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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
We are now mainly ZR with a few ice pellets mixed in. Ended with 0.3" of snow/IP accumulation. Temp at 30.8 degrees -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This morning's wintry mix our 2nd winter event of the season should slowly change to plain rain as we rise above freezing in most spots by later this morning. Some higher ridge spots may take into the early PM to get above freezing. Be careful if out driving this morning. Either way the rain will end later today, and we will stay much colder than normal for the rest of the week. Our warmest day looks to be tomorrow with temperatures near 10 degrees below normal for early December. We turn even colder by Friday with highs remaining below freezing for much of the area. There is a slight chance of some light snow on Friday night. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
This morning's wintry mix our 2nd winter event of the season should slowly change to plain rain as we rise above freezing in most spots by later this morning. Some higher ridge spots may take into the early PM to get above freezing. Be careful if out driving this morning. Either way the rain will end later today, and we will stay much colder than normal for the rest of the week. Our warmest day looks to be tomorrow with temperatures near 10 degrees below normal for early December. We turn even colder by Friday with highs remaining below freezing for much of the area. There is a slight chance of some light snow on Friday night. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Sleet mixed with a few mangled snow flakes here in East Nantmeal in NW Chesco temp 30.8 DP 22.9. With our 2nd winter event of the 2025/26 season. Surfaces have a small snow/sleet cover. -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Sleet mixed with a few mangled snow flakes here in East Nantmeal in NW Chesco temp 30.8 DP 22.9. With our 2nd winter event of 2025/26. Surfaces have a small snow/sleet cover. -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
As it shall this time as well!! -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
For those on Team Snow - I present the latest European AI model ensemble means run....the best weenie run I can find - so you mean there is a chance?? -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
28.2 degrees DP 17.0 -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
The HRRR tries to sneak the 2" line into NW Chesco and close to ABE....for snow weenies we present the snowiest latest models... -
12/3 Snow/Sleet/Mix Bag of Everything Discussion/OBS
ChescoWx replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
I suspect even that 1" up at ABE may be a bit overdone if the latest models are onto something...850's a bit toasty -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
November finished as our 3rd below average temperature month over the last 4 months. December looks to also be getting off to a well below normal temperature start. Sunny today but with temperatures almost 10 degrees below normal for highs. Clouds roll in tonight with some snow arriving toward dawn. The Winter Weather Advisory starts at 4am for Western Chester County. Any snow to start should quickly change to sleet and then rain with little if any accumulation. That said with the timing near rush area it may be a bit slippery for the morning commute. High temperatures Tuesday through Thursday will be in the mid 30's well below average but fall even further below average by Friday as the coldest air of the season arrives. Temperatures on Friday will stay in the 20's. Another wintry event is possible by Friday night into Saturday. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
November finished as our 3rd below average temperature month over the last 4 months. December looks to also be getting off to a well below normal temperature start. Sunny today but with temperatures almost 10 degrees below normal for highs. Clouds roll in tonight with some snow arriving toward dawn. The Winter Weather Advisory starts at 4am for Western Chester County. Any snow to start should quickly change to sleet and then rain with little if any accumulation. That said with the timing near rush area it may be a bit slippery for the morning commute. High temperatures Tuesday through Thursday will be in the mid 30's well below average but fall even further below average by Friday as the coldest air of the season arrives. Temperatures on Friday will stay in the 20's. Another wintry event is possible by Friday night into Saturday. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Of course official NWS measurements are never made on concrete or driveways. A good mailbox or wood deck can work quite well for snow measuring if you don't have a trusty snowboard like some of us weather weenies employ!! LOL!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Nice map IMHO!! As you mention I suspect an adjustment will be needed tomorrow...a nice 50 mile NW in snow accumulations may well hit the mark! Thanks!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
All that said the ensemble run held serve or even increased amounts a bit.....so you say there is a chance?? -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
All of the models have started to reduce snow totals by at least an inch from the last run.... -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Following our 0.5” of snow this morning - some light rain will continue into early this afternoon. We clear up tonight and remain chilly with well below normal temperatures for the entire upcoming work week. Our next winter event looks to arrive as snow toward Tuesday morning before a slow transition from snow to rain from southeast to northwest across the area. Some models are showing a plowable event for NW Chesco and into Berks and Lehigh counties. But as we all know we do not shovel model snow. The current NWS early forecast has 2 to 4" possible for NW Chesco to about 1 inch down toward Chadds Ford in SE Chesco. Snow should turn to rain by late morning. We could see more snow arriving on Friday night, so an early season arrival of winter type weather is on the way. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Following our 0.5” of snow this morning - some light rain will continue into early this afternoon. We clear up tonight and remain chilly with well below normal temperatures for the entire upcoming work week. Our next winter event looks to arrive as snow toward Tuesday morning before a slow transition from snow to rain from southeast to northwest across the area. Some models are showing a plowable event for NW Chesco and into Berks and Lehigh counties. But as we all know we do not shovel model snow. The current NWS early forecast has 2 to 4" possible for NW Chesco to about 1 inch down toward Chadds Ford in SE Chesco. Snow should turn to rain by late morning. We could see more snow arriving on Friday night, so an early season arrival of winter type weather is on the way. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Sorry to hear of your loss. I too have a funeral on Tuesday. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
The snow has just about ended and looks to be mixed with drizzle now. The 0.5" of snow we recorded in East Nantmeal this morning will make November 2025 the "snowiest" November since the 7.3" of snow we saw back in November 2018. This is the 10th November in the 22 years I have been at this location that we have received measurable snow during our 11th month. 2025-11-30_9-45-26.mp4 -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
First measurable snow of the year with snow still falling here in NW Chesco -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
First measurable snow of the season here in NW Chester County - still snowing steadily -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
European ensemble snow greater than 1 inch probability has increased a bit at 12z with the 50% line down to Philly -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
European ensemble snow greater than 1 inch probability has increased a bit at 12z with the 50% line down to Philly -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Latest European models 1/2 inch across SE Chesco to as much as 3" in NW Chesco and on up to the LV
