tuesday. A slight chance of rain late Friday night with better chances by Sunday night into Monday.

Chillier than normal for late March both today and tomorrow with highs today in the upper 40's. A below freezing night on tap tonight for most of the area. We start a nice warming trend on Friday through Monday before we turn colder than normal again by Tuesday. A slight chance of rain late Friday night with better chances by Sunday night into Monday.

For @chubbsso he can more clearly see the adjustment made to each available Chester County PA station from 1927 thru 1947. As is clearly shown NCEI adjusted every station to colder than any station of record in the county for each of those years with the exception of 1940!! Charlie let us know if you can now see the adjustments made by NCEI clearly and that yes it does chill the raw temperatures every single year. It is clear as can be!! The NCEI average annual Chesco temp for all those years was in fact adjusted below what any station reported in their raw observations.

It seems you are ignoring the line on the original chart I posted that shows the "station adjusted vs coldest" That clearly shows that every single station was in fact chilled below any raw readings for each and every year from 1927 thu 1947 except for 1940. The degree of altered data from raw vs the NCEI adjustment is clearly shown there. Can't make it any clearer than that! Let's take this to the Chester County focused thread and I will circle it for you there and maybe then you see the adjustments.

You never answer the facts and data (try to focus only on the years in question) You also continue to mix up your answers! Your premise and response for Q4 is wrong - Coatesville is factually not warmer than Chester County....it should be cooler of course compared to all of those other stations you mention above. BUT if you are right and they are as you say in Q4 unsurprisingly warmer.... than why again did NCEI take those cooler Coatesville temps and no not warm them up as you would it seem believe - but instead chose to chill them below any actual real factual thermometer readings for all those years?

No evasion at all. For this discussion let's assume Coatesville did get colder with the move. If it did then why would NCEI turn around and adjust every available reporting station that was warmer downward to not just at the level of the coldest station but below it?? Can you answer?

Why are you focusing on just 1 station in Chester County? You are evading the analysis if Coatesville was indeed too cold why turn around and adjust all other stations that were indeed warmer to colder levels than even at Coatesville? Can you explain this??

While we didn’t get as much rain as our neighbors to the east yesterday we continue to put a dent in our drought concerns. The European and GFS models paint another 2" to 3" of rain over the next couple of weeks. Today we should see some sun with temperatures well into the 50's or a few degrees above normal. Wednesday and Thursday look to be a couple of degrees chillier than normal before a nice warm up over the weekend. With the warmup we will see our rain chances increase.

While we didn’t get as much rain as our neighbors to the east yesterday we continue to put a dent in our drought concerns. The European and GFS models paint another 2" to 3" of rain over the next couple of weeks. Today we should see some sun with temperatures well into the 50's or a few degrees above normal. Wednesday and Thursday look to be a couple of degrees chillier than normal before a nice warm up over the weekend. With the warmup we will see our rain chances increase.

You say the post war cooling at Coatesville is spurious and to include this spurious cooling in climate analysis is the opposite of realism?? If that is true then riddle me why would NCEI have amplified or made the cooling worse by chilling all available stations lower than that very "spurious" Coatesville cold station you mention for all years but one from 1927-1951?? The below line reading ADJ VS COLDEST highlights when NCEI chose to adjust the county to a lower reading than reported by any station including Coatesville's "spurious cooling"

Climate Realists understand that adjusting historical temperature data is not "science" because the adjustments cannot be verified, this would require traveling back in time!

Rain so far overnight of 0.13” here in East Nantmeal. Some additional showers will continue this morning before sun returns this afternoon. Temperatures during the next couple of days will be a few degrees above normal for late March. A slight chance of rain Tuesday night into Wednesday morning before we turn chillier on Thursday with high temperatures near 50 degrees. Mainly dry next weekend with temperatures at least a few days above normal (upper 50’s)

Rain so far overnight of 0.13” here in East Nantmeal. Some additional showers will continue this morning before sun returns this afternoon. Temperatures during the next couple of days will be a few degrees above normal for late March. A slight chance of rain Tuesday night into Wednesday morning before we turn chillier on Thursday with high temperatures near 50 degrees. Mainly dry next weekend with temperatures at least a few days above normal (upper 50’s)

Here in East Nantmeal we have recorded snow in 14 of the last 21 months of March. We did receive 0.3" last year. As at PHL this will be the 4th year this decade with no measurable snow. The only back to back years since 2004 was 2020-2021.

Some scattered light showers today followed by a solid freeze tonight and below normal temperatures tomorrow with highs only in the 40's. There is the chance of some snow showers on Sunday night changing to rain showers on Monday. It is warmer to start the week with highs near 60 degrees but then fall to close to a little below normal for much of the upcoming work week. Normal highs this coming week are in the mid 50's.

Some scattered light showers today followed by a solid freeze tonight and below normal temperatures tomorrow with highs only in the 40's. There is the chance of some snow showers on Sunday night changing to rain showers on Monday. It is warmer to start the week with highs near 60 degrees but then fall to close to a little below normal for much of the upcoming work week. Normal highs this coming week are in the mid 50's.

Most of the area received between 0.60” to 0.80” of rain with Nottingham recording 0.80”. Here in East Nantmeal we received 0.66” of rain we are now near normal for March and up to 70% of normal rainfall for the year through yesterday. We are starting to make some nice progress to ease our local drought conditions. Chillier today a bit warmer tomorrow before we turn chillier on Sunday. Next solid rain chances look to arrive toward Monday.

Most of the area received between 0.60” to 0.80” of rain with Nottingham recording 0.80”. Here in East Nantmeal we received 0.66” of rain we are now near normal for March and up to 70% of normal rainfall for the year through yesterday. We are starting to make some nice progress to ease our local drought conditions. Chillier today a bit warmer tomorrow before we turn chillier on Sunday. Next solid rain chances look to arrive toward Monday.

Today, back in 1958 Chester and Berks Counties were in the middle of the 2nd largest snowstorm in history. Morgantown received 50 inches of snow and Devault 49 inches of heavy wet snow. Nothing like that in the forecast…. but a reminder it can still snow into April. The next couple of days will likely be our mildest over the next couple of weeks with high temperatures well into the 60’s. Average high temperatures today are near 50 degrees. Rain chances increase by tomorrow afternoon with some spots seeing up to 0.75” of much needed rain.

Today, back in 1958 Chester and Berks Counties were in the middle of the 2nd largest snowstorm in history. Morgantown received 50 inches of snow and Devault 49 inches of heavy wet snow. Nothing like that in the forecast…. but a reminder it can still snow into April. The next couple of days will likely be our mildest over the next couple of weeks with high temperatures well into the 60’s. Average high temperatures today are near 50 degrees. Rain chances increase by tomorrow afternoon with some spots seeing up to 0.75” of much needed rain.

Almost all spots fell below freezing this morning with 30.3 in East Nantmeal, A couple of beautiful late winter days on tap both today and tomorrow. Rain chances increase by Thursday PM. We should see temps staying above normal through the period.

Almost all spots fell below freezing this morning with 30.3 in East Nantmeal, A couple of beautiful late winter days on tap both today and tomorrow. Rain chances increase by Thursday PM. We should see temps staying above normal through the period.